| Post AuvxU1PaXAiV4gbBbc by [email protected] | |
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| Post #Auvt5z9orecZJfVRRI by [email protected] | |
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| So: let's imagine the AI bubble deflates.The people who want chatbots or LL… | |
| Post #Auvt5zGCTvj1dSUXNw by [email protected] | |
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| @davidgerard I think it might turn into a shift towards local LLMs using very e… | |
| Post #AuvxS0awbGWlxhwzS4 by [email protected] | |
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| @davidgerard Why can't the AI companies just ask the AI how to sell the AI … | |
| Post #AuvxSEtBSFR6IKakpE by [email protected] | |
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| @davidgerard At that point it would be pretty cheap; there are freely available… | |
| Post #AuvxSNTHXv44ubXhCa by [email protected] | |
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| @davidgerard To quote Sam Faultman: “Unimaginable” | |
| Post #AuvxSvKxdMbvwduWx6 by [email protected] | |
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| @mcc @davidgerard In the future the AI will say the answer is to download model… | |
| Post #AuvxTGUF03VnXVPjpg by [email protected] | |
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| @davidgerard I think Zitron made a back of the envelope calculation of this at … | |
| Post #AuvxTKU28lirw1Ld44 by [email protected] | |
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| @davidgerard No, but my guess is around $50-$100/month. That is a pure guess, h… | |
| Post #AuvxU1PaXAiV4gbBbc by [email protected] | |
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| @davidgerard no, but I estimate it to be unaffordable even for Musk! | |
| Post #AuvxU3AQ0XlqWDW6Eq by [email protected] | |
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| @davidgerard If that unlikely scenario occurs, my escape plan is to spin up a l… | |
| Post #AuvxUU79omCm5vCNP6 by [email protected] | |
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| @jmax @davidgerard I have seen comments similar to "if we charged ten time… | |
| Post #AuvypPkFMJAIZu1ga8 by [email protected] | |
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| @davidgerard Billions were made and lost on the dot com bubble, when advertisin… | |
| Post #AuwAKB0rHUyJMOfRDs by [email protected] | |
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| @davidgerard there was some macro analysis by financial analysts at Goldman Sac… | |
| Post #AuwAKB8eoVD5kaJfNY by [email protected] | |
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| @davidgerard it links to Daron Acemoglu's paper here https://economics.mit.… | |
| Post #AuwAKH0N0E97wcU8IK by [email protected] | |
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| @davidgerard Summary is that GenAI is useful in niches but overall effect is ma… | |
| Post #AuwAKrJ42CUSX1VZQm by [email protected] | |
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| @davidgerard eye watering. Just thinking of the capex and opex, significant ope… | |
| Post #AuwAQcibBa2T1bCVIO by [email protected] | |
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| @davidgerard I run 80bs on my shit at home but its slow. 32bs are more spritely | |
| Post #AuwAQcocpArLKI1Jgm by [email protected] | |
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| @gildilinie as i note elsewhere, i'm treating home use as negligible cos it… | |
| Post #AuwASKtaQBoMKN9m8e by [email protected] | |
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| @davidgerard I have, in fact, because I keep getting asked what it would cost t… | |
| Post #AuwASL25uYcIkl8ZOq by [email protected] | |
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| @rootwyrm @davidgerard link with a similar estimate because I went down looking… | |
| Post #AuwASM3C7x5huSexkm by [email protected] | |
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| @davidgerard let's say you REALLY POSITIVELY HAVE to buy the hardware.First… | |
| Post #AuwASMVuPC3lLW5tVg by [email protected] | |
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| @davidgerard that's the "best" part of this whole shitshow. These… | |
| Post #AuwASdWt8nwc7TgPtg by [email protected] | |
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| @davidgerard Dr Evil has the answer (that's per request) | |
| Post #AuwAT01TVlTzsiA9cu by [email protected] | |
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| @penguin42 it'll be at least a coupla years for people who don't want t… | |
| Post #AuwATbswjvEvJGSsbo by [email protected] | |
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| @daedalus Even if there WERE productivity gains, for the last 50 years producti… | |
| Post #AuwATy2yLKKc2jKCI4 by [email protected] | |
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| @rootwyrmReminds me of cryptomining ASICs. Just throwing silicon at single purp… | |
| Post #AuwAVBCSvRUN7tLL04 by [email protected] | |
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| @davidgerard step 1: build a product where quality doesn't matter | |
| Post #AuwAWTcRvfoAXe7Dbk by [email protected] | |
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| @rootwyrm @davidgerard YES, I WAIT ;) | |
| Post #AuwAWnsmaekzO5uXqK by [email protected] | |
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| @PetraOleum he put it around OpenAI spending ~$2.50 for every $1 it takes in, s… | |
| Post #AuwAX40SdsPDOXcu24 by [email protected] | |
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| Apple’s GPU architecture makes it feasible to run non-trivial models on their… | |
| Post #AuwAXwKWfUXdsPQgnw by [email protected] | |
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| @rootwyrm @davidgerard ty | |
| Post #AuwAYWU0FjVs0E8lZg by [email protected] | |
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| @michael @penguin42 oh! that's better than i was expecting | |
| Post #AuwAaNKlEvS2CrhVdQ by [email protected] | |
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| @davidgerard but you could pay the upfront cost of 4k or whatever if you want c… | |
| Post #AuwYu3DM9PKcUz9Uoa by [email protected] | |
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| @davidgerard I'd guess it would be uneconomic | |
| Post #AuwZwM7suMxbgaFvJw by [email protected] | |
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| @jmax @davidgerard I'd be shocked if it were that low. OpenAI is currently … | |
| Post #AuwZyGm1mPBVfFweH2 by [email protected] | |
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| @n_dimension @davidgerard Services Australia ran tests and released a future st… | |
| Post #AuwZyGsPOgHxz2vkDg by [email protected] | |
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| @bgrinter @davidgerard Oh it's going to be a royal cluster fuck. No doubt.B… | |
| Post #Auwg8SNu45dUIOtyV6 by [email protected] | |
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| @rootwyrm @davidgerard At this price point & model size you're much bet… | |
| Post #Auwg8TIydtI19PbYSe by [email protected] | |
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| @rootwyrm @davidgerard The code to run multiple clients in flight on this hardw… | |
| Post #AuwixQ5uXUw3rzumXI by [email protected] | |
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| @davidgerard @PetraOleum Well, kind of. Those numbers include training costs. W… | |
| Post #Aux2beYU5kObQqB6GW by [email protected] | |
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| @david_chisnall @PetraOleum > the cost of inference is low.so in current com… | |
| Post #Aux5zQpt3EFnh8Le4m by [email protected] | |
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| @davidgerard @PetraOleum what sort of tokens/sec does your M2 give?I'm not … |