Post AlXZwwZOUcSqRd8T32 by [email protected] | |
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Post #AlXWpmcUmx11hCTqCG by [email protected] | |
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My First Forecast Harris-Trump/1So I've told you every 4 years, the polling… | |
Post #AlXXAXBNNb2Ftmgr6e by [email protected] | |
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My First Forecast Harris-Trump/2The US Presidential elections after both conven… | |
Post #AlXXgswA22nKdV01tQ by [email protected] | |
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My First Forecast Harris-Trump/3Today (after first 7 polls after both Conventio… | |
Post #AlXY1zgU8p2ZdwjUh6 by [email protected] | |
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My First Forecast Harris-Trump/4I have plugged all the variables we have - like… | |
Post #AlXYU71KSWNEVKtFfk by [email protected] | |
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My First Forecast Harris-Trump/5Thus my first official forecast of 2024 Harris-… | |
Post #AlXZwwTMr1dy8wJeee by [email protected] | |
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@tomiahonen Does your analysis take into account the Electoral College map and … | |
Post #AlXZwwZOUcSqRd8T32 by [email protected] | |
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@n1xnx did you read my analysis?I think I told you that today it is IMPOSSIBLE … | |
Post #AlXaUgGFdQBJi4GieW by [email protected] | |
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@tomiahonen Many Republicans are for Harris, none were for Obama. The % will be… | |
Post #AlXb3Ru90JYVJqVVWS by [email protected] | |
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@tomiahonen and he's deepened 2 core vulnerabilities in the last 7 days - a… | |
Post #AlXb3RzofE5nbRA2Ma by [email protected] | |
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@NZedAUS Yes. However, some of these polls now do take (part of that) into cons… | |
Post #AlXbM642QkLR5I1jRA by [email protected] | |
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@tomiahonen easily distinguishable? | |
Post #AlXbM6B80O13RHLOUK by [email protected] | |
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@mwmkbrady usually yes and currently all signs suggest Kamala Harris has moment… | |
Post #AlXbWAhI3kVqLjBtFg by [email protected] | |
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@AndyHarrison That is 'conventional wisdom' yes. But I do not have any … | |
Post #AlXbhIyVciGvCwYNt2 by [email protected] | |
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@tomiahonen You forgot:Cheap and Cheung's Campaign Up in Smoke | |
Post #AlXbhJ5FDfexXphlNw by [email protected] | |
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@Ehay2k LOL !!!! | |
Post #AlXcdbCI20feWEnQ7E by [email protected] | |
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@tomiahonen Touchy much?A snarly reply to a sensible question that was asked in… | |
Post #AlXcdbHxgvCwnpRwxM by [email protected] | |
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@n1xnx Every 4 years I have had the best forecast and I have been near-perfect … | |
Post #AlXchiszO3LJWVjcZc by [email protected] | |
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@tomiahonen thanks for your work and your response. Appreciate your analyses. | |
Post #AlXchiz11eABpCYQy0 by [email protected] | |
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@mwmkbrady my pleasure :-) | |
Post #AlXip4vMRmPdcrjcfI by [email protected] | |
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@tomiahonen @AndyHarrison How did the 2016 graph look? | |
Post #AlXip52S1Q5Fyr3HiS by [email protected] | |
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@madrobin @AndyHarrison LOL great question! 2016 was a bit like a limp balloon … | |
Post #AlXx2t8qRwLOUmWN3g by [email protected] | |
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@PhoenixGee @Ehay2k fair points. I cannot predict either whether Venezuela will… | |
Post #AlZg09AV62foQbK2ts by [email protected] | |
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@tomiahonen @AndyHarrison Polls build their models based upon previous election… | |
Post #AlZg09HEh03qlUTQOm by [email protected] | |
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@ralph058 @AndyHarrison Yes. There is historical correlation with intent to vot… | |
Post #AlZg8xVznCI6tNZvCy by [email protected] | |
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@ralph058 @AndyHarrison Of course, as always, I will incorporate both trends, p… |