Subj : The Weekly ARRL Letter
To   : All
From : Sean Dennis
Date : Fri Jul 10 2020 09:05 am

  The ARRL Letter
  July 9, 2020

    * IARU HF World Championship is Major Mid-Year Event for Everyone
    * Maritime Mobile Service Network Comes to the Aid of Vessel in
      Distress
    * Newer Solar Cycle 25 Forecast Runs Counter to Consensus
    * ARRL Podcasts Schedule
    * The K7RA Solar Update
    * Just Ahead in Radiosport
    * QSO Today Virtual Ham Expo Announces Full Lineup of Speakers
    * Announcements July 9
    * ARRL Seeks Awards and Programs Assistant
    * Washington Club Conducts Outdoor Amateur Exam Session
    * Annual KPH "Night of Nights" Canceled
    * In Brief...
    * Upcoming ARRL Section, State, and Division Conventions
  IARU HF World Championship is Major Mid-Year Event for Everyone

  The International Amateur Radio Union (IARU) HF World Championship over
  the July 11 - 12 weekend offers an opportunity for operators to put
  their stations to the test ahead of the fall-winter contest season.
  Casual contesters are welcome. This everybody-works-everybody event
  kicks off at 1200 UTC on Saturday, July 11, on 160, 80, 40, 20, 15, and
  10 meters and continues for the next 24 hours. Despite rather dismal HF
  conditions recently, the competition is expected to keep the bands
  hopping on both phone and CW; participants may operate either or both
  modes. Highlighting the activity will be the IARU headquarters (HQ)
  stations and officials on the air from around the world, although, as
  the IARU notes, HQ stations may not be active at typical levels.

                                     Carol Milazzo, KP4MD, competed with
                                     her low-power portable setup in the
                                     2019 IARU HF World Championship.

  Participating stations send a signal report and ITU zone (or IARU
  member-society abbreviation). The IARU HF Championship web page
  includes ITU zone borders for the US and Canada.

  "It is essential that the global COVID-19 pandemic be taken into
  account, including by IARU member-society HQ station teams," the IARU
  said in announcing this year's event. The IARU stressed that
  multioperator and IARU member-society HQ stations "must adhere strictly
  to the regulations and social distancing guidelines in effect issued by
  the responsible health authorities and the World Health Organization,
  even if observing the guidelines is not legally required in their
  locations." This requirement also applies to single-operator stations
  and especially to stations hosting guest operators.

  The objective of the IARU HF World Championship is "to support amateur
  self-training in radiocommunications including improving amateur
  operating skills, conducting technical investigations, and
  intercommunicating with other amateurs around the world, especially
  IARU member-society headquarters stations." Special rules governing
  IARU member-society HQ stations permit using multiple sites, if
  national regulations permit.

  The Vakarel broadcast
  transmitter tower and two
  smaller antennas. HQ station
  LZ0AA will use this for an
  80-meter antenna.

  The HQ list includes ARRL. Members of the Tennessee Contest Group (TCG)
  will operate as ARRL HQ station W1AW/4, while IARU HQ Station NU1AW
  will be operated remotely by a team of operators using WW2DX facilities
  on the coast of Maine.

  In addition to HQ stations, members of the IARU ministrative Council
  (AC) and the three IARU regional executive committees will send AC, R1,
  R2, and R3, as appropriate. IARU President Tim Ellam, VE6SH, will be
  active for a limited period, giving out the AC multiplier. IARU
  HQ/official stations and ITU zones are multipliers, which count per
  band but not per mode, but contacts count per mode per band. Contacts
  with IARU member-society HQ stations and officials do not count as zone
  multipliers.

  Listen for this one: In Bulgaria, the Vakarel broadcast transmitter has
  been off the air since 2015. The antenna, erected in 1937, is 215
  meters (705 feet). During the IARU contest, the Bulgarian Federation of
  Radio Amateurs (BFRA) HQ station will use the antenna on 80 meters as
  LZ0AA. After the contest, the antenna will be taken down. -- Thanks to
  The Daily DX for some information
  Maritime Mobile Service Network Comes to the Aid of Vessel in Distress

  The Maritime Mobile Service Net (MMSN) on 14.300 MHz came to the
  assistance of a sailing vessel in distress on June 25. MMSN control
  operator Steven Carpenter, K9UA, took a call on 20 meters from Ian
  Cummings, KB4SG, the skipper of the Mystic Lady, then some 40 miles
  east of Florida. Cummings reported that his engine had failed as he was
  attempting to return to his home port of Stuart, Florida. He not only
  had insufficient wind, but a strong current was carrying the vessel out
  to sea.

  Cummings had been unable to reach any station via his VHF marine radio,
  because he was too far from the coast. Assisting in the call was Robert
  Wynhoff, K5HUT, also an MMSN net control operator. Cummings said his
  vessel, with one passenger on board, was drifting northwest toward the
  South Carolina coast.

  "A major concern was that the vessel was heading directly towards a lee
  shore," the MMSN reported. "Lee shores are shallow, dangerous areas
  which are a hazard to watercraft. Vessels could be pushed into the
  shallow area by the wind, possibly running aground and breaking up."

  Carpenter contacted Cummings' family, who had already called the Sea
  Tow marine towing service. Sea Tow advised Carpenter to tell the
  captain to head closer to shore by sailing west, if possible. Carpenter
  told Cummings that if he was unable to get nearer to shore, he would
  notify the US Coast Guard, which was already monitoring the situation.

  As the MMSN reported, "The Mystic Lady was able to make some headway,
  but it was very slow. Members of the MMSN made additional calls via
  landline to the captain's family as to the ongoing status of those on
  board. The family was concerned but relieved that communication was
  established and that all were well."

  Several hours later, the captain advised that the wind had picked up,
  allowing him to head close enough to shore for Sea Tow to reach the
  vessel and take it back to port.

  The Pacific Seafarers' Net, which monitors 14.300 MHz from the West
  Coast after the MMSN secures at 0200 UTC, kept in touch with the Mystic
  Lady into the night while it was under tow.

  The tired, grateful captain later messaged the net, "A million thanks
  to everyone last night who helped rescue us on 14.300. Everyone chipped
  in as we drifted north in the Gulf Stream 60 miles headed to a lee
  shore. The MMSN net control and several others stayed with us for
  hours, phoned people, and were immensely helpful. The situation on
  board was dangerous. We are now safely under tow home. You folks are
  amazing!"

  In operation since 1968, the MMSN monitors 14.300 MHz 70 hours a week
  to assist vessels and others in need of assistance. -- Thanks to MMSN
  Net Manager Jeff Savasta, KB4JKL

  Newer Solar Cycle 25 Forecast Runs Counter to Consensus

  Scientists associated with the National Center for Atmospheric
  Research, the University of Maryland, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center,
  and other institutions are offering a "bold prediction" on how Solar
  Cycle 25 will play out. In a paper, "Overlapping Magnetic Activity
  Cycles and the Sunspot Number: Forecasting Sunspot Cycle 25 Amplitude,"
  they assert that the next sunspot cycle will be of major proportions.
  The forecast stands in stark contrast to the consensus of forecasters
  who predict that the magnitude of the nascent Cycle 25 may not be much
  different from the current unremarkable solar cycle, which appears to
  have reach its low point.

  "From the dawn of modern observational astronomy, sunspots have
  presented a challenge to understanding -- their quasi-periodic
  variation in number, first noted 160 years ago, stimulates
  community-wide interest to this day," the abstract points out. "A large
  number of techniques are able to explain the temporal landmarks,
  (geometric) shape, and amplitude of sunspot 'cycles,' however,
  forecasting these features accurately in advance remains elusive."

  Monthly sunspot numbers since
  1749. The data values are
  represented by dots, and the
  12-month running average values
  are illustrated as a red shaded
  area. Vertical blue dashed lines
  signify the magnetic activity
  cycle termination times that
  trigger the rapid growth of
  sunspot activity.

  The paper notes that recent studies have illustrated a relationship
  between the sun's 22-year Hale magnetic cycle and the production of
  sunspot cycle landmarks and patterns, but not the amplitude of the
  cycle.

  "Using discrete Hilbert transforms on 270 years of monthly sunspot
  numbers to robustly identify the so-called 'termination' events --
  landmarks marking the start and end of sunspot and magnetic activity
  cycles -- we extract a relationship between the temporal spacing of
  terminators and the magnitude of sunspot cycles," the abstract
  explains. "Given this relationship and our prediction of a terminator
  event in 2020, we deduce that Sunspot Cycle 25 will have a magnitude
  that rivals the top few since records began. This outcome would be in
  stark contrast to the community consensus estimate of Sunspot Cycle 25
  magnitude."

                                     NASA's Solar Dynamic Observatory
                                     captured this image of a sunspot,
                                     with a core larger than Earth.

  According to the paper, low-amplitude solar cycles appear to correspond
  with widely separated terminators, while larger-amplitude cycles
  correspond to more narrowly separated terminators.

  "[O]ur best estimate for the [sunspot number] amplitude of Solar Cycle
  25 is 233 spots, with a 68% confidence that the amplitude will fall
  between 204 and 254 spots," the paper posits. "We predict with 95%
  confidence that the Cycle 25 amplitude will fall between 153 and 305
  spots."

  The researchers concede that their forecast is outside of the
  scientific consensus, based on different paradigms. "Over the coming
  months, as [Solar Cycle] 25 matures, it will become evident which of
  these paradigms is most relevant," the paper says. "Very early
  indications of the spot pattern are appearing at higher-than-average
  latitudes (�*�40A�). Historically, high-latitude spot emergence has
  been associated with the development of large amplitude sunspot cycles
  -- only time will tell."
  ARRL Podcasts Schedule

  The latest episode of the On the Air podcast (Episode 7) features tips
  for soldering a PL-259 connector onto the end of a coaxial cable, and
  information on beginner courses for hams who want to serve their
  communities during disasters and other incidents. The On the Air
  podcast is a monthly companion to On the Air magazine, ARRL's magazine
  for beginner-to-intermediate ham radio operators.

  The latest episode of the Eclectic Tech podcast (Episode 11), available
  on Thursday, July 2, will cover Shortwave Radiogram, web-based remote
  receivers, and PSKreporter.

  The On the Air and Eclectic Tech podcasts are sponsored by Icom. Both
  podcasts are available on iTunes (iOS) and Stitcher (Android) as well
  as on Blubrry -- On the Air | Eclectic Tech.

  The K7RA Solar Update

  Tad Cook, K7RA, Seattle, reports: We saw a new sunspot on July 4, but
  it was from the declining Solar Cycle 24 and lasted only through the
  next day. Sunspot numbers were 12 and 11, for an average daily sunspot
  number of 3.3 for the week. Prior to July 4, no sunspots had been
  observed since June 15.

  The average daily solar flux was 68.5; the previous week, it was 68.6.
  The average daily planetary A index inched up from 4.7 to 5.1, and the
  average daily middle latitude A index shifted from 4.7 to 6.4.

  The 45-day outlook for solar flux does not look promising, with no
  values predicted at 70 or above. Predicted solar flux is 68 on July 9 -
  24; 69 on July 25 - August 8; 68 on August 9 - 20, and 69 on August 21
  - 22.

  Predicted planetary A index is 8 on July 9; 5 on July 10 - 12; 8 on
  July 13; 5 on July 14 - 26; 8 on July 27 - 28; 5 on July 29 - 30; 12,
  10, 8, and 8 on July 31 - August 3, and 5 on August 4 - 22.

  Sunspot numbers for July 2 - 8 were 0, 0, 12, 11, 0, 0, and 0, with a
  mean of 3.3. The 10.7-centimeter flux was 68, 69.3, 69.5, 69.4, 68.5,
  67.7, and 67.2, with a mean of 68.5. Estimated planetary A indices were
  4, 4, 7, 10, 5, 4, and 2, with a mean of 5.1. Middle latitude A index
  was 5, 5, 9, 13, 6, 5, and 2, with a mean of 6.4.

  A comprehensive K7RA Solar Update is posted Fridays on the ARRL
  website. For more information concerning radio propagation, visit the
  ARRL Technical Information Service, read "What the Numbers Mean...,"
  and check out K9LA's Propagation Page.

  A propagation bulletin archive is available. Monthly charts offer
  propagation projections between the US and a dozen DX locations.

  Share your reports and observations.
  Just Ahead in Radiosport
    * July 11 -- FISTS Summer Unlimited Sprint (CW)
    * July 11 - 12 -- IARU HF World Championship (CW, phone)
    * July 11 - 12 -- SKCC Weekend Sprintathon (CW)
    * July 12 -- QRP ARCI Summer Homebrew Sprint (CW)
    * July 13 -- 4 States QRP Group Second Sunday Sprint (CW, phone)
    * July 15 -- RSGB 80-Meter Club Championship, SSB
    * July 16 -- NAQCC CW Sprint CW

  See the ARRL Contest Calendar for more information. For in-depth
  reporting on amateur radio contesting, subscribe to The ARRL Contest
  Update via your ARRL member profile email preferences.

  QSO Today Virtual Ham Expo Announces Full Lineup of Speakers

  The first QSO Today Virtual Ham Expo, which takes place the weekend of
  August 8 - 9, has confirmed what it's calling "a packed lineup of over
  70 great speakers" for the ARRL-sanctioned event. Attendance is free
  and registration is open.

  Presentations will cover a range of topics, with two tracks focused on
  providing hands-on, practical advice for those just getting started in
  amateur radio. Steve Johnston, WD8DAS, will demonstrate basic soldering
  techniques for repairing equipment and building projects. Marcel
  Stieber, AI6MS, will offer an overview of common battery types,
  discussing the pros and cons of each -- including battery chemistry,
  common uses and misuses, and everyday application tips.

  For experienced operators, topics will cover new techniques, equipment
  upgrading, 3D printing, and more. Glenn Johnson, W0GJ, will attempt to
  answer the question, "Is 3 dB Worth a Divorce?" and cover a wide range
  of antenna topics. Jim Veatch, WA2EUJ, will explain how to build a QRP
  radio. In his presentation, "The Slot Antenna -- Undiscovered Country
  for Most Hams," John Portune, W6NBC, will demonstrate how a satellite
  TV dish can be "slotted" to make an effective outdoor 2-meter or UHF
  antenna for use in antenna-restricted neighborhoods.

  Prominent youth educator Carole Perry, WB2MGP, will moderate a lineup
  featuring amateur radio's future leaders. Audrey McElroy, KM4BUN, will
  speak on "Getting Girls Involved in STEM, Specifically Amateur Radio!",
  while hot-air ballooning will be the focus of a talk by Jack McElroy,
  KM4ZIA, "Highly Flying Kids with HAB."

  QSO Today's Eric Guth, 4Z1UG, says that one challenge to any ham radio
  convention, whether in person or virtual, is keeping the content of
  presentations from becoming overly complicated and overwhelming. "For
  our inaugural virtual Expo, we've made sure that there are great
  speakers for both beginners and experienced hams," Guth said. "We've
  asked all of our speakers to be laser focused on their topics while
  providing hands-on, practical advice." Each presentation will wrap up
  with a live question-and-answer session.

  For more information or to register, visit the QSO Today Virtual Ham
  Expo website. Attendance is free, and there are early bird prize
  incentives for registering by July 24.

    -------------------------------------------------------------------

  Announcements July 9
    * NEAR-Fest in Deerfield, New Hampshire, has been canceled for 2020
      due to the coronavirus pandemic. The popular regional hamfest and
      swap meet plans to return April 30 - May 1 and October 12- 13,
      2021.
    * Radio Amateurs of Canada (RAC) is offering to host websites for its
      affiliated clubs on the RAC server at little or no cost, depending
      on how the club's domain is set up.
    * The Radio Society of Great Britain (RSGB) reports "record numbers"
      of ham radio exam candidates, with more than 800 candidates
      successfully completing the online Foundation on June 26, and more
      than 650 booked for future dates.
    * On June 27, a new KiwiSDR web software-defined radio became
      operational in Iceland. The new receiver is located in BlA�fjAP:ll
      at an altitude of 690 meters (about 2,298 feet). It uses a
      horizontal dipole for 80 and 40 meters and covers from 10 kHz to 30
      MHz, AM, FM, SSB, and CW. Up to eight users can be logged on at the
      same time. -- Thanks to Icelandic Radio Amateurs

    -------------------------------------------------------------------


  ARRL Seeks Awards and Programs Assistant

  ARRL has invited applications for the position of Awards and Programs
  Assistant at ARRL Headquarters in Newington, Connecticut. This is a
  full-time, non-exempt opening in the Radiosport and Field Services
  Department. The pay range is from $16.08 to 19.30 per hour.

  The Awards and Programs Assistant assists with all Radiosport and Field
  Services Department activities, with an initial priority on Logbook of
  The World (LoTW) support. Other duties may involve supporting DXCC and
  other awards programs, W1AW operations, and contest program and field
  service support. This individual also may be assigned special projects
  and would represent ARRL in public forums worldwide.

  The successful candidate should have a well-rounded knowledge of
  amateur radio, an Amateur Extra-class license, and 2 years of operating
  experience; the ability to quickly understand and explain software
  functionality, and proficiency in keyboarding and data entry. This
  individual should have attained DXCC, regularly submit contest logs to
  sponsors, use LoTW, and be able to resolve issues efficiently.

  A bachelor's degree is preferred. The ideal candidate will have
  excellent interpersonal, telephone, and listening skills and be
  proficient in public presentations. Some overnight travel may be
  required.

  To apply, submit a cover letter and resume via mail, email, or fax to
  ARRL, c/o Monique Levesque, 225 Main St., Newington, CT 06111 (fax
  860-594 -0298). For complete position information, visit ARRL
  Employment Opportunities and scroll down to "Awards and Programs
  Assistant."

  ARRL is an equal opportunity employer.

    -------------------------------------------------------------------

  Washington Club Conducts Outdoor Amateur Exam Session

  Parking lots may be replacing community centers, schools, and
  clubhouses as convenient locations to conduct amateur radio examination
  sessions. On June 20, the Mike and Key Amateur Radio Club in Washington
  took over a Boeing parking lot to administer tests under the ARRL
  Volunteer Examination Coordinator (ARRL VEC). Volunteer Examiner Scott
  Robinson, AG7T, said his team had been unable to administer exam
  sessions since early March.

  "Based upon King County and Washington State COVID guidance, we thought
  we could give an outdoor session using one of Boeing's parking lots in
  Renton," Robinson told ARRL. "That required a lot of work to organize."

  Volunteer examiners at the June 20
  session included K7PIA, AG7T, KL7WM,
  KD7IQL, KF7RWA, W7GIL, and K7CMW.
  [K7CMW, photo]

  Robinson said the team developed a COVID-19 mitigation plan that
  detailed how the examiners would address several major areas. These
  included health screening of VEs and exam candidates, social distancing
  in all aspects of the session, sanitation in setting up the test area
  and in session processes, and contact tracing.

  "With those details agreed to, an information document was produced for
  the examinees that listed a set of requirements each of them needed to
  meet," Robinson said. "For example, no carpooling to the session. Each
  examinee who agreed to the requirements was then registered for the
  session." Candidates had to register in advance via email, at which
  time they would receive directions to the exam session location and
  requirements.

  A custom set of test booklets were produced for single use and then
  disposed of. "We used plastic sheet protectors to ensure minimal
  handling of examinees' documents by the VEs," Robinson explained.
  "These were also thrown away."

  Examinees parked in every other parking spot, facing the VE area in the
  center of the lot. This allowed the VEs to supervise those taking exams
  by looking through car windows.

  "We had 24 examinees at the session and gave 29 exams, leading to 14
  Technicians, seven Generals, and two Amateur Extras," Robinson said,
  noting that an additional 10 candidates are on the waiting list. "We
  are going to do this again on the third Saturday in July."
  Annual KPH "Night of Nights" Canceled

  The Maritime Radio Historical Society (MRHS) and the National Park
  Service have announced that the annual KPH Night of Nights has been
  canceled due to COVID-19 precautions. This would have been the 21st
  such event, which commemorates what is believed to be the last
  commercial Morse transmission in the US.

                                     Maritime Radio Historical Society
                                     founder Richard Dillman, W6AWO,
                                     keyed the initial commemorative
                                     broadcast during Night of Nights XX
                                     while volunteer engineer Roy
                                     Henrichs, WB6OVV, read the message
                                     aloud to attendees.

  While KPH, KFS, and K6KPH will not be on the air for Night of Nights
  XXI, MRHS members will be active from home. Members will use their own
  call signs on the usual K6KPH frequencies of 3550, 7050, and 14,050 kHz
  starting at 0001 UTC on July 13 (the evening of July 12 in North
  American time zones) and will send the Night of Nights opening message
  traditionally transmitted via KPH. They will then stand by for calls or
  will call "CQ NON" or "CQ Night of Nights."

  Listen for WB6OVV, N6BBF, WB6UZX, AA6IF, N6AD, W6AWO, W6DHM, and
  possibly others.
  In Brief...

  AMSAT has announced the 2020 Board of Directors slate of candidates.
  The following candidates for seats on the AMSAT-NA Board of Directors
  have been found to have their membership in good standing and their
  nomination credentials in order: Howard DeFelice, AB2S; Mark Hammond,
  N8MH; Jeff Johns, WE4B; Robert McGwier, N4HY; Bruce Paige, KK5DO, and
  Paul Stoetzer, N8HM. AMSAT will elect three voting members of the Board
  this year, with seats going to the three candidates receiving the
  greatest number of votes. Two alternates will be chosen, based on the
  next highest number of votes received. Ballots will be mailed to AMSAT
  members by July 15. -- Thanks to AMSAT News Service via AMSAT Secretary
  Brennan Price, N4QX

  ARRL Central Division Director Kermit Carlson, W9XA, points out that a
  new Indiana "hands-free" driving law carves out an exception for ham
  radio mobile operation. "The hands-free law applies to electronic
  communications devices which includes cell phones, tablets, and
  smart-watches," a Q&A on the law explains. "Amateur radio, two-way
  radio, and citizens band (CB) may be used under the hands-free law, but
  drivers are required to do so in a safe manner." The Q&A notes that
  "holding a smartphone or tablet while driving is a significant factor
  in crashes caused by distracted driving."

  A special event will celebrate the 40th anniversary of Vanuatu's
  independence On July 30, 1980, the Republic of Vanuatu gained its
  independence. France and the UK claimed parts of the archipelago, and
  in 1906, they agreed on a framework for jointly managing it as the New
  Hebrides. In celebration of the 40th anniversary of independence, all
  three members of the Vanuatu Amateur Radio Society (VARS) will operate
  special event station YJ40IND during the month of July. Activity will
  be according to the individual operators' schedules, but is expected to
  occur mostly during late afternoons and evenings (0600 - 1000 UTC). A
  greater emphasis will be made over weekends and on Independence Day,
  July 30. Operators should look for activity on 40, 20, and 15 meters,
  where propagation is expected. On FT8 (normal or as the Fox) will be
  Rod, YJ8RN. On SSB will be Estelle, YJ8ED. On CW, listen for Colin,
  YJ8CW. Operators will be running 100 W. -- Thanks to The Daily DX

    -------------------------------------------------------------------

  Upcoming ARRL Section, State, and Division Conventions

    -------------------------------------------------------------------

  Note: Many conventions and hamfests have been canceled or postponed due
  to the coronavirus pandemic. Check the calendar of canceled events on
  the ARRL website.

    -------------------------------------------------------------------

    * July 16 - 19 -- Montana State Convention, Essex, Montana
    * July 24 - 25 -- Oklahoma State Convention, Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
    * August 7 - 9 -- Rocky Mountain Division Convention, Parker,
      Colorado
    * August 21 - 23 -- West Virginia State Convention, Weston, West
      Virginia

  Find conventions and hamfests in your area.

  -----------------------------------------------------------------------

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