Subj : Fat Lady Singing
To : All
From : Lee Lofaso
Date : Sat Dec 28 2019 08:29 pm
Hello Everybody,
"It's STILL the economy, stupid!" ~Lee Lofaso
Although "The Trump Base" may not have heard her yet,
The Fat Lady is singing. And the closer it gets to Election
Day, the louder and louder she will be singing. Oh, what
a beautiful song that is. The sound of Sweet Liberty ...
Where The Orange One is now: a job approval rating in
the low 40s.
Fact #1: Since WWII, only two presidents have had an approval
rating at or below 45% in mid-March of an election year -
* George HW Bush, at 39%
* Jimmy Carter, at 45%
Both went on to glorious defeat (by greater than 5 points).
Jimmy Carter made is special by getting a mere 49 electoral
votes.
Fact #2: There have been five presidents with a job approval
rating of 55% or above -
* Bill Clinton, at 55%
* Ronald Reagan, at 55%
* Richard Nixon, at 58%
* Dwight Eisenhower, at 72%
* Lyndon Johnson, at 80%
All of these presidents won their elections by 9 points or greater.
Fact #3: There have been four presidents with a job approval
rating between 46% and 54% -
* Barack Obama, at 47%
* George W. Bush, at 49%
* Harry Truman, at 51%
* Gerald Ford, at 47%
All of their elections were decided by less than 5 points,
with only Ford not winning.
What does this say about the prospects for Donald J. Trump
to win a second term in office?
Fact #4: No president since WWII has won a second term with
a job approval rating of below 45% in mid-March of an election
year.
This means time is almost up for Donald J. Trump.
If it turns out that economic performance is really going to boost
his job approval ratings to a second term, we should all start seeing
lots of evidence of that in his job approval rating. IOW, if his job
approval rating stays where it is or declines, he is in trouble. Big
trouble. Even if the economy keeps on going like his supporters
claim it is.
--Lee
--
We Put Big Loads In Tight Places
--- MesNews/1.08.05.00-gb
* Origin: nntp://rbb.fidonet.fi - Lake Ylo - Finland (2:221/360.0)
