DTIC ADA201261: Sensitivity Analysis Using the Monte Carlo Acceptan... | |
by Defense Technical Information Center | |
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This paper describes a Monte Carlo sampling plan for | |
estimating how a function varies in response to changes | |
in its arguments. Most notably, the plan effects this | |
sensitivity analysis by applying the acceptance-rejection | |
technique to data sampled at only one specified setting | |
for the arguments, thus saving considerable computing | |
time when compared to alternative methods. The plan which | |
applies for a 0-1 response on each replication has | |
immediate application when estimating variation in system | |
performance measures in reliability analysis. The paper | |
derives the variances of the proposed estimators and | |
shows how to use worst case bounds on these or on | |
corresponding coefficients of variation to choose the | |
arguments, at which to sample, that minimize the worst | |
case bounds. Individual and simultaneous confidence | |
intervals are derived and an example based on s-t | |
reliability illustrates the method. The paper also | |
compares the proposed method and an alternative Monte | |
Carlo approach that uses an importance function. | |
Date Published: 2018-02-21 04:38:17 | |
Identifier: DTIC_ADA201261 | |
Item Size: 18423243 | |
Language: english | |
Media Type: texts | |
# Topics | |
DTIC Archive; Fishman, George S ; NOR... | |
# Collections | |
dticarchive | |
additional_collections | |
# Uploaded by | |
@chris85 | |
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