Network Working Group                                           V. Cerf
Request for Comments: 1607                             Internet Society
Category: Informational                                    1 April 1994

                     A VIEW FROM THE 21ST CENTURY

Status of this Memo

  This memo provides information for the Internet community.  This memo
  does not specify an Internet standard of any kind.  Distribution of
  this memo is unlimited.

A NOTE TO THE READER

  The letters below were discovered in September 1993 in a reverse
  time-capsule apparently sent from 2023. The author of this paper
  cannot vouch for the accuracy of the letter contents, but spectral
  and radiation analysis are consistent with origin later than 2020. It
  is not known what, if any, effect will arise if readers take actions
  based on the future history contained in these documents.  I trust
  you will be particularly careful with our collective futures!

THE LETTERS

  To: "Jonathan Bradel" <[email protected]>
  CC: "Therese Troisema" <[email protected]>
  From: "David Kenter" <[email protected]>
  Date: September 8, 2023 08:47.01 MT
  Subject:  Hello from the Exobiology Lab!

  Hi Jonathan!

  I just wanted to let you know that I have settled in my new
  offices at the Exobiology Lab at the Interplanetary Space
  Exploration Agency's base here on Mars. The trip out was
  uneventful and did let me get through an awful lot of
  reading in preparation for my three year term here. There
  is an excellent library of material here at the lab and
  reasonable communications back home, thanks to the CommRing
  satellites that were put up last year here. The transfer
  rates are only a few terabits per second, but this is
  usually adequate for the most part.

  We've been doing some simulation work to test various
  theories of bio-history on Mars and I have attached the
  output of one of the more interesting runs. The results are

  best viewed with a model VR-95HR/OS headset with the
  peripheral glove adapter. I would recommend finding an
  outdoor location if you activate the olfactory simulator
  since some of the outputs are pretty rank! You'll notice
  that atmospheric outgassing seriously interfered with any
  potential complex life form development.

  We tried a few runs to see what would happen if an
  atmospheric confinement/replenishment system had been in
  place, but the results are too speculative to be more than
  entertaining at this point. There has been some serious
  discussion of terra-forming options, but the economics are
  still very unclear, as are the time-frames for realizing
  any useful results.

  I have also been trying out some new exercises to recover
  from the effects of the long trip out. I've attached a
  sample neuroscan clip which will give you some feeling for
  the kinds of gymnastics that are possible in this gravity
  field. My timing is still pretty lousy, but I hope it will
  improve with practice.

  I'd appreciate it very much if you could track down the
  latest NanoConstructor ToolKit from MIT. I have need of
  some lab gear which isn't available here and which would be
  a lot easier to fabricate with the tool kit. The version I
  have is NTK-R5 (2020) and I know there has been a lot added
  since then.

  Therese,

  I wanted you to see the simulation runs, too. You may be
  able to coax better results from the EXAFLOP array at CERN,
  if you still have an account there. We're still limping
  along with the 50 PFLOP system that Danny Hillis donated to
  the agency a few years back.

  The attached HD video clip shows the greenhouse efforts
  here to grow grapes from the cuttings that were brought out
  five years ago. We're still a long ways from '82
  Beaucastel!

  Gotta get ready for a sampling trip to Olympus Mons, so
  will send this off for now.

  Warmest regards,

  David

  -=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-

  To: "David Kenter" <[email protected]>
  CC: "Therese Troisema" <[email protected]>
  From: "Jonathan Bradel" <[email protected]>
  Date: September 10, 2023 12:30:14 LT
  Subject: Re: Hello from the Exobiology Lab!

  David,

  Many thanks for your note and all its news and interesting
  data! Melanie and I are glad to know you are settled now
  and back at work. We've been making heavy use of the new
  darkside reflector telescope and, thanks to the new petabit
  fiber links that were introduced last year, we have very
  effective controls from Luna City. We've been able to run
  some really interesting synthetic aperture observations by
  linking the results from the darkside array and the Earth-
  orbiting telescopes, giving us an effective diameter of
  about 200,000 miles. I can hardly wait to see what we can
  make of some of the most distant Quasars with this set-up.

  We had quite a scare last month when Melanie complained of
  a recurring vertigo. None of the usual treatments seemed to
  help so a molecular-level brain bioscan was done. An
  unexpectedly high level of localized neuro-transmitter
  synthesis was discovered but has now been corrected by
  auto-gene therapy.

  As you requested, I have attached the latest
  NanoConstructor ToolKit from MIT.  This version integrates
  the Knowbot control subsystem which allows the NanoSystem
  to be fully linked to the Internet for control, data
  sharing and inter-system communication. By the way, the
  Internet Society has negotiated a nice discount for nano-
  fab services if you need something more elaborate than the
  ISEA folks have available at XOB. I could put the
  NanoSystem on the Solex Mars/Luna run and have it to you
  pretty quickly.

  Keep in touch!

  Jon and Melanie

  -=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-

  To: "David Kenter" <[email protected]>
  CC: "Jonathan Bradel" <[email protected]>
  CC: "Troisema" <[email protected]>
  From: "Therese Troisema" <[email protected]>
  Date: September 10, 2023 12:30:14 UT
  Subject: Re: Hello from the Exobiology Lab!

  Bon Jour, David!

  I am writing to you from the Hyatt Geosync where your email
  was forwarded to me from INRIA. Louis and I are here
  vacationing for two weeks. I have some time available and
  will set up a simulation run on my EXAFLOP account. They
  have the VR-95HR/OS headsets here for entertainment
  purposes, but they will work fine for examining the results
  of the simulation.

  I have been taking time to do some research on the
  development of the Interplanetary Internet and have found
  some rather interesting results. I guess this counts as a
  kind of paleo-networking effort, since some of the early
  days reach back to the 1960s. It's hard to believe that
  anyone even knew what a computer network was back then!

  Did you know that the original work on Internet was
  intended for military network use? One would never guess it
  from the current state of affairs, but a lot of the
  original packet switching work on ARPANET was done under
  the sponsorship of something called the Advanced Research
  Projects Agency of the US Department of Defense back in
  1968. During the 1970s, a number of packet networks were
  built by ARPA and others (including work by the predecessor
  to INRIA, IRIA, which developed a packet network called
  CIGALE on which the CYCLADES network operating system was
  built).  There was also work done by the French PTT on an
  experimental system called RCP that later became a
  commercial system called TRANSPAC. Some seminal work was
  done in the mid-late 1960s in England at the National
  Physical Laboratory on a single node switch that apparently
  served as the first local area network! It's very hard to
  believe that this all happened over 50 years ago.

  A radio-based network was developed in the same 1960s/early
  1970s time period called ALOHANET which featured use of a
  randomly-shared radio channel. This idea was later realized
  on a coaxial cable at XEROX PARC and called Ethernet. By
  1978, the Internet research effort had produced 4 versions
  of a set of protocols called "TCP/IP" (Transmission Control

  Protocol/Internet Protocol"). These were used in
  conjunction with devices called gateways, back then, but
  which became known as "routers". The gateways connected
  packet networks to each other.  The combination of gateways
  and TCP/IP software was implemented on a lot of different
  operating systems, especially something called UNIX. There
  was enough confidence in the resulting implementations that
  all the computers on the ARPANET and any networks linked to
  the ARPANET by gateways were required to switch over to use
  TCP/IP at the beginning of 1983. For many historians, 1983
  marks the start of global Internet growth although it had
  its origins in the research effort started at Stanford
  University in 1973, ten years earlier.

  I am going to read more about this and, if you are
  interested, I can report on what happened after 1983.

  I will leave any simulation results from the EXAFLOP runs
  in the private access directory in the CERN TERAFLEX
  archive.  It will be accessible using the JIT-ticket I have
  attached, protected with your public key.

  Au revoir, mon ami, Therese

  -=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-

  To: "Troisema" <[email protected]>
  CC: "Jonathan Bradel" <[email protected]>
  CC: "Therese Troisema" <[email protected]>
  From: "David Kenter" <[email protected]>
  Date: September 10, 2023 17:26:35 MT
  Subject: Internet History

  Dear Therese,

  I am so glad you have had a chance to take a short
  vacation; you and Louis work too hard! I changed the
  subject line to reflect the new thread this discussion
  seems to be leading in. It sounds as if the whole system
  started pretty small. How did it ever get to the size it is
  now?

  David

  -=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-

  To: "David Kenter" <[email protected]>
  CC: "Therese Troisema" <[email protected]>
  CC: "Troisema" <[email protected]>
  From: "Jonathan Bradel" <[email protected]>
  Date: September 11, 2023 09:45:26 LT
  Subject: Re: Internet History

  Hello everyone! I have been following the discussion with
  great interest. I seem to remember that there was an effort
  to connect what people thought were "super computers" back
  in the mid-1980's and that had something to do with the way
  in which the system evolved. Therese, did your research
  tell you anything about that?

  Jon

  -=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-

  To: "Jonathan Bradel" <[email protected]>
  CC: "David Kenter" <[email protected]>
  CC: "Troisema" <[email protected]>
  From: "Therese Troisema" <[email protected]>
  Date: September 12, 2023 16:05:02 UT
  Subject: Re: Internet History

  Jon,

  Yes, the US National Science Foundation (NSF) set up 5
  super computer centers around the US and also provided some
  seed funding for what they called "intermediate level"
  packet networks which were, in turn, connected to a
  national backbone network they called "NSFNET." The
  intermediate level nets connected the user community
  networks (mostly in research labs and universities at that
  time) to the backbone to which the super computer sites
  were linked. According to my notes, NSF planned to reduce
  funding for the various networking activities over time on
  the presumption that they could become self-sustaining.
  Many of the intermediate level networks sought to create a
  larger market by turning to industry, which NSF permitted.
  There was a rapid growth in the equipment market during the
  last half of the 1980s, for routers (the new name for
  gateways), work stations, network servers, and local area
  networks.  The penetration of the equipment market led to a
  new market in commercial Internet services. Some of the
  intermediate networks became commercial services, joining
  others that were created to meet a growing demand for
  Internet access.

  By mid-1993, the system had grown to include over 15,000
  networks, world-wide, and over 2 million computers. They
  must have thought this was a pretty big system, back then.
  Actually, it was, at the time, the largest collection of
  networks and computers ever interconnected. Looking back
  from our perspective, though, this sounds like a very
  modest beginning, doesn't it? Nobody knew, at the time,
  just how many users there were, but the system was doubling
  annually and that attracted a lot of attention in many
  different quarters.

  There was an interesting report produced by the US National
  Academy of Science about something they called

  "Collaboratories" which was intended to convey the idea
  that people and computers could carry out various kinds of
  collaborative work if they had the right kinds of networks
  to link their computer systems and the right kinds of
  applications to deal with distributed applications. Of
  course, we take that sort of thing for granted now, but it
  was new and often complicated 30 years ago.

  I am going to try to find out how they dealt with the
  problem of explosive growth.

  Louis and I will be leaving shortly for a three-day
  excursion to the new vari-grav habitat but I will let you
  know what I find out about the 1990s period in Internet
  history when we get back.

  Therese

  -=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-

  To: "Troisema" <[email protected]>
  CC: "David Kenter" <[email protected]>
  CC: "Therese Troisema" <[email protected]>
  From: "Jonathan Bradel" <[email protected]>
  Date: September 13, 2023 10:34:05 LT
  Subject: Re: Internet History

  Therese,

  I sent a few Knowbot programs out looking for Internet
  background and found an interesting archive at the Postel
  Historical Institute in Pacific Palisades, California.
  These folks have an incredible collection of old documents,
  some of them actually still on paper, dating as far back as
  1962! This stuff gets addicting after a while.

  Postel apparently edited a series of reports called
  "Request for Comments" or "RFC" for short. These seem to be
  one of the principal means by which the technology of the
  Internet has been documented, and also, as nearly as I can
  tell, a lot of its culture. The Institute also has a
  phenomenal archive of electronic mail going back to about
  1970 (do you believe it? Email from over 50 years ago!). I
  don't have time to set up a really good automatic analysis
  of the contents, but I did leave a couple of Knowbots
  running to find things related to growth, scaling, and

  increased capacity of the Internet.

  It turns out that the technical committee called the
  Internet Engineering Task Force was very pre-occupied in
  the 1991-1994 period with the whole problem of
  accommodating exponential growth in the size of the
  Internet. They had a bunch of different options for re-
  placing the then-existing IP layer with something that
  could support a larger address space. There were a lot of
  arguments about how soon they would run out of addresses
  and a lot of uncertainty about how much functionality to
  add on while solving the primary growth problem. Some folks
  thought the scaling problem was so critical that it should
  take priority while others thought there was still some
  time and that new functionality would help motivate the
  massive effort needed to replace the then-current version 4
  IP.

  As it happens, they were able to achieve multiple
  objectives, as we now know. They found a way to increase
  the space for identifying logical end-points in the system
  as well increasing the address space needed to identify
  physical end-points. That gave them a hook on which to base
  the mobile, dynamic addressing capability that we now rely
  on so heavily in the Internet. According to the notes I
  have seen, they were also experimenting with new kinds of
  applications that required different kinds of service than
  the usual "best efforts" they were able to obtain from the
  conventional router systems.

  I found an absolutely hilarious "packet video clip" in one
  of the archives. It's a black-and-white, 6 frame per second
  shot of some guy taking off his coat, shirt and tie at one
  of the engineering committee meetings. His T-shirt says "IP
  on everything" which must have been some kind of slogan for
  Internet expansion back then. Right at the end, some big
  bearded guy comes up and stuffs some paper money in the
  other guy's waistband. Apparently, there are quite a few
  other archives of the early packet video squirreled away at
  the PHI. I can't believe how primitive all this stuff
  looks. I have attached a sample for you to enjoy. They
  didn't have TDV back then, so you can't move the point of
  view around the room or anything. You just have to watch
  the figures move jerkily across the screen.

  You can dig into this stuff if you send a Knowbot program
  to [email protected]. This Postel character must
  have never thrown anything away!!

  Jon

  -=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-

  To: "Jonathan Bradel" <[email protected]>
  CC: "David Kenter" <[email protected]>
  CC: "Troisema" <[email protected]>
  From: "Therese Troisema" <[email protected]>
  Date: September 15, 2023 07:55:45 UT
  Subject: Re: Internet History

  Jon,

  thanks for the pointer. I pulled up a lot of very useful
  material from PHI. You're right, they did manage to solve a
  lot of problems at once with the new IP. Once they got the
  bugs out of the prototype implementations, it spread very
  quickly from the transit service companies outward towards
  all the host computers in the system. I also discovered
  that they were doing research on primitive gigabit-per-
  second networks at that same general time. They had been
  relying on unbelievably slow transmission systems around
  100 megabits-per-second and below. Can you imagine how long
  it would take to send a typical 3DV image at those glacial
  speeds?

  According to the notes I found, a lot of the wide-area
  system was moved over to operate on top of something they
  called Asynchronous Transfer Mode Cell Switching or ATM for
  short. Towards the end of the decade, they managed to get
  end to end transfer rates on the order of a gigabyte per
  second which was fairly respectable, given the technology
  they had at the time. Of course, the telecommunications
  business had been turned totally upside down in the process
  of getting to that point.

  It used to be the case that broadcast and cable television,
  telephone and publishing were different businesses. In some
  countries, television and telephone were monopolies
  operated by the government or operated in the private
  sector with government regulation. That started changing
  drastically as the 1990s unfolded, especially in the United
  States where telephone companies bought cable companies,
  publishers owned various communication companies and it got
  to be very hard to figure out just what kind of company it

  was that should or could be regulated. There grew up an
  amazing number of competing ways to deliver information in
  digital form. The same company might offer a variety of
  information and communication services.

  With regard to the Internet, it was possible to reach it
  through mobile digital radio, satellite, conventional wire
  line access (quaintly called "dial-up") using Integrated
  Services Digital Networking, specially-designed modems,
  special data services on television cable, and new fiber-
  based services that eventually made it even into
  residential settings. All the bulletin board systems got
  connected to the Internet and surprised everyone, including
  themselves, when the linkage created a new kind of
  publishing environment in which authors took direct re-
  sponsibility for making their work accessible.

  Interestingly, this didn't do away either with the need for
  traditional publishers, who filter and evaluate material
  prior to publication, nor for a continuing interest in
  paper and CD-ROM. As display technology got better and more
  portable, though, paper became much more of a specialty
  item. Most documents were published on-line or on high-
  density digital storage media.  The basic publishing
  process retained a heavy emphasis on editorial selection,
  but the mechanics shifted largely in the direction of the
  author - with help from experts in layout and
  accessibility. Of course, it helped to have a universal
  reference numbering plan which allowed authors to register
  documents in permanent archives. References could be made
  to these from any other on-line context and the documents
  retrieved readily, possiblyat some cost for copying rights.

  By the end of the decade, "multimedia" was no longer a
  buzz-word but a normal way of preparing and presenting
  information. One unexpected angle: multimedia had been
  thought to be confined to presentation in visual and
  audible forms for human consumption, but it turned out that
  including computers as senders and recipients of these
  messages allowed them to use the digital email medium as an
  enabling technology for deferred, inter-computer
  interaction.

  Just based on what I have been reading, one of the toughest
  technical problems was finding good standards to represent
  all these different modalities. Copyright questions, which
  had been thought to be what they called "show-stoppers,"
  turned out to be susceptible to largely-established case

  law. Abusing access to digital information was impeded in
  large degree by wrapping publications in software shields,
  but in the end, abuses were still possible and abusers were
  prosecuted.

  On the policy side, there was a strong need to apply
  cryptography for authentication and for privacy. This was a
  big struggle for many governments, including ours here in
  France,  where there are very strong views and laws on this
  subject, but ultimately, the need for commonality on a
  global basis outweighed many of the considerations that
  inhibited the use of this valuable technology.

  Well, that takes us up to about 20 years ago, which still
  seems a far cry from our current state of technology. With
  over a billion computers in the system and most of the
  populations of information-intensive countries fully
  linked, some of the more technically-astute back at the
  turn of the millennium may have had some inkling of what
  was in store for the next two decades.

  Therese

  -=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-

  To: "Therese Troisema" <[email protected]>
  CC: "Jonathan Bradel" <[email protected]>
  From: "David Kenter" <[email protected]>
  Date: September 17, 2023 06:43:13 MT
  Subject: Re: Internet History

  Therese and Jon,

  This is really fascinating! I found some more material,
  thanks to the Internet Society, which summarizes the
  technical developments over the last 20 years. Apparently
  one of the key events was the development of all-optical
  transmission, switching and computing in a cost-effective
  way.  For a long time, this technology involved rather
  bulky equipment - some of the early 3DV clips from 2000-
  2005 showed rooms full of gear required to steer beams
  around. A very interesting combination of fiber optics and
  three-dimensional electro-optical integrated circuits
  collapsed a lot of this to sizes more like what we are
  accustomed to today. Using pico- and femto- molecular
  fabrication methods, it has been possible to build very
  compact, extremely high speed computing and communication

  devices.

  I guess those guys at Xerox PARC who imagined that there
  might be hundreds of millions of computers in the world,
  hundreds or even thousands of them for each person, would
  be pleased to see how clear their vision was. The only
  really bad thing, as I see it, is that those guys who were
  trying to figure out how to deal with Internet expansion
  really blew it when they picked a measly 64 bit address
  space. I hear we are running really tight again. I wonder
  why they didn't have enough sense just to allocate at least
  1024 bits to make sure we'd have enough room for the
  obvious applications we can see we want, now?

  David

  -=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-

Final Comments

  The letters end here, so we are left to speculate about many of the
  loose ends not tied up in this informal exchange. Obviously, our
  current struggles ultimately will be resolved and a very different,
  information-intensive world will evolve from the present. There are a
  great many policy, technical and economic questions that remain to be
  answered to guide our progress towards the environment described in
  part in these messages. It will be an interesting two or three
  decades ahead!

Security Considerations

  Security issues are not discussed in this memo.

Author's Address

  Vinton Cerf
  President, Internet Society
  12020 Sunrise Valley Drive, Suite 270
  Reston, VA 22091

  EMail: +1 703 648 9888
  Fax: +1 703 648 9887
  EMail: [email protected]

  or

  Vinton Cerf
  Sr. VP Data Architecture
  MCI Data Services Division
  2100 Reston Parkway, Room 6001
  Reston, VA 22091

  Phone: +1 703 715 7432
  Fax: +1 703 715 7436
  EMail: [email protected]
    _________________________________________________________________

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