Sometimes we see something exciting and go ''ah ha! I've GOT
  IT!''. Even in billion dollar high energy particle physics.
  Remember, in life, before you get TOO EXCITED about a new
  discovery, or think you know the REASON for something, like why
  you saw your boyfriend hugging that woman-you-don't-know,
  remember to look elsewhere FIRST. We're ALL overly confident
  when we see a connection between events - it's because we're all
  human; but there's always more you don't know than what you do
  know. Get a more points of view first - not just from those who
  are inclined to agree with you. Moral: Jumping to conclusions is
  not the best form of exercise.