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The 5 Pa. Senate races to watch in 2022 [1]

['Special To The Capital-Star', 'More From Author', '- July']

Date: 2022-07-22 11:13:24+00:00

By Harrison Cann

The nation’s eyes are on the commonwealth’s high-profile, high-stakes races for the U.S. Senate, House and governor – but majority rule in Washington, D.C. and the executive mansion aren’t the only things up for grabs in this year’s general election.

Republicans have held the majority in both chambers of the General Assembly since 2011. Prior to that, Democrats held a slim majority in the House from 2007 through 2010. As both parties jockey for power in Harrisburg, several races could have a major impact on the makeup of the legislature – and its relationship with a new governor.

Currently, the GOP holds 28 of 50 Senate seats – with 21 Democrats and one Independent – while in the House, Republicans hold 113 of the 203 seats. As Democrats make a push to flip at least one of the chambers in November, the party has a lot of work ahead of it. Democrats would need to flip at least four Senate seats or 12 House seats in order to gain a majority in one chamber. Of the Senate races listed below, Democrats would have to hold onto the 38th district and flip the remaining four seats to have a shot at a majority.

With that in mind, City & State has highlighted several close races that could determine the fate of the 2023 General Assembly. And while the implications of each race won’t be fully known until all the ballots are counted in November, the outcomes will give us the first glimpse of how the commonwealth’s new district lines will affect its political makeup.

Check out some of this year’s Senate races to watch below:

Senate Races:

6th Senate District: Frank Farry (Republican) vs. Ann Marie Mitchell (Democrat)

Voter spread, according to Dave’s Redistricting: Dem +2.9

Ann Marie Mitchell, a one-time state representative candidate, is going up against current state Rep. Frank Farry in the race to fill the seat of retiring state Sen. Robert “Tommy” Tomlinson. Farry, a Republican representing the 142nd legislative district in Bucks County, is attempting to make the move over to the state Senate in a new district that’s leaning slightly Democratic. Mitchell has bachelor’s and law degrees from the University of Pennsylvania and is a business attorney.

14th Senate District: Dean Browning (Republican) vs. Nick Miller (Democrat) Spread: Dem +11.1 A hotly contested primary in the Lehigh Valley concluded with Dean Browning, a former Lehigh County commissioner, as the Republican nominee and Nick Miller, an Allentown School Board member, as the Democratic nominee. Browning, who is white, garnered national attention in 2020 when he tweeted “I am a black gay guy,” and claimed he was quoting a message from one of his followers. Miller earned a close victory over Tara Zrinski in a primary that featured a court battle over the counting of naked and late mail-in ballots. The 14th Senate district previously included all of Carbon County and parts of Luzerne County. After redistricting, new boundaries include multiple municipalities in Lehigh and Northampton counties and most of Allentown. The much more Democratic district will be a signal win for Republicans if Browning is able to come out on top. 16th Senate District: Jarrett Coleman (Republican) vs. Mark Pinsley (Democrat) Spread: GOP +7.4 Another closely watched primary election that ended after a court decision involved Jarrett Coleman and longtime state Sen. Patrick Browne. Coleman, an airline pilot and Parkland School Board member, surprised many when he upset Browne – and he has his work cut out for him if he wants to take Browne’s seat in Harrisburg. Coleman, a Republican who has been a vocal opponent of school closures and vaccine mandates, is going up against Democrat Mark Pinsley. Pinsley, the Lehigh County Controller, faced criticism earlier this year after he testified in front of the legislative reapportionment committee and claimed the GOP wanted to create a “ghetto” by lumping Allentown and Bethlehem together. The new district lines, which include parts of Bucks County, may have helped Coleman edge out Browne, as the district is still Republican-heavy in many areas. Pinsley, who narrowly lost to Browne back in 2018, will attempt to become the first Democrat elected from the district since 1994. 38th Senate District: Lori Mizgorski (Republican) v. Lindsey Williams (Democrat) Spread: Dem +13.0

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[1] Url: https://www.penncapital-star.com/campaigns-elections/the-5-pa-senate-races-to-watch-in-2022-analysis/

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