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VA-Gov: New VCU Poll Has Abigail Spanberger (D) Crushing Winsome Earle-Spears (R) 49-37 [1]
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Date: 2025-07-16
Here’s some good news today out of Virginia courtesy of Virginia Commonwealth University’s latest poll:
In the race for governor, former Rep. Abigail Spanberger, the Democratic candidate, leads Republican Lt. Gov. Winsome Earle-Sears, 49% to 37%, among registered voters in Virginia. This marks an increase in both Spanberger’s support and her lead compared with the Wilder School’s December 2024 Commonwealth Poll, which had Spanberger ahead 45% to 35%.
The races for lieutenant governor and attorney general show similar dynamics. Democratic state Sen. Ghazala Hashmi leads former radio host John Reid of the GOP, 46% to 36%, while Democratic former Del. Jay Jones holds a 47% to 38% advantage over Republican Attorney General Jason Miyares. Nearly half of independents (47%) report being undecided, a trend consistent across all three matchups. All three races fall outside the poll’s margin of error of plus or minus 4.16 percentage points.
Among registered voters, 49% approve of the job Republican Gov. Glenn Youngkin is doing, while 39% disapprove. Support is highest among Republicans (84%) and lowest among Democrats (20%), with independents closely split (51% disapprove). These numbers reflect a slight decline overall for Youngkin compared with the December 2024 Commonwealth Poll, when 51% of voters approved and 38% disapproved of the governor’s performance.
President Donald Trump remains less popular among Virginia voters. Overall, 40% approve of the job he is doing, while 55% disapprove. The partisan divide is sharp, with 84% of Republicans approving, compared with disapproval from 93% of Democrats and 66% of independents.
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