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Can We Really Count on the Midterms? [1]
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Date: 2025-07-02
Lots of stories both here and elsewhere have been written in the past few days about how Republicans are committing political suicide by pushing the One Hugely Ugly Bill, how it will not only cost them the House but also the Senate. Very few if any have asked the obvious questions: Don’t you think they know this? And if they do, why are voting for it anyway?
That’s because they may have come to the conclusion that they will not have to pay a political price because the next election is being rigged for them.
I have been thinking about this for a few days and was about to write this diary, when James Carville raised the issue for me: James Carville Says Trump Will Try to Rig the Midterms
Said Carville: “I don’t put anything past him, nothing! To try to call the election off, to do anything he can. He can think of things like that that we can’t because we’re not accustomed to thinking like that.”
This is not to say it would be easy; we don’t have a single election for Congress; we have 50. And many of them (not enough) are run by honest nonpolitical people who are dedicated to the right to vote. But this has been the Republican game plan since Nixon (if not before): screw with the election and see if they can get away with it.
Trump and Johnson know that if they lose the House, Trump’s autocracy is in trouble. If Dems get both the House and the Senate, it’s in bigger trouble. (I won’t say it’s over until it is, and even then I will watch for signs of the undead rising to life.)
Now, I can’t say that all Republicans are counting on this. That’s why they want to schedule the main medicaid cuts to take place after the midterms. But I think we can count on Trump doing whatever he can to make sure he gets his way.
So amid all the talk of punishing the Republicans at the polls next year, let us keep a constant vigil and make every effort to be sure we really the chance.
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