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2024 Post-Mortem from PEW [1]
['This Content Is Not Subject To Review Daily Kos Staff Prior To Publication.']
Date: 2025-06-27
For what it’s worth, New York Magazine recaps the “final word” on 2024 and Harris’s disastrous loss according to a Pew analysis of actual voters. Turns out a few assumptions were wrong and a lot of it came down to huge Trump gains among Latinos and Asians.
..The much-discussed trend that is fully borne out in Pew’s analysis is that Trump made his most important gains among Latinos. Clinton won these voters by 38 percent; Biden won them by 25 percent; and Harris won them by 3 percent. That’s remarkable. And though it’s been much less discussed, there has been an equally calamitous decline in Democratic support among Asian Americans, the fastest-growing racial-ethnic group in the country. Biden won them by 40 percent, and Harris won them by 17 percent.
Analysis of the youth vote swinging more to Trump also seems not to be borne out by the data.
Harris won the same 58 percent of under-30 voters Hillary Clinton won against Trump in 2016.
Interesting stat on white men:
Among white men, Harris did just a point worse than Biden and seven points better than Clinton.
A lot to unpack but we can bet a lot of Latinos are not going to like friends, family and co-workers getting rounded up in the streets. A small swing back gives us the House and hopefully more in 2028.
Story here: nymag.com/...
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https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2025/6/27/2330521/-2024-Post-Mortem-from-PEW?pm_campaign=front_page&pm_source=latest_community&pm_medium=web
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