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The Massive Cost of Mass Deporting American Dreamers [1]
['This Content Is Not Subject To Review Daily Kos Staff Prior To Publication.']
Date: 2025-06-20
[...] The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimates the bill will direct an astounding $168 billion of the budget to immigration and border law enforcement, and there is even more for agencies that indirectly support immigration law enforcement.
However, the CBO’s cost estimate is deficient in three ways. First, CBO assumes that all this increase is temporary, and second, it will happen gradually over the next 10 years, rather than in an immediate, reckless spending spree. Most importantly, it neglects the more significant cost of removing immigrants who would have paid more in taxes than they received in benefits. Properly considered, the actual cost of H.R. 1’s immigration enforcement spending is nearly $1 trillion more than the CBO estimates . When seen in the context of the overall costs of the bill, mass deportation would account for almost a quarter of the bill’s total price tag.
[...]
The Trump administration desperately wants to spend this money immediately. It is even plausible that they could blow through this money by next year and demand more from Congress. It is already stealing from other agencies and the military to do enforcement, and it is currently spending money for ICE appropriated for the end of the year. The bill appears to confirm this more aggressive timeline by mandating the hiring of 10,000 ICE agents for a cost of $8 billion —$800,000 per agent. It costs ICE about $200,000 in compensation per agent per year (p. 12), meaning that $8 billion is only enough to employ these agents for four years. The same math applies to CBP personnel.
[...]
detaining more than 200,000 people at a time
which it would do immediately
, so this means that ICE would likely be. Most of the detention capacity already exists.. During Trump’s first term , there were about 10 detentions in a year for every detention bed available, implying that at least 2 million people would be detained annually under H.R. 1.[...]
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https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2025/6/20/2329239/-The-Real-Cost-of-Mass-Deporting-the-American-Dreamers?pm_campaign=front_page&pm_source=more_community&pm_medium=web
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