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Sobering Stats on the Military/Non-Military Divide in the US [1]
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Date: 2025-06-11
Just took a look at the 2024 exit polling on the divide between voters who had served in the US military and those who hadn't, and the results are rather disturbing -- particularly when compared with similar exit polls in 2020 and before.
For the 13% of voters who identified as vets in 2024, Trump had a 31% margin over Harris (65-34%), while Harris managed a narrow 50-48% 'win' among the 87% of non-vets -- a net difference of 33% between the two groups.
In 2020, Trump had a much narrower 54-44% margin among vets, while Biden enjoyed a decisive 53-45% lead among non-vets -- a net difference of 18%, or barely half of what we saw last year.
Even in 2016, Trump's margin over Clinton (60-34%) among vets was less than 2024, though the net difference between the two groups (32%) was almost as bad.
By contrast, Obama only lost the vet vote to war hero John McCain in by the same 44-54% margin that Biden managed in 2008, and a similar net difference of 20% between the two groups (haven't found similar data for 2012 yet).
This suggests, at least to me, that vets as a group really do seem to have a problem with voting for a woman as President -- much more so than any male Democrat, regardless of age or race.
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