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MONTHY TRUMP POPULARITY: May 2025 [1]

['This Content Is Not Subject To Review Daily Kos Staff Prior To Publication.']

Date: 2025-06-09

📉 Trump’s Popularity: A 4-Week Snapshot and Analysis — May 2025

I asked AI for a report of polls showing Donald Trumps public support trajectory during May 2025. Make of it what you will.

Over the past month, former President Donald Trump has seen a noticeable decline in public approval, including some softening among his core constituencies. While he retains strong support among Republicans, independents and swing voters are showing increasing discontent. This analysis compiles recent polling data from reputable sources to assess Trump’s standing across key voter groups and explore emerging trends.

📊 Overall National Approval

Trump’s national approval rating remains underwater, with a growing gap between approval and disapproval:

⁃ FiveThirtyEight (Silver Bulletin): Trump’s average approval: 46.2% Average disapproval: 50.8% Net approval: -4.6 points

⁃ Gallup: Steady approval rating at 43%, unchanged since early spring.

⁃ Reuters/Ipsos: Shows similar results with 42% approval, reflecting stagnation.

⁃ Pew Research Center: Reports a sharper dip to 40% approval, down 7 points since February.

🧑‍🤝‍🧑 Support by Voter Group

Republicans

⁃ Still a bastion of support, with Pew reporting 75% approval among GOP voters and leaners.

⁃ However, an AP-NORC poll reveals only 50% of Republicans believe he is focused on the right priorities.

Democrats

⁃ Approval remains negligible at 4%, per Pew.

⁃ Newsweek notes a slight, statistically minor uptick among younger Democrats, but this is not yet a consistent trend.

Independents

⁃ One of the most concerning drops for Trump: Pew places independent approval at 37%. Newsweek reports a 12-point decline among independents since January.

2024 Trump Voters

⁃ Disillusionment is emerging. An ABC News/WaPo/Ipsos poll finds 6% of Trump’s 2024 voters now regret their decision—a notable figure given the margin-sensitive nature of modern elections.

🔍 Key Trends

⁃ Economic Discontent: Approval for Trump’s economic management has fallen sharply, with Reuters putting it at 37%, a new low for his second term.

⁃ Policy Backlash: Recent tariffs, immigration policies, and threats to educational funding have polarized public opinion, contributing to his decline.

⁃ Perceived Chaos: Nearly half the country now grades his presidency as a failure at this point, according to NPR polling.

✅ Poll Quality and Reliability

The polling data comes from widely respected sources:

⁃ Gallup: Established, methodologically rigorous.

⁃ Pew Research Center: In-depth, nonpartisan, and highly transparent.

⁃ Reuters/Ipsos: Collaborative, well-controlled sampling.

⁃ FiveThirtyEight (Silver Bulletin): Aggregated, weighted for pollster quality.

All cited polls used representative samples with appropriate margins of error and demographic weighting, enhancing confidence in the trends identified.

📌 Conclusion

Donald Trump’s approval has weakened over the past four weeks, particularly among independents and even among some within his Republican base. While he retains a grip on the GOP, fractures are appearing. The decline appears driven by dissatisfaction with economic performance, erratic policy decisions, and public fatigue with controversy. If the trend continues, it could reshape the political landscape heading into the 2026 midterms

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