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Ukraine Invasion Day 1,179: little progress towards agreeing to a full ceasefire [1]

['This Content Is Not Subject To Review Daily Kos Staff Prior To Publication.']

Date: 2025-05-16

Russian forces conducted a series of drone strikes against Ukraine overnight on May 15 and 16.

Ukrainian forces likely conducted a drone strike against a Russian military base in occupied Crimea on May 16.

The "Atesh" Crimea-based Ukrainian partisan group reported that there were explosions at the base of the Russian 126th Coastal Defense Brigade and the 8th Separate Artillery Regiment (both of the 22nd Army Corps [AC], Black Sea Fleet [BSF]) near occupied Perevalne (southeast of Simferopol).[91] Geolocated footage published on May 16 shows an explosion and fire at an ammunition warehouse in Perevalne.[92] Ukrainian Center for Countering Disinformation Head Lieutenant Andriy Kovalenko, who often reports on successful Ukrainian drone strikes, stated that "unknown drones" struck Russian warehouses in occupied Crimea overnight.[93]

Russian Air, Missile, and Drone Campaign (Russian Objective: Target Ukrainian military and civilian infrastructure in the rear and on the frontline)

The Ukrainian Air Force reported that Russian forces launched 112 Shahed and decoy drones from the directions of Bryansk, Kursk, and Oryol cities; Millerovo, Rostov Oblast; and Primorsko-Aktarsk, Krasnodar Krai.[94] The Ukrainian Air Force reported that Ukrainian forces downed 73 Shahed drones over northern, eastern, southern, and central Ukraine and that 36 drones were "lost." Ukrainian official sources reported that Russian drones struck Odesa, Zhytomyr, Chernihiv, Mykolaiv, and Kyiv oblasts.[95]

understandingwar.org/...

Ukrainian Air Force reported that Ukrainian forces downed 73 Shahed drones over northern, eastern, southern, and central Ukraine and that 36 drones were "lost."

Ukrainian and Russian delegations met in Istanbul on May 16 but made little progress towards agreeing to a full ceasefire or a peace settlement to Russia's war against Ukraine. The Russian delegation reportedly formally demanded that Ukraine cede territory to which Russia has informally been laying claim, while asserting that Russia is ready to continue the war for years. Russia may again formalize previously informal territorial claims in the future as part of Russia's effort to secure full Ukrainian capitulation. Turkish, Ukrainian, and American delegations met on the morning of May 16 in Istanbul, after which Turkish, Ukrainian, and Russian delegations met.[1] Russian Presidential Aide Vladimir Medinsky, the head of the Russian delegation, likely met with US State Department Director of Policy Planning Staff Michael Anton before the Ukrainian-Russian meeting.[2] The Ukrainian delegation, including Ukrainian Defense Minister Rustem Umerov, Foreign Minister Andriy Sybiha, and Presidential Administration Chief of Staff Andriy Yermak, met with US Special Envoy to Ukraine General Keith Kellogg, UK National Security Advisor Jonathan Powell, French Presidential Foreign Policy Advisor Emmanuel Bonn, and German Chancellor's Advisor for Foreign and Security Policy Gunter Sautter to coordinate positions before the Ukrainian-Russian meeting.[3] Umerov and Medinsky announced that Ukraine and Russia would exchange 1,000 prisoners of war (POWs) each in the near future.[4] Medinsky stated that the Russian and Ukrainian delegations agreed to "write...down in detail" and present their visions for a possible future ceasefire and that bilateral negotiations will continue after this presentation.[5] Kremlin newswire TASS reported that an unspecified source stated that there was no specific date set for Russia and Ukraine to exchange their ceasefire plans.[6]

understandingwar.org/...

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