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Is Putin Preparing to Throw Iran Under the Bus in Exchange for Trump Doing the Same to Ukraine? [1]
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Date: 2025-03-28
Not sure I really buy into this particular line of analysis, but political analyst Abbas Galliamov has a rather different take on the Putin-Trump geopolitical dynamic in an interview with RBC Ukraine, and it’s definitely food for further thought:
Given the lack of positive comments on the results of the meetings in Riyadh, the parties did not come to anything substantial. But in principle, nothing bad happened either - Trump, relatively speaking, did not give up Ukraine to Russia, because theoretically it could have happened. So this is the result. Consultations and meetings will continue, as all parties have stated.
Moreover, the range of topics discussed, particularly between the United States and Russia, is very broad. It covers far more than just Ukraine. Let me remind you that following the first round of telephone conversations between Putin and Trump, they partially agreed on their position on, for example, the Iranian nuclear program. Russia, to a certain extent (based on the small amount of public information available), supported Trump's position on Iran.
And in this sense, it cannot be said that Putin outplayed Trump because he did not agree to a complete ceasefire, but only to a small truce on energy. Rather, he paid off Trump - to put it simply, he gave him Iran.
The White House statement following the conversation emphasized that both presidents agreed that Iran should not be able to destroy Israel. We are talking about nuclear weapons. That is, for the first time since the beginning of the war, Russia has confirmed that Iran should not possess nuclear weapons.
..
I believe that in addition to the Iranian issue, they are also discussing Russia's relations with China and North Korea, Russia's position in Africa and Latin America, Russia's position in OPEC, business, particularly in the Arctic, gas, oil, and the extraction of titanium, gold, and rare earths.
But for Putin, Ukraine is of fundamental importance among all these issues - everything else is secondary. After all, he could have withdrawn some troops from Donbas, pausing his offensive there to keep the Assad regime in Syria. But he did not do so. While for Trump, the war in Ukraine is one of the problems, it is significant, but not number one.
It is safe to say that for Putin, all other projects and issues are just a bargaining chip. He is ready to exchange them without any problems for Trump's more accommodating position on Ukraine.
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