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Ukraine is about to get the upper hand in the war [1]
['This Content Is Not Subject To Review Daily Kos Staff Prior To Publication.']
Date: 2025-02-25
A ceasefire or an imposed Trump style ‘peace’ is NOT in Ukraines interest right now.
This year may instead be the year that Ukraine will break the back of the Russian bear.
With even limited extra support from Europe the next six months may show the world - and even Trump - what horse to bet on.
The frontlines:
Russia is bleeding immensely at the fronts. Both troop numbers and quality is now deteriorating.
https://youtu.be/Ja6-espHVSE
On top of that the Russians are lowering their recruitment plans for 2025 with 100 000 soldiers.
https://bsky.app/profile/militarynewsua.bsky.social/post/3lity6zcr7c2f
When it comes to tanks, infantry fighting vehicles and artillery, the Russians have almost emptied their Soviet era stocks and are more and more dependent on civilian vehicles, MC:s, golf carts, donkeys and even camels (!) to try to keep up with the demanding logistics close to the front.
Ukraines drone supremacy is accelerating all the time and is making an increasingly deeper part of the front into a total kill zone for the opponent. Many Russian soldier complain that they never have the chance to see their enemy before they are beeing smoldered by drones.
Oil & gas supplies:
The Ukrainians have increased their medium to long range attacks on Russian refineries and depots. Russia cannot defend itself agains this as their country is too large and their anti-air missile systems are also, constantly being targeted by Ukrainian attacks.
Sanctions and economy:
Russia can be liked as a big gas station as most of their revenues stem from oil and gas exports. With more sanctions being imposed their revenues (or at least their margins) decreases.
With more and more revenues being sucked up by the war effort there is less and less money left for “real” growth. Both increasing inflation and interest rates slowly strangles the country. It’s a choking situation similar to ‘stagflation’.
Bottom line:
Ukraine is not in a desperate need for a cease fire — Russia is. Keep stalling and prove that David is the winner against Goliath.
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