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Abbreviated Pundit Roundup: Democrats need to link unpopular Trump policies to Trump (and the GOP) [1]

['This Content Is Not Subject To Review Daily Kos Staff Prior To Publication.']

Date: 2025-01-24

New York Times:

Judge Calls Trump’s Birthright Citizenship Order ‘Blatantly Unconstitutional’ A federal judge on Thursday temporarily blocked President Trump’s executive order to end automatic citizenship for babies born on American soil, dealing the president his first setback as he attempts to upend the nation’s immigration laws and reverse decades of precedent. In a hearing held three days after Mr. Trump issued his executive order, a Federal District Court judge, John C. Coughenour, sided with Washington, Arizona, Illinois and Oregon, the four states that sued, signing a restraining order that blocks Mr. Trump’s executive order for 14 days, renewable upon expiration. “This is a blatantly unconstitutional order,” he said.

x Multiple USDC judges aver that Trump pardons “won’t change the truth,” as Judge Colleen Kollar-Kotelly writes. “What occurred is preserved ... Those records are immutable & represent the truth, no matter how the events of J6 are described by those charged or their allies.”

1/6 pic.twitter.com/LSqUyawFtZ — Roger Parloff (@rparloff) January 22, 2025

Philip Bump/Washington Post:

Trump’s executive orders are not exactly crowd-pleasers Polling suggests skepticism about the president’s plans, including about actions he’s already taken. The most obvious example was his decision to immediately extend pardons and commutations to those involved in planning or participating in the riot at the Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021. Recent polls show that less than half of the country approves of this. Among Republicans, support is higher — but in polling conducted for CBS News and NPR-PBS NewsHour, 3 in 10 Republicans opposed the idea.

x This can maybe simplify things for Dems, who’ve groupthinked themselves into the belief that they have to choose their battles carefully. Trump violated his most consequential campaign promise. Examples of the overarching betrayal abound. https://t.co/bVcSGFfm7Q — Brian Beutler (@brianbeutler) January 23, 2025

Jonathan V Last/The Bulwark:

How to Stop Trump in One Stupid Chart Make [unpopularity] line go from low to high. At -1.6 unfavorable, Trump is a juggernaut. At -18 unfavorable, Trump is weak. Pushing him to -18 is Democrats’ job. Their entire job. In fact, I’m not sure that anything else they do over the next year even matters.

Harvard Business Review:

Trump’s Trade and Deportation Plans Could Be Disastrous for the U.S. Food Supply Immigrants play a vital role in the U.S. agricultural workforce: They make up approximately 61% of farmworkers, according to the most recently available data, but as of a 2022 U.S. Department of Labor survey, 42% were not legally authorized to work in the country, meaning they were undocumented. This would presumably be part of the group that President Trump and his team have targeted to deport. Most people probably assume the undocumented group is unskilled labor, but our interviews with four growers with operations in Florida and California and people at industry associations suggest the opposite. “We would lose a lot of our skilled workers,” said one California strawberry grower. “Some of our more skilled people have been here for 20 or 30 years, and they speak English.” One profile that he shared was that of a highly skilled supervisor who makes important daily decisions on planting and harvesting. Another was a skilled mechanic. A third was a crew boss with decades of experience. “These are people who came over in the mid-1980s and 1990s. They have been paying taxes and social security, but they never went through the citizenship process,” the grower said. Labor was 40% of his costs, and Trump’s statements have filled these workers and their employers with anxiety over their uncertain futures.

x Leaked documents from the Trump admin show that ICE wants four new detention centers with 10,000 beds each, and fourteen smaller facilities with 700-1,000 beds each.



That would likely mean tens of billions in taxpayer funds sent to private prison companies. They are salivating. https://t.co/pF6o8oyxIG pic.twitter.com/Fyaj8DI8Yu — Aaron Reichlin-Melnick (@ReichlinMelnick) January 22, 2025

Bloomberg:

A Trump-Voting Farmer's Warning: Mass Deportations Would Be a Disaster Florida crackdown previews what could be in store for growers Florida tomato grower Tony DiMare is all for President-elect Donald Trump slapping tariffs on the Mexican farmers who undercut him by paying workers a fraction of what he does. He wants to stop illegal border crossings and likes the idea of deporting migrants convicted of serious crimes. But when it comes to Trump’s broader promises to expel all 11 million undocumented people living in the country, DiMare thinks it would be a disaster for American farmers. “We have to secure our borders south and north, but you have to have a workforce in this country,” said DiMare, whose family has 4,000 acres (1,600 hectares) of tomato farms in Florida and California. “There’s no doubt that is going to restrict and put pressure on farming and many other industries that rely on this workforce.”

Adam Serwer/The Atlantic:

The Attack on Birthright Citizenship Is a Big Test for the Constitution Does the text mean what it plainly says? In 1856, in the infamous Dred Scott decision that declared that Black people could not be American citizens, Chief Justice Roger Taney wrote that as “a subordinate and inferior class of beings,” Black people had “no rights which the white man was bound to respect.” Yes, the Declaration of Independence had stated that “all men are created equal,” but “the enslaved African race were not intended to be included.” Frederick Douglass, who argued that the Constitution did not sanction slavery, responded to the Taney decision by saying that one could find a defense of slavery in the Constitution only “by discrediting and casting away as worthless the most beneficent rules of legal interpretation; by disregarding the plain and common sense reading of the instrument itself; by showing that the Constitution does not mean what it says, and says what it does not mean, by assuming that the written Constitution is to be interpreted in the light of a secret and unwritten understanding of its framers, which understanding is declared to be in favor of slavery.” Sounds familiar.

x Update: It's 1/22 and eggs still cost too much, the war in Ukraine is still on. Also, Trump pardoned the Proud Boys, threatened war on Panama, is making bank off the presidency with a cryptoscam, and is mad at a bishop for urging him to his face to have compassion and empathy. — Susan Glasser (@sbg1) January 22, 2025

Jack Jenkins/RNS:

After eyebrow-raising sermon to Trump, Bishop Budde beset with criticism and praise ‘The people who are in danger are the people who fear for their lives and their livelihoods,’ Budde said in an interview. ‘That’s where the focus should be.’ The result was a sermon, delivered from the cathedral’s pulpit on Tuesday morning as President Trump and Vice President JD Vance sat quietly just a few feet away, that pleaded with the president to have “mercy” on people who stand to be disproportionately impacted by his administration’s policies — namely, LGBTQ people and immigrant families. “In the name of our God, I ask you to have mercy upon the people in our country who are scared now,” Budde said. “There are gay, lesbian and transgender children in both Democratic, Republican and independent families who fear for their lives.” She also made a plea for immigrants and refugees, a reference to Trump’s promise to enact sweeping deportations and his executive order stopping almost all refugees from entering the country starting Jan. 27. The majority of immigrants, Budde said, are not criminals, but “people who pay taxes, and are good neighbors.”

Pascal Sabino/Bolts:

How Chicago’s Immigrant Rights Groups Plan to Hold the Line on Sanctuary Policies As Trump threatens Chicago, organizers are bracing for raids but also hopeful that a vast suite of local protections and community trainings can limit the scale of deportations. Immigrants’ rights advocates in Chicago have been bracing for such raids for months. No raids were reported as of Wednesday, but neighborhoods with large immigrant communities froze in place, with many residents fearful of the havoc they would wreak. Compared to his first term, Trump’s team “has a better understanding of what tools are available to them, and they’ll have that larger understanding of what they can and can’t do, and what they can do to make it more effective,” says Nubia Willman, chief programs officer at Latinos Progresando, a group that provides immigration services in Chicago. But these organizations have also had time to prepare. Many of the same advocates say they’re pleased with the vast set of protections that Chicago city government, as well as the state of Illinois, have passed since the first Trump administration to ban local agencies from assisting with arrests and deportations and to bar police from sharing sensitive information with immigration authorities.

Stephanie Miller w/Cliff Schecter on washington corruption:

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