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Ukraine Invasion Day 657: localized offensive operations continue, Potemkin Island taken [1]

['This Content Is Not Subject To Review Daily Kos Staff Prior To Publication.']

Date: 2023-12-11

Ukrainian military officials indicated that Russian forces recently intensified mechanized offensive operations near Avdiivka.

Russian forces conducted a series of missile and drone strikes against Ukraine on the night of December 10 to 11. Ukrainian military sources reported that Russian forces launched 18 Shahed-131/136 drones from occupied Cape Chauda and Belbek, Crimea and eight ballistic missiles from Bryansk Oblast targeting Kyiv Oblast.[6] Ukrainian military sources reported that Ukrainian forces downed all 18 Shaheds and all eight ballistic missiles.[7] Ukrainian Eastern Air Command reported that Ukrainian forces shot down a Kh-59 cruise missile over Kryvyi Rih Raion, Zaporizhia Oblast on December 11.[8]

The Ukrainian army could suffer serious losses next year without new U.S. aid approved this week. I hope Republicans understand this fact. A Putin victory in Ukraine would be disastrous for American national security interests. https://t.co/MvBSOL3DEl

⚡️ WAR IN #UKRAINE - DEC 11, 2023 ■ More 🇷🇺 strikes & combat engagements reported ■ Few 🇺🇦 strikes but also fewer settlements under artillery fire ■ High 🇷🇺 casualties, 7-day average surpasses 1,000 again ■ Increased equipment losses, including high tank losses ■ Oryx: 29… pic.twitter.com/Zfe2eoJdY2

The positions of the soldiers of the 79th Air Assault Brigade were attacked by 19 russian armored vehicles. 15 of them were damaged or destroyed. 📹: 79th Air Assault Brigade pic.twitter.com/w2NjaLvh5K

Russian Subordinate Main Effort #1 – Luhansk Oblast (Russian objective: Capture the remainder of Luhansk Oblast and push westward into eastern Kharkiv Oblast and northern Donetsk Oblast)

Russian forces continued offensive operations along the Kupyansk-Svatove-Kreminna line on December 11 and marginally advanced. Geolocated footage published on December 10 indicates that Russian forces marginally advanced southeast of Dibrova (7km southwest of Kreminna).[39] The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Ukrainian forces repelled at least four Russian attacks in the Kupyansk direction near Synkivka (9km east of Kupyansk) and Petropavlivka (7km east of Kupyansk) and repelled at least five Russian attacks in the Lyman direction near Makiivka (23km northwest of Kreminna) and Terny (17km west of Kreminna).[40] Ukrainian Ground Forces Commander Colonel General Oleksandr Syrskyi stated that Russian forces are conducting offensive operations in the Kupyansk direction near Lyman Pershyi (12km northeast of Kupyansk), Novoselivske (14km northwest of Svatove), and Stelmakhivka (15km northwest of Svatove) and in the Lyman direction near Zhytlivka (2km northwest of Kreminna).[41] Syrskyi also reported that the Russian military is committing assault units previously in reserve to assaults near Synkivka.[42] ...An image published on December 10 purportedly shows personnel of the Russian “Phantom” Detachment (3rd Motorized Rifle Division, 20th Combined Arms Army, Western Military District) operating in the Lyman direction.[44]

Russian Subordinate Main Effort #2 – Donetsk Oblast (Russian objective: Capture the entirety of Donetsk Oblast, the claimed territory of Russia’s proxies in Donbas)

Russian forces continued ground attacks northeast of Bakhmut on December 11 but did not make any confirmed gains. The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Ukrainian forces repelled at least eight Russian assaults near Spirne (25km northeast of Bakhmut) and Vesele (16km northeast of Bakhmut).[47] Ukrainian Ground Forces Commander Colonel General Oleksandr Syrskyi stated that Russian forces conducted offensive operations in the direction of Siversk (27km north of Bakhmut).[48]

The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) claimed that Ukrainian forces unsuccessfully attacked in the Bakhmut direction near Bohdanivka (6km northwest of Bakhmut), Khromove (immediately west of Bakhmut), Klishchiivka (7km southwest of Bakhmut), Andriivka (10km southwest of Bakhmut), and Kurdyumivka (13km southwest of Bakhmut) on December 11.[49]

Russian forces continued localized offensive operations near Bakhmut on December 11 but did not make any confirmed advances. The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Ukrainian forces repelled at least 13 Russian assaults near Hryhorivka (9km northwest of Bakhmut), Bohdanivka, Ivanivske (6km west of Bakhmut), Klishchiivka , Andriivka, and Pivnichne (21km southwest of Bakhmut).[50] Syrskyi stated that Russian forces are concentrating considerable efforts north and west of Bakhmut and that elements of the Russian Airborne Forces (VDV), Spetsnaz (Russian General Staff Main Directorate [GRU]), and 200th Motorized Rifle Brigade (14th Army Corps, Northern Fleet) are conducting assault operations in these areas.[51]

Russian forces continued offensive operations near Avdiivka on December 11 and recently marginally advanced. Geolocated footage posted on December 9 shows that Russian forces marginally advanced east of Stepove (3km northwest of Avdiivka).[54] ... The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Ukrainian forces repelled Russian attacks near Avdiivka itself; east of Novobakhmutivka (9km northwest of Avdiivka); south of Sieverne (6km west of Avdiivka) and Tonenke (5km west of Avdiivka); and near Pervomaiske (10km southwest of Avdiivka) and Nevelske (14km southwest of Avdiivka).[57]

Ukrainian military officials indicated that Russian forces recently intensified mechanized offensive operations near Avdiivka. Ukrainian Tavriisk Group of Forces Spokesperson Colonel Oleksandr Shtupun stated that Russian forces launched significant offensive operations with armored vehicle support near Avdiivka and Marinka (directly west of Donetsk City) on December 10 and that Ukrainian forces destroyed 11 Russian tanks and 15 armored combat vehicles.[58] The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Ukrainian forces repelled at least 49 Russian attacks near Avdiivka on December 11, a significant increase relative to the past few weeks.[59] ISW has not yet observed significant Russian gains near Avdiivka as a result of these attacks, however.

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[1] Url: https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2023/12/11/2211023/-Ukraine-Invasion-Day-657-localized-offensive-operations-continue-Potemkin-Island-taken?pm_campaign=front_page&pm_source=trending&pm_medium=web

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