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Itzl Alert Network: Tuesday, 26th of September, 2023: My Election Forecast for 2024. Ha! [1]
['This Content Is Not Subject To Review Daily Kos Staff Prior To Publication.']
Date: 2023-09-25
This is a topic that keeps nagging at me.
I decided to dig into the information I could dig up, and spell it all out in a nice Daily Kos diary.
Ha!
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First:
The Biden/Harris ticket will win.
They will get well over 100 million votes.
The Republican nominee will get less than 50 million votes.
Second:
Who will get the Republican nomination?
I do not care, much, but I like Chris Christie.
He is hard core anti-Trump.
That is what I like about him.
So, I truly hope he gets the nomination from the Republicans.
And then, I truly hope he gets less than 50 million votes, while the Biden/Harris ticket gets well over 100 million votes.
By the way, my act of writing “Biden/Harris ticket” is because I want to remind all those who say:
Joe Biden is too old!
Yes, he is. On the edge of failing health or losing stamina, at any time.
That is why we are electing the Biden/Harris ticket.
Anything happens, anything at all, and Joe Biden can simply pass the Presidency to Harris.
en.wikipedia.org/…
Section 3. Whenever the President transmits to the President pro tempore of the Senate and the Speaker of the House of Representatives his written declaration that he is unable to discharge the powers and duties of his office, and until he transmits to them a written declaration to the contrary, such powers and duties shall be discharged by the Vice President as Acting President
The 25th Amendment has more to it than that, and I am not a Constitutional scholar, but it seems to me:
At any time, starting on Inauguration Day, 2025, Biden can say,
I’m getting too old for this s**t!
and hand over
his written declaration that he is unable to discharge the powers and duties of his office
Now, to actually make progress, we need not only the Presidency, but we also need Congress, flipped very Blue.
Now, let us take a look at the Senate:
en.wikipedia.org/…
I looked carefully at the predictions posted there.
When it says solid D or solid R, I left it alone.
If it has a Democrat as a tossup, I predicted a solid win, for the Blue team.
If it has a Republican as a tossup, or a lean R, I predicted a solid win, for the Blue team.
Arizona: Sinema will win and will caucus with the Democrats. (They have her as a tossup.)
California: Feinstein is retiring and will be replaced with a Democrat, such as Adam Schiff or Katie Porter.
Delaware: Carper is retiring and will be replaced with a Democrat.
Florida: Republican Rick Scott will be defeated by a Democrat. Flip.
Michigan: Stabenow is retiring and will be replaced with a Democrat.
Montana: Tester will win. (They have him as a tossup.)
Ohio: Brown will win. (They have him as a tossup.)
Texas: Ted Cruz, you lose. Flip. (They have him as likely R. I say, the blue wave will defeat him.)
West Virginia: Manchin will win and will caucus with the Democrats. (They have him as a tossup.)
Now for the House:
en.wikipedia.org/…
I did things a little differently for the House, since there are so many seats there.
When it says solid D or solid R, or if the incumbent is a D, and it says tossup, I left it alone. I predict all the D tossups will be solid wins for the Blue team.
If it has a Republican as a tossup, or a lean R, I predicted a solid win, for the Blue team.
I only named two names, to save time.
Alabama: 2 flips.
Arizona: 2 flips.
California: 3 flips.
Colorado: Boebert will lose. Flip.
Iowa: 1 flip.
Michigan: 1 flip.
Nebraska: 1 flip.
New Jersey: 1 flip.
New York: 5 flips, including Santos.
Oregon: 1 flip.
Virginia: 1 flip.
Okay, this gives us a 6-vote advantage, 53 to 47 in the Senate.
In the House, we should have a 27-vote advantage, 231 to 204.
So, in 2025, after everyone is sworn in, we can pass new:
gun laws,
climate laws,
and codify Roe, as Biden has said it.
www.bing.com/…
That was written some time back, but it still clarifies what we can do in 2025.
Wow, imagine that. I wrote about politics and elections here at Daily Kos!
Ha!
Take care of yourselves, and each other.
Hugs.
[END]
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