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Ukraine Invasion Day 577: longer range missiles, ATACMs, will be made available [1]

['This Content Is Not Subject To Review Daily Kos Staff Prior To Publication.']

Date: 2023-09-22

“The Greater Good”: ATACMS, the Army Tactical Missile Systems are coming to the battlefield, and will allow greater range in targeting.

Sevastopol, Crimea, Friday Sept. 22, 2023. Ukraine carried out a fiery missile strike Friday on the main headquarters of Russia’s Black Sea Fleet and one serviceman was missing, the Russian Defense Ministry said.

Ukrainian forces carried out drone and cruise missile strikes on occupied Crimea and significantly damaged the Russian Black Sea Fleet (BSF) Command headquarters in Sevastopol on September 22. The Ukrainian Armed Forces Center for Strategic Communications (StratCom) stated that Ukrainian forces launched a successful strike on the Russian BSF Command headquarters in Sevastopol, Crimea on September 22.[1] Russian sources claimed that Ukrainian forces used Storm Shadow cruise missiles to conduct the strike, and social media footage of the headquarters indicates significant damage to the building.[2] The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) claimed that Russian air defenses shot down five Ukrainian missiles and acknowledged that the Ukrainian strike damaged a building of BSF Command headquarters.[3] Russian sources claimed that Ukrainian forces launched a drone strike preceding the missile strike, and the Russian MoD claimed that Russian air defenses shot down two Ukrainian drones on the western coast of Crimea on the morning of September 22.[4] www.understandingwar.org/... x Without a watermark: The moment Ukrainian Storm Shadow/SCALP-G missiles hit the Russian Black Sea Fleet HQ in temporarily occupied Sevastopol, Crimea today pic.twitter.com/MXs74zrvFi — Giorgi Revishvili (@revishvilig) September 22, 2023 9 people killed, 16 injured in Ukrainian attack against Russia's Black Sea Fleet headquarters. Russian generals are among the casualties.

x Ukraine Situation Report: Signs Small Number Of ATACMS May Soon Be On Way https://t.co/G1vp5VzjdR — The War Zone (@thewarzonewire) September 23, 2023

x If true, excellent news!



Biden tells Zelenskyy that U.S. will send Ukraine ATACMS long-range missiles for the first time https://t.co/onkJfLyoXY via @nbcnews — Michael McFaul (@McFaul) September 22, 2023

x Americans have both moral and realpolitik reasons to help Ukrainians defeat Russia's invasion of their country. I explain both here:



Opinion | Why all Americans have a stake in what happens in Ukraine next https://t.co/1xs6aKIpj8 via @msnbc — Michael McFaul (@McFaul) September 21, 2023

For weeks, Ukrainian forces have been probing Russian defenses in the southeast, looking for an opening to push their armored vehicles behind the main Russian line. But artillery fire and Russian counterattacks had been too intense to allow Ukrainian armor to pass. This week, though, Ukrainian armored vehicles advanced past Russia’s main anti-tank defenses at one location on the frontline, according to reconnaissance video and commanders, showing slight progress in Kyiv’s halting counteroffensive. www.nytimes.com/...

Ukraine’s prime minister, Denys Shmyhal, has said that Russia has restarted a campaign of aerial attacks on Ukrainian energy infrastructure. During winter last year, Russian forces launched repeated attacks on Ukraine’s energy grid that left millions without electricity, heating and water for extended periods. “We understand that the stage of energy terror in this heating season has already begun,” Shmyhal said at an economic forum in Kyiv, one day after Moscow’s forces were reported to have fired more than 40 cruise missiles at Ukraine.

One serviceman is missing after Ukraine carried out a missile strike on the main headquarters of Russia’s Black Sea Fleet, in Crimea, the Russian defence ministry said. The ministry initially said one service member was killed but then issued a subsequent statement saying he was missing. The Russian-installed governor of Sevastopol, Mikhail Razvozhayev , said no one was injured outside the burning headquarters, and he didn’t provide information on other casualties. Firefighters are reportedly battling the blaze with more emergency forces being brought in. The reports are yet to be independently verified.

Oleksandr Prokudin , Ukraine’s governor of Kherson , has posted to Telegram to say that one person has died as a result of Russian military action in the region this morning.

Infrastructure minister Oleksandr Kubrakov has said that three new cargo ships are heading towards Ukrainian Black Sea ports for further food exports. The move comes as it was confirmed a second cargo vessel loaded with grain had departed from Ukraine’s Chornomorsk seaport. Agriculture ministry data published Friday shows that Ukrainian grain exports fell sharply year-on-year. Last September the UN and Turkey-brokered Black Sea grain initiative was in operation.

Ukraine’s president, Volodymyr Zelenskiy, has arrived in Canada. Earlier this week he visited the US Capitol, Pentagon and the White House. Zelenskiy’s visit to Washington was a much tougher one than the hero’s welcome he was given nine months ago, as some hardline Republicans are threatening to block US President Joe Biden’s request for a fresh $24bn aid package for Ukraine.

In a closed door briefing, Zelenskiy told senators that military aid was crucial to Ukraine’s war effort, majority leader Chuck Schumer said after the briefing, which took place behind closed doors . “If we don’t get the aid, we will lose the war,” Schumer quoted Zelenskiy as saying.

Biden assured Zelenskiy that strong US support for his war to repel Russian invaders would be maintained despite the Republican opposition . “Together with our partners and allies, the American people are determined to see to it to that [we do] all we can to ensure that the world stands with you,” Biden told him. The first US M1 Abrams tanks will arrive in Ukraine “next week,” Biden said.

A new US military aid package for Ukraine worth $325m will include air defence systems and the second tranche of cluster munitions fired by a 155mm Howitzer cannon, Reuters reported, citing a US official.

Russia is planning a huge defence spending hike in 2024 which will comprise 6% of gross domestic product in 2024, up from 3.9% in 2023 and 2.7% in 2021, Bloomberg News reports.

Hungary’s foreign minister, Peter Szijjarto , will meet his Russian counterpart, Sergei Lavrov , on the sidelines of the UN general assembly on Friday, he told the Hungarian public television channel M1. Hungary has been a vocal critic of the EU’s sanctions on Russia, but so far supported all the agreed measures.

The European Commission president, Ursula von der Leyen , has said another €1.5bn has been disbursed to Ukraine.

Poland ’s president has said a dispute with Ukraine over grain imports will not significantly impact positive diplomatic relations.

The UK’s Crown Prosecution Service authorised charges Thursday against five people suspected of spying for Russia. The three men and two women, aged between 29 and 45, are accused of “conspiring to collect information intended to be directly or indirectly useful to an enemy”, the CPS said. www.theguardian.com/... x Zelensky walking into the House of Commons to “Slava Ukraini!”



What a moment. #cdnpoli pic.twitter.com/R9F12GFQ7t — Lucas Meyer (@meyer_lucas) September 22, 2023 Key Takeaways: Ukrainian forces carried out drone and cruise missile strikes on occupied Crimea and significantly damaged the Russian Black Sea Fleet (BSF) Command headquarters in Sevastopol on September 22.

The Russian information space heavily focused its attention on the Ukrainian strike on Sevastopol on September 22.

Ukrainian forces advanced south of Bakhmut and reportedly advanced in western Zaporizhia Oblast on September 22.

The US Department of Defense (DoD) announced a new security assistance package on September 21, providing Ukraine with $325 million worth of military equipment.

The US will reportedly soon provide long-range army tactical missile systems (ATACMS) to Ukraine.

Russian efforts to intensify divisions between Ukraine and its Central European partners appear to have suffered a setback as Polish Prime Minister Andrzej Duda reiterated the strength of Polish-Ukrainian relations on September 22.

A Ukrainian military official swiftly denied Russian claims that Wagner Group forces are operating in occupied Kherson Oblast.

The Russian Federal Security Service (FSB) is reportedly investigating high-ranking Rosgvardia officials over their potential involvement in Wagner Group’s rebellion on June 24.

Russian forces conducted offensive operations in the Kupyansk area, near Bakhmut, along the Avdiivka-Donetsk City line, and in western Donetsk Oblast and reportedly advanced in the Donetsk-Zaporizhia Oblast administrative border area.

The Russian government is reportedly planning to increase defense spending by 4.4 trillion rubles ($46 billion) in 2024. www.understandingwar.org/...

x ⚡️ WAR IN #UKRAINE - SEP 22



■ 🇷🇺 missile strikes (most since Mar 10), 64% intercepted

■ Record 81 artillery systems destroyed by 🇺🇦 in 2 days

■ Troop losses slightly below average

■ KIU: +34 officers, Oryx: 17 🇷🇺 12 🇺🇦 added (17:10 w/corrections)



📈 https://t.co/rVCr9c6lQx pic.twitter.com/GY50XHNV51 — Ragnar Gudmundsson 🇮🇸🇺🇦 (@ragnarbjartur) September 22, 2023

x Canada will send Ukraine 50 made-in-Canada armored vehicles!



🇨🇦🤝🇺🇦 — Saint Javelin (@saintjavelin) September 23, 2023

Ukrainian forces advanced south of Bakhmut and reportedly advanced in western Zaporizhia Oblast on September 22. Geolocated footage published on September 22 indicates that Ukrainian forces advanced southeast of Klishchiivka (7km southwest of Bakhmut).[11] … The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Ukrainian forces continued to conduct offensive operations in the Melitopol (western Zaporizhia Oblast) direction and offensive actions in the Bakhmut direction, exhausting and inflicting losses on Russian forces along the entire front.[13] www.understandingwar.org/... Russian Subordinate Main Effort #1 – Luhansk Oblast (Russian objective: Capture the remainder of Luhansk Oblast and push westward into eastern Kharkiv Oblast and northern Donetsk Oblast) Russian forces reportedly conducted offensive operations in the Kupyansk area on September 22 but did not advance. ... Ukrainian Severodonetsk City Administration Head Roman Vlasenko stated on September 22 that Russian forces are more actively using artillery and aviation in operations in Luhansk Oblast in order to save manpower and equipment.[32] www.understandingwar.org/... Russian Subordinate Main Effort #2 – Donetsk Oblast (Russian objective: Capture the entirety of Donetsk Oblast, the claimed territory of Russia’s proxies in Donbas) Ukrainian forces continued assaults near Bakhmut on September 22 and advanced. Geolocated footage published on September 22 indicates that Ukrainian forces advanced southeast of Klishchiivka (7km southwest of Bakhmut).[37] … The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Ukrainian forces continued assaults south of Bakhmut, inflicting losses on Russian manpower and equipment and consolidating newly secured positions.[39] www.understandingwar.org/... Russian Supporting Effort – Southern Axis (Russian objective: Maintain frontline positions and secure rear areas against Ukrainian strikes) Russian forces continued launching unsuccessful localized attacks in western Donetsk Oblast and preparing defensive positions near Mariupol on September 22. The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Ukrainian forces repelled Russian attacks near Mykilske (5km southeast of Vuhledar).[51] Ukrainian Mariupol Mayoral Advisor Petro Andryushchenko reported that Russian forces transported “dragons teeth” fortifications equipment in the direction of Nikolske (16km northwest of Mariupol) to build a defensive line in the area that would defend Russia’s ground lines of communication (GLOCs) towards occupied Crimea.[52] Andryushchenko also reported that Ukrainian forces struck an unspecified Russian target in Rozivka (44km northwest of Mariupol).[53] www.understandingwar.org/... www.understandingwar.org/... www.understandingwar.org/... www.understandingwar.org/... www.understandingwar.org/... www.understandingwar.org/... Ukrainian armored vehicles are operating beyond the final line of the Russian defensive layer that Ukrainian forces in western Zaporizhia Oblast are currently penetrating, although ISW is not yet prepared to assess that Ukrainian forces have broken fully through this Russian defensive layer. Geolocated footage posted on September 21 indicates that Ukrainian armored vehicles advanced south of the Russian anti-tank ditches and dragon’s teeth obstacles that are part of a tri-layered defense and engaged in limited combat immediately west of Verbove (18km southeast of Orikhiv).[1] It is unclear if Ukrainian forces retain these positions, however. This is the first observed instance of Ukrainian forces operating armored vehicles beyond the Russian tri-layer defense.[2] The presence of Ukrainian armored vehicles beyond the final line of the current Russian defensive layer indicates that the Ukrainians have secured their breach of the first two lines of this layer sufficiently to operate vehicles through the breach. Ukrainian forces have likely suppressed Russian artillery and other anti-tank systems in the area enough to bring their vehicles forward.[3] The Ukrainian ability to bring armored vehicles to and through the most formidable Russian defenses intended to stop them and to operate these vehicles near prepared Russian defensive positions are important signs of progress in the Ukrainian counteroffensive.[4] Additional geolocated footage published on September 20 and 21 indicates that Ukrainian forces also advanced west and southwest of Verbove.[5] www.understandingwar.org/...

x Donald Trump’s mixed messages on Ukraine have emboldened the Republican Party’s isolationist wing. It expects the former president to pull back support if he returns to the White House https://t.co/DYTebnUBlp — The Economist (@TheEconomist) September 23, 2023

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