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Ukraine Invasion Day 567: Putin says invasions of Hungary '56, and Czechoslovakia '68, were wrong [1]

['This Content Is Not Subject To Review Daily Kos Staff Prior To Publication.']

Date: 2023-09-13

Putin also reamplified several boilerplate information operations falsely framing the Ukrainian counteroffensive as a failed endeavor and accused Ukraine of being unwilling to negotiate. Russian President Vladimir Putin on Tuesday praised Elon Musk, calling the Tesla and SpaceX founder a “talented businessman.”

These plans, proposals, and disagreements are not new and do not indicate that Russian President Vladimir Putin has ultimately decided to conduct a second reserve mobilization wave in the near term. ISW previously observed an increase in discussions about reserve mobilization preparations and speculations in the lead-up to the spring conscription cycle earlier in 2023. [3] Select Russian officials have also proposed more dramatic mobilization measures that have not materialized. [4] Putin also emphasized Russian contract service recruitment rates when responding to the question about the potential second reserve mobilization wave at the Eastern Economic Forum on September 12. [5] Putin’s response does not necessarily set information conditions to prepare Russian society for involuntary mobilization and instead may suggest his commitment to ongoing crypto mobilization practices. Any new reserve mobilization wave depends on Putin. [6] Putin also reamplified several boilerplate information operations falsely framing the Ukrainian counteroffensive as a failed endeavor and accused Ukraine of being unwilling to negotiate during his address at the Eastern Economic Forum. Putin claimed that the Ukrainian counteroffensive has failed to produce concrete results and presented likely very inflated numbers of claimed Ukrainian personnel and equipment losses. [7] Putin also accused Ukraine of being unwilling to negotiate and claimed that Russia cannot pursue an end to hostilities as long as Ukraine is pursuing a counteroffensive, thereby furthering a longstanding Russian information operation that seeks to accuse Ukraine as being the party disinterested in negotiations in order to undermine Ukrainian battlefield successes and reduce international support for Ukraine, as ISW has previously reported. [8] www.understandingwar.org/...

Sevastapol shipyard hit

x Starlink stopped working approximately half an hour after the attack on the Sevastopol Shipyard.

In the night of September 13, at precisely 3:33 AM, Elon Musk's company reported a network outage. Starlink resumed its operation at 4:39 AM. The outage was confirmed by the… pic.twitter.com/bM7311dzmN — Dr. Khaled Alfaiomi (@Alfaiomi) September 13, 2023

x #Ukraine: 11. #Germany is to purchase 2 batteries of 36mm Skynex anti-aircraft systems to deliver to UA next year. #Armenia is holding military drills with #USA this week & also planning to ratify ICC treaty - which will piss off Putin for whom there is an ICC warrant. #tweet365 pic.twitter.com/i7k4RmOsma — Peter Clifford Online (@PeterClifford1) September 11, 2023

x The gripen was specifically created to defeat the best jet Russia has to offer! Gripen doesn't even need a long or even close to standard sized runway to take off! Also, Russia's SU jets would be detected and destroyed by Jas gripen well before SU radar even knew the gripen was… — MFJB (@mfjmfb) September 12, 2023

Key Takeaways: Russian insider sources claimed that the Kremlin’s inner circle is again actively disagreeing about the necessity of and preparations for a second wave of reserve mobilization ahead of the semi-annual fall conscription cycle, which starts on October 1.

These plans, proposals, and disagreements are not new and do not indicate that Russian President Vladimir Putin has ultimately decided to conduct a second reserve mobilization wave in the near term.

Putin also reamplified several boilerplate information operations falsely framing the Ukrainian counteroffensive as a failed endeavor and accused Ukraine of being unwilling to negotiate during his address at the Eastern Economic Forum.

North Korean leader Kim Jong Un arrived in Primorsky Krai on September 12 and will meet with Putin in the coming days, likely to discuss the provision of North Korean artillery munitions to Russia.

Russian authorities have reportedly adjusted air defense systems around Moscow in light of recent increased drone strikes on the city, likely in part to assuage complaints in the Russian information space about the ineffectiveness of air defenses around the capital.

Russian forces conducted offensive operations along the Kupyansk-Svatove-Kreminna line, near Bakhmut, along the Avdiivka-Donetsk City line, along the Donetsk-Zaporizhia Oblast border area, and in western Zaporizhia and advanced in some areas on September 12.

Ukrainian forces conducted offensive operations in at least two sectors of the front on September 12 and advanced near Bakhmut, along the Avdiivka-Donetsk City line, and in western Zaporizhia Oblast.

Russian officials introduced a bill to the Russian State Duma that would punish Russian servicemen fighting within volunteer armed formations for losing or deliberately destroying military equipment or supplies.

Russian occupation officials continue to deport children from occupied areas of Ukraine to Russia under the guise of recreational programs. www.understandingwar.org/...

x ⚡️ WAR IN #UKRAINE - SEP 12



■ Engagements stay slightly below average

■ Troop losses below average, triple-digit equipment

■ Incl. 4x MLRS & 3x air defence systems

■ Oryx: +17 🇷🇺, +0 🇺🇦 (net change) - 30-day ratio rises



Note: only summary today



📈 https://t.co/lM7frHqqAo pic.twitter.com/zQIQA12hCw — Ragnar Gudmundsson 🇮🇸🇺🇦 (@ragnarbjartur) September 12, 2023

x Soldiers from the 47th Mechanized Brigade describe their experiences with Leopard 2A6 tanks.

This brigade pushed through the russian troops' first line of defense near Robotyne, Zaporizhzhia region.

🎥 @StratCom_AFU pic.twitter.com/KgZH7daeOa — Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) September 12, 2023

“In the Zaporizhzia direction, the Ukrainian Armed Forces, with the support of artillery, reached Novoprokopivka and attacked in a forest plantation one and a half kilometers north of the village.” Russian Subordinate Main Effort #1 – Luhansk Oblast (Russian objective: Capture the remainder of Luhansk Oblast and push westward into eastern Kharkiv Oblast and northern Donetsk Oblast) Ukrainian forces conducted offensive operations along the Kupyansk-Svatove-Kreminna line but did not advance on September 12. Russian sources, including the Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD), claimed that Ukrainian forces unsuccessfully attacked in the direction of Berestove (20km northwest of Svatove), south of Kuzmyne (3km southwest of Kreminna), near Torske (15km west of Kreminna) and in the Serebryanske forest area (10km southwest of Kreminna) and reported that fighting is ongoing near Synkivka (8km northeast of Kupyansk) and in the directions of Petropavlivka (7km east of Kupyansk) and Kyslivka (20km southeast of Kupyansk). [22] www.understandingwar.org/... Russian Subordinate Main Effort #2 – Donetsk Oblast (Russian objective: Capture the entirety of Donetsk Oblast, the claimed territory of Russia’s proxies in Donbas) Ukrainian forces conducted offensive operations near Bakhmut on September 12 and recently advanced. Geolocated footage published on September 11 and 12 shows that Ukrainian forces made limited gains north of Kurdyumivka (13km southwest of Bakhmut) and southwest of Mayorsk (21km southwest of Bakhmut). [28] The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Ukrainian forces are continuing offensive operations and advancing south of Bakhmut. [29] ...The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) claimed that Russian forces repelled Ukrainian attacks near Mayorsk and west of Andriivka (9km southwest of Bakhmut). [31] A Russian news aggregator claimed on September 11 that Ukrainian forces entered Andriivka but that Russian forces maintain positions in the settlement. [32] www.understandingwar.org/... Russian forces conducted offensive operations along the Avdiivka-Donetsk City line on September 12 and reportedly advanced. ... The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Russian forces conducted unsuccessful attacks near Avdiivka, Marinka (on the southwestern outskirts of Donetsk City), and Novomykhailivka (10km southwest of Donetsk City). [39] ...Geolocated footage published on September 12 shows elements of the 1st Donetsk People’s Republic (DNR) “Slavic” Brigade (1st DNR Army Corps) defending north of Opytne. [41] www.understandingwar.org/... Russian Supporting Effort – Southern Axis (Russian objective: Maintain frontline positions and secure rear areas against Ukrainian strikes) Ukrainian forces continued offensive operations in the Donetsk-Zaporizhia Oblast border area and did not make confirmed advances on September 12. Russian sources claimed that Russian forces repelled a Ukrainian attack on the northwestern outskirts of Novomayorske (18km southeast of Velyka Novosilka) on the morning of September 12. [45]... Russian Eastern Grouping of Forces Spokesperson Oleg Chekov claimed that Russian forces repelled a Ukrainian infantry attack north of Pryyutne (16km southwest of Velyka Novosilka), and a Russian milblogger claimed that Ukrainian forces went on the defensive in the area. [47] www.understandingwar.org/... www.understandingwar.org/...

Oryx@oryxspioenkop Russia is now visually confirmed to have lost 1000 BMP-2 IFVs since it launched its invasion of #Ukraine on February 24, 2022; Total IFV losses come in at 2774.

Russian President Vladimir Putin has said the Soviet invasions of Hungary and Czechoslovakia were wrong. Speaking at a forum in eastern Russia, he said it is not right to do anything in foreign policy that harms the interests of other people. His remarks come as Russian troops continue fighting in Ukraine. The Soviet Union invaded Hungary in 1956 and Czechoslovakia in 1968 following mass protests and demands for greater freedoms. President Putin made the comments at the Eastern Economic Forum in the far eastern Russian city of Vladivostok on Tuesday. A moderator asked him how he would respond to those who say the Soviet Union behaved like a colonial power when it sent tanks into Prague in 1968 and Budapest in 1956. Mr Putin said: "We acknowledged a long time ago that that part of the Soviet policy was mistaken and only led to tension in relations. One must not do anything in foreign policy that comes in direct contradiction with the interests of other peoples." Mr Putin went on to say that countries in the West, primarily the US, were now making the same mistake as the Soviets made then. "They put pressure on their allies, so-called partners. They have no friends. They only have interests. That is a continuation of a well-known British formula," he said. Mr Putin's comments about the Soviet Union's actions in Hungary and Czechoslovakia appear to contradict the views of some within his inner circle. www.bbc.com/... Putin said the prosecution in the United States of former President Donald Trump was politically motivated and demonstrated the "rottenness" of the U.S. political system. But the Kremlin chief said that no matter who won next year's U.S. election, he expected no change in Washington's policy towards Russia. "The will be no fundamental changes in the Russian direction in U.S. foreign policy, no matter who is elected president," Putin said. "The U.S. authorities perceive Russia as an existential enemy." Putin also defended his pivot towards Asia, which he said was accelerated by the war and the West's attempt to constrict the $2.1 trillion Russian economy. Speaking ahead of a meeting with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un, Putin said the West was trying to deter China from having close relations with Russia, but that such attempts had failed as ties with Beijing were at an unprecedented level. The West's decision to supply Ukraine with cluster bombs and depleted uranium munitions was a crime, he said. Such supplies might prolong the war, he added, but they would not change its ultimate outcome. He also criticised the West's decision to supply Ukraine with F-16 jets and any possible U.S. supply of Army Tactical Missile Systems (ATACMS). www.reuters.com/...

x "The breach near Zaporizhzhia offers some optimism that success can still be achieved. But the weeks to come will illustrate whether Ukraine has the material resources to consolidate at the point of greatest impact." https://t.co/Jyl8amI5Bl — Modern War Institute (@WarInstitute) September 12, 2023

x Timothy Snyder: People know Russia is committing genocide in Ukraine but are afraid to say so - https://t.co/pxA4R71vkL https://t.co/OZ2PrJW4ON — fernando ferreira (@onfaitavec) September 12, 2023

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[1] Url: https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2023/9/13/2192817/-Ukraine-Invasion-Day-567-Putin-says-invasions-of-Hungary-56-and-Czechoslovakia-68-were-wrong

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