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Ukraine Invasion Day 566: continued counteroffensive operations in Donetsk and Zaporizhia oblasts [1]

['This Content Is Not Subject To Review Daily Kos Staff Prior To Publication.']

Date: 2023-09-11

Ukrainian forces continued counteroffensive operations in Donetsk and Zaporizhia oblasts on September 11 and have reportedly advanced near Bakhmut and in western Zaporizhia Oblast.

Ukrainian military officials announced on September 11 that Ukrainian forces have liberated 2 square kilometers of territory in the Bakhmut direction over the past week and have made gains near Klishchiivka (6km southwest of Bakhmut) and Andriiivka (9km southwest of Bakhmut).[1] Ukrainian Deputy Defense Minister Hanna Malyar also stated that Ukrainian forces have gained a total of 4.8 square kilometers in the Tavriisk (Zaporizhia) operational direction over the past week, particularly south of Robotyne (10km south of Orikhiv) and west of Verbove (20km southeast of Orikhiv).[2]

Putin's theory of victory has evolved

For the Russians, winter will allow for planning their likely 2024 offensive campaigns.

Just as Chief of the General Staff of the Russian Armed Forces General Valary Gerasimov did at the beginning of this year, the Russians may want to start with offensives in January 2024. As such, General Gerasimov will be considering priorities for these offensives, where to employ residual experienced units, and the myriad of preparations needed for next year.

The Russians will also be stockpiling stores and ammunition for use over winter and for 2024. They will be investing in the measures to protect these, given the Ukrainian talent for finding and destroying such locations.

General Gerasimov — who has been overall Russian commander in Ukraine for longer than any other — will have received clear direction from Putin not to lose.

Putin's theory of victory has evolved over the past year. He appears to have decided to prolong the war until Ukraine's foreign supporters tire of the war.

[...]

Russia will want to minimise Ukraine's ability to conduct a winter strike campaign while also reduce its stocks that might be used in Ukrainian 2024 offensives.

www.abc.net.au/...

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[1] Url: https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2023/9/11/2192780/-Ukraine-Invasion-Day-566-continued-counteroffensive-operations-in-Donetsk-and-Zaporizhia-oblasts

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