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What are "Get to 55" and the Hopium Chronicles? [1]
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Date: 2023-08-14
What is 55%? It’s the goal set by Simon Rosenberg to raise the Democratic Party’s share in the electorate from 51.4% (Biden in 2020) to 55% in 2024 and beyond.
What is the Hopium Chronicles? It’s the Substack started by Simon Rosenberg, which everyone on here should check out and subscribe to (budget permitting; it’s 5 bucks a month)).
Who is Simon Rosenberg? He is the Democratic strategist who almost alone among pundits et al.,* predicted there would be no “red wave” in November 2022. Prior to the election, he was mocked for this by the likes of Nate Silver:
“We can’t trust the data on RealClearPolitics or FiveThirtyEight any longer,” Mr. Rosenberg complained on MSNBC in late October, “because it’s essentially Republican propaganda.” Nate Silver, FiveThirtyEight’s founder, dismissed Mr. Rosenberg’s criticism by suggesting he was smoking Democratic “hopium,” saying on the site’s politics podcast that FiveThirtyEight’s model was devised to account for pollsters’ partisanship.
In the great tradition of Dark Brandon, Simon coopted Silver’s derisive term and named the Substack Hopium Chronicles.
Here is Simon’s Hopium Memo on getting to 55. The crux:
expand our coalition in the short term – under 45-year-old voters, Hispanics, Never-MAGA Republicans and those whose political views have or can be changed due to Republican extremism on abortion (not just women but men who run from the GOP due to this too)
We can do this by (1) Becoming “information warriors” — mass numbers of us disseminating facts to show “With Democrats Things Get Better.” and (2) A national young voter registration drive. (Something I have written about frequently here.)
As with Simon’s pre-2022 prediction, his Get to 55 program is based on substantial data. Please read it even if you don’t subscribe.
What can you do?
Simon is running a Late Summer Hopium Chronicles Paid Subscription Drive - Help Me Get to 300. In my view, it should be way beyond 300. And he is offering a 10% discount for all yearly subscriptions, through Labor Day!
*Tom Bonier provided support for and joined Simon’s prediction.
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https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2023/8/14/2187069/-What-are-Get-to-55-and-the-Hopium-Chronicles
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