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Ukraine Invasion Day 534: counteroffensive operations in Bakhmut, Berdyansk, and Melitipol [1]

['This Content Is Not Subject To Review Daily Kos Staff Prior To Publication.']

Date: 2023-08-10

Ukrainian forces continued counteroffensive operations on at least three sectors of the front and advanced in the Donetsk-Zaporizhia Oblast border area on August 10.

Ukrainian forces continued counteroffensive operations on at least three sectors of the front and advanced in the Donetsk-Zaporizhia Oblast border area on August 10. The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Ukrainian forces continued counteroffensive operations in the Bakhmut, Berdyansk (Donetsk-Zaporizhia Oblast border area), and Melitopol (western Zaporizhia Oblast) directions. [9] Geolocated footage published on August 10 suggests that Ukrainian forces crossed the Mokri Yaly River and advanced eastward into the southwestern outskirts of Urozhaine (9km south of Velyka Novosilka) in the Donetsk-Zaporizhia Oblast border area. [10] The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Ukrainian forces achieved partial successes in the direction of Urozhaine and south and southeast of Staromayroske (9km south of Velyka Novosilka). [11] Russian forces conducted another series of missile and drone strikes in Ukraine overnight on August 9-10. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and Zaporizhia Oblast officials reported that Russian forces conducted an Iskander missile strike against a residential area in Zaporizhzhia City, injuring 16 civilians. [17] The Ukrainian Air Force reported that Russian forces targeted Ukraine with 10 Shahed 131 and 136 drones, seven of which Ukrainian forces shot down. [18] Rivne Oblast Regional Administration Head Vitaly Koval reported that a Russian drone struck an oil depot in Dubno Raion, Rivne Oblast. [19] www.understandingwar.org/...

x LIVE THE DREAM: The An-225 ‘Mriya’ (Dream) was the heaviest aircraft ever built and was a symbol of Ukraine’s prowess. Burned by RU at Hostomel, the Anatov company says it plans to build another. Mriya is the symbol of https://t.co/DN8AIvLWPO and @MriyaReport. Help us help UKR! pic.twitter.com/T4BNPSsfR1 — Chuck Pfarrer | Indications & Warnings | (@ChuckPfarrer) November 7, 2022

The battle for Hostomel Airport was the first major battle of the Russo-Ukrainian War (2022-present) and a decisive event in the war. This battle started on the morning of February 24 and lasted less than 36 hours. In the opening hours of the Russo-Ukrainian war Russian forces sought to seize a key airfield just 12 miles from the capital’s center. Additional airborne battalions would follow on transport planes. They would rapidly deploy, seek to take control of the city, and overthrow the government or make the leadership flee. Russia ultimately gained control of the airport but failed to achieve the objective of the assault. Ukrainian National Guard conscripts, backed by artillery units, were able to delay the elite Russian airborne troops long enough to prevent the Russian military from using the airfield as an airbridge to support a rapid seizure of Ukraine’s capital. Russia’s primary objective was to take control of Kyiv within 3-4 days. Vladimir Putin believed that if the Russian military could reach the capital quickly enough, President Volodymyr Zelensky and his government would capitulate, the population could be subdued, and a pro-Russian regime installed before effective resistance could be mobilized or the international community could react. This is undoubtedly why some senior U.S. officials, in the run up to the war, thought that Kyiv could fall within 72 hours. warontherocks.com/... x This is a very good short history of the Battle of Hostomel, the first major ground battle of the war in #Ukraine in 2022. When explored from the Ukrainian and Russian sides, there are excellent lessons for military #education & #training. 1/5 🧵https://t.co/uBrLZ7AfMx — Mick Ryan, AM (@WarintheFuture) August 10, 2023 2/ From the Ukrainian side, the importance of anticipation and force apportionment / prioritization. Understanding the terrain matters, but so does logistics. And of course, training, #adaptation, knowing your enemy, and #leadership would be key #PME takeaways from this battle. 3/ From the Russian side, surprise and shock action were important objectives and they nearly pulled it off. Intel, planning and execution of air defence suppression & air mobile operations were important. Operational design - how it fit within a larger plan - was vital. 4/ So there are many insights from this battle that can inform force design, training & education in military institutions. But it is also worth noting that #Ukraine and Russia have both learned and adapted since this battle as well. 5/ In conclusion, this is a fine initial history of the battle. Thanks to @LiamSCollins @SpencerGuard and @KofmanMichael for this @WarOnTheRocks article. • • •

Key Takeaways: The Wagner Group continues to maintain a presence at facilities in Belarus and the status of its rumored withdrawal to Russia remains unclear.

Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin has yet to comment on these speculations either directly or through intermediary sources as he has done previously, suggesting that Prigozhin may not be entirely at liberty to comment on the future of Wagner.

Ukrainian forces continued counteroffensive operations on at least three sectors of the front and advanced in the Donetsk-Zaporizhia Oblast border area on August 10.

A Russian milblogger accused Russian military personnel of fabricating or embellishing claims of Russian forces destroying Ukrainian vehicles in Ukraine.

Russian forces conducted another series of missile and drone strikes in Ukraine overnight on August 9-10.

The Kremlin is likely attempting to crypto-nationalize Russian internet giant Yandex to strengthen control over the Russian information space in preparation for the 2024 Russian presidential election.

The possible transfer of Yandex to affiliates of Russian First Deputy Presidential Chief of Staff Sergey Kiriyenko suggests that Putin seeks to reward Kiriyenko for his personal loyalty, particularly following the June 24 Wagner Group rebellion.

Affiliates of arrested former Federal Security Service (FSB) officer and ardent ultranationalist Igor Girkin continue to explicitly attack the Kremlin on August 10.

Russian forces conducted offensive operations along the Kupyansk-Svatove-Kreminna line, near Bakhmut, along the Avdiivka-Donetsk City line, the western Donetsk-eastern Zaporizhia Oblast border area, and in western Zaporizhia Oblast on August 10 and made some advances.

Ukrainian forces continued counteroffensive operations on at least three sectors of the front and advanced in the western Donetsk-eastern Zaporizhia Oblast border area on August 10.

Russian officials continue to highlight the claimed success of the Russian defense industrial base (DIB).

A Ukrainian military official reported that Russian forces are co-opting civilian infrastructure for the repression of local populations in the occupied territories.

x ⚡️ WAR IN #UKRAINE - AUG 10



Troop losses down, equipment stays above 7-day average



REPORTED:

580 troop losses ⬇

7-day troop average: 621 ⬇

Equipment losses: $58M ⬆

64 landbased losses ➡

7-day average: 60 ⬇



📈 https://t.co/WCoxH0ONnu pic.twitter.com/OMFeRESOnO — Ragnar Gudmundsson 🇮🇸🇺🇦 [email protected] (@ragnarbjartur) August 10, 2023

Russian Subordinate Main Effort #1 – Luhansk Oblast (Russian objective: Capture the remainder of Luhansk Oblast and push westward into eastern Kharkiv Oblast and northern Donetsk Oblast) Russian forces continued offensive operations northeast of Kupyansk and reportedly advanced on August 10. The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Ukrainian forces repelled Russian attacks north of Synkivka (8km northeast of Kupyansk) and near Ivanivka (20km southeast of Kupyansk). [35] Ukrainian Eastern Group of Forces Spokesperson Colonel Serhiy Cherevaty stated that Russian forces are trying to seize the initiative in the Kupyansk direction and that Ukrainian forces have significantly strengthened defenses in the area in recent days. [36] The Russian MoD claimed that assault detachments of the Russian Western Grouping of Forces improved their tactical situation along the front line during offensive operations in the Kupyansk direction. [37] Russian Western Grouping of Forces Spokesperson Sergey Zybinsky claimed that Russian elements of the 6th Combined Arms Army (Western Military District) captured five Ukrainian strongholds near Vilshana (14km northeast of Kupyansk). [38] ... ISW has not yet observed visual evidence of Russian forces making these recent advances in the Kupyansk direction and currently assesses that the closest Russian positions to Kupyansk are roughly 10km northeast of the settlement. www.understandingwar.org/... x The russians are burning their own T-72.

The probability of getting burned inside such tank is so high, they feel it’s much better to destroy it themselves and run away.

The #UAarmy welcomes these moves. pic.twitter.com/mIBDzVT2fL — Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) August 10, 2023 www.understandingwar.org/... Russian Subordinate Main Effort #2 – Donetsk Oblast (Russian Objective: Capture the entirety of Donetsk Oblast, the claimed territory of Russia’s proxies in Donbas) Ukrainian forces continued offensive operations near Bakhmut and made no confirmed or claimed advances on August 10. Russian sources claimed that Ukrainian forces conducted unsuccessful attacks south of Bakhmut near Klishchiivka (7km southwest of Bakhmut) and Andriivka (10km southwest of Bakhmut) and that the intensity of combat remains high in these areas. [52] A Russian source claimed that Ukrainian forces continued attacks near Berkhivka (6km northwest of Bakhmut) on August 9. [53] www.understandingwar.org/... Russian forces continued offensive operations near Bakhmut and reportedly made marginal advances on August 10. ... The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Russian forces conducted unsuccessful offensive actions northeast of Druzhba (18km southwest of Bakhmut), on the outskirts of Klishchiivka, and near Bohdanivka (5km northwest of Bakhmut. [55] www.understandingwar.org/... Russian Supporting Effort – Southern Axis (Russian objective: Maintain frontline positions and secure rear areas against Ukrainian strikes) Ukrainian forces conducted offensive operations in the western Donetsk-eastern Zaporizhia Oblast border area and advanced on August 10. Geolocated footage published on August 10 suggests that Ukrainian forces crossed the Mokri Yaly River and advanced eastward into the southwestern outskirts of Urozhaine (9km south of Velyka Novosilka). [59] The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Ukrainian forces continued offensive operations in the Berdyansk direction and achieved partial success south and southeast of Staromayorske (9km south of Velyka Novosilka) and in the direction of Urozhaine. [60] ...The Russian “Vostok” Battalion, which is defending the area, claimed that Ukrainian forces advanced closer to Urozhaine on the evening of August 9. [62] Russian sources claimed that Ukrainian forces continued attacking Russian forces on the outskirts of Urozhaine on the morning of August 10, and other Russian sources, including the Russian MoD, claimed that Russian forces repelled the Ukrainian attacks. [63] www.understandingwar.org/... www.understandingwar.org/... www.understandingwar.org/...

x Here's an unusual situation. I had a Tesla, crashed it, it was totaled. And now it's ... in Ukraine? And someone there is listening to Drake on my, still logged in, Spotify account. pic.twitter.com/ymW2psyvz6 — Jay Yarow (@jyarow) August 10, 2023

x BREAKING:



Azerbaijan announces it is donating mine clearance vehicles to Ukraine.



🇦🇿🇺🇦 pic.twitter.com/YZQb6SOvqf — Visegrád 24 (@visegrad24) August 10, 2023

x How should militaries conceptualize the balance between pursuing military objectives in cities and the need to safeguard the civilians there? https://t.co/j2L0Se8pwE — Modern War Institute (@WarInstitute) August 10, 2023

x 49 Leopard 1 Tanks that were Formerly in Service with the Belgian Army have been Sold by OIP Land Systems to a Major Arms Manufacture in an “Unknown European Country” with many claiming it to be Rheinmetall a German Arms Company; the Tanks will reportedly receive Modern Systems… pic.twitter.com/xs6EviKHqV — OSINTdefender (@sentdefender) August 9, 2023

x The Russian ruble is among three worst emerging-market currencies - Bloomberg.



"The ruble has weakened by 23% against the dollar so far this year, placing it among the three worst emerging-market performers with the Turkish lira and the Argentine peso. The ruble was trading… pic.twitter.com/OjYF7JRvtu — Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) August 9, 2023

x McConnell defends the proxy war in Ukraine: "We haven’t lost a single American... Most of the money that we spend related to Ukraine is actually spent in the US, replenishing weapons... So it’s actually employing people here and improving our own military for what may lie ahead." pic.twitter.com/xjd3RcVoRb — Aaron Maté (@aaronjmate) August 10, 2023

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