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Josh Marshall at TPM says the latest indictment of Trump assures him the nomination [1]

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Date: 2023-07-19

This link should allow access to the article, and it’s worth a read because Marshall opines the latest indictment of Trump is going to lock things down for him — but will create problems for the rest of the GOP.

..It now appears all but certain that Trump will A) receive the Republican presidential nomination with little real opposition and B) face four separate batches of felony indictments in four separate jurisdictions for crimes ranging from comparatively minor fraud to the greatest crime of all, attempting to overthrow the state and the constitution itself. Those two almost certain probabilities — seemingly facts in utter contradiction — are in fact mutually reinforcing. A normal candidate would be driven from the race. For Trump they become just more evidence of a larger battle that validates his status as not simply the head but the inevitable leader of the Republican Party. His role as victim effectively boxes out any serious challenger for the nomination.

While Marshall is not going to say this gives Biden a lock on the election — there’s just too many ways this can remain uncertain, Trump as the nominee is bad news for other Republicans.

..It would be foolish to think that even the gravest revelations will break Trump’s lock on the GOP. But that’s not the question. Every Republican candidate will carry those facts through the election. They’re the kind of impossible-to-answer questions that could easily knock a few percentage points of support from a number of Republican candidates. In a closely divided country, with closely divided houses of Congress, those small shifts can make all the difference.

Fingers crossed.

Read the whole thing.

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[1] Url: https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2023/7/19/2182328/-Josh-Marshall-at-TPM-says-the-latest-indictment-of-Trump-assures-him-the-nomination

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