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Abortion is on the Ballot in Ohio! Weekly Canvass Report for Pennsylvania and Ohio [1]

['This Content Is Not Subject To Review Daily Kos Staff Prior To Publication.']

Date: 2023-07-06

192 volunteers showed up to knock on doors in Ohio on Saturday in the low 80s, clear skies and absolutely beautiful canvassing weather. We are knocking on doors in 3 Congressional Districts (OH-01 represented by Democrat Greg Landsman (the grey CD on the lower left), OH-09, Marcy Kaptur (the pink CD on the top left) and OH-13, Emilia Sykes (the grey CD on the top right)) as well as the Columbus area. They knocked on 14,745 doors on Saturday and talked to 1,001 voters. 574 of those voters answered at least some of our questions on the Issues Survey. This does not include people who might have signed the petition or filled out a Constituent Service Request form.

The Economy, including worries about whether their would still be jobs for those undergoing lengthy training right now, remained the Top Issue of concern in Ohio this week. New Laws or the upcoming ballot measure in August was the secondly most mentioned concern. “On Aug. 8, Ohioans will decide if they want to raise the threshold needed to pass a constitutional amendment from the current simple majority to 60%. Republican lawmakers put this on the ballot, in part, to stop the abortion rights proposal.” What we have been calling concerns about Political Stability was the third most frequently mentioned concern, in this case fears expressed about what Trump or Republicans would do.

Joe Biden’s Approval numbers among the Ohioans we talked to was 51% last Saturday; his Disapproval number rose to 11%. Senator Brown’s Job Approval was 58% with 9% of the voters we talked to on Saturday expressing Disapproval. Approval of Governor DeWine, meanwhile, was 31%; Disapproval was 26% last Saturday. We have had a lot of comments about DeWine’s numbers, and his numbers have definitely dropped as the state legislature met.

Hope Springs from Field volunteers helped 8 more voters update their voter registration to comply with federal law.

44 voters filled out Constituent Service Request forms. We send completed CSRs to Democratic elected officials responsible for the requested functions, but if the appropriate office is held by a Republican, we still send it along. For Democrats, though, we encourage them to reach out immediately to the voter who filled out the Constituent Service Request forms and let them know they are working on the issue. This credit-taking is enormously valuable to the Democratic office-holder. We have even had candidates walk with Hope Springs volunteers because they had received one of these requests and wanted to understand how we collect them.

Hope Springs from Field PAC has been knocking on doors since March in a grassroots effort to prepare the 2024 Electoral Battleground in what has been called the First and Second Rounds of a traditional Five Round Canvass. We are canvassing Democrats and unaffiliated voters with a systematic approach that reminds them not only that Democrats care, but Democrats are determined to deliver the best government possible to all Americans.

Obviously, we rely on grassroots support, so if you support field/grassroots organizing, voter registration (and follow-up) and our efforts to protect our voters, we would certainly appreciate your support:

https://secure.actblue.com/donate/fistfulofsteel

Hope Springs from Field PAC understands that volunteer to voter personal interactions are critical. Knocking on doors has repeatedly been found to be the most successful tactic to get voters to cast a ballot and that is the goal of what we do.

78 volunteers came out to knock on doors in the Pittsburgh area last Saturday. Hope Springs volunteers knocked on 5,725 doors last Saturday and talked to 369 voters. 207 of those voters answered questions to at least part of the Issues Survey.

Jobs was the most frequent response to our question about voter’s top concern on Saturday in Pennsylvania. Our Economic Future was the second most frequent response this week, and there was quite a bit of variation how this was expressed, but especially concern about whether their children would have jobs they qualify for. Healthcare Costs was third.

Biden Approval among the Pennsylvanians we talked to continued to come in at 62% last Saturday while 2% expressed some measure of Disapproval. 67% of the voters who responded Approved of the job Sen. Casey was doing while Disapproval was statistically insignificant (1 voter said they disapproved). 63% of the voters we talked to thought Gov. Shapiro was doing a good job, 3% said they Disapproved. These numbers, though, are clearly from the outsized number of Democrats we talked to on Saturday. Remember that each week, we are hitting doors in different neighborhoods, which can account for sharp deviations in results (although looking at the graphic, there doesn’t seem to be much variation here!). There is no effort to make these responses statistically significant. This is just raw data.

3 voters filled out Constituent Service Request forms. We send completed CSRs to Democratic elected officials responsible for the requested functions, but if there are no Democrats who can further the request, and the appropriate office is held by a Republican, we still send it along. For Democrats, though, we encourage them to reach out immediately to the voter who filled out the Constituent Service Request forms and let them know they are working on the issue. This credit-taking is enormously valuable to the Democratic office-holder.

We knock on the doors of Democratic and Independent voters. At every door, we leave a piece of “show the flag” lit, something that tells them we were there and hopefully reinforces the Democratic brand. The lit focuses on the things voters told us were important to them last fall, aiming to appeal to every voter.

But the main focus of our canvassing right now is the Issues Survey, asking voters for their input and concerns. Voter responses to the questionnaire are entered into VAN and made available to all Democratic candidates who use VAN in the state after the primary. Creating this kind of data isn’t done with a specific goal in mind but has the purpose of engaging voters and creating a dataset that any Democratic candidate can use in opposition to a Republican.

Hope Springs has targeted states that have competitive Senate races and/or the Electoral College in 2024, as well as Congressional Districts that are remapped in ways that offer opportunities or vulnerabilities for Democrats next year (specifically those where a Republican won a Congressional District that voted for Biden in 2022). There is a lot of work to be done! Especially since we have had to expand the map this year.

By starting early, and aiming towards super-compliance with these really, really onerous provisions, Hope Springs from Field PAC seeks to undermine that strategy, while informing voters about the new laws and regulations aimed at them.

If you are able to support our efforts to protect Democratic voters, especially in minority communities, expand the electorate, and believe in grassroots efforts to increase voter participation and election protection, please help:

https://secure.actblue.com/donate/fistfulofsteel

Thank you for your support. This work depends upon you!

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[1] Url: https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2023/7/6/2179437/-Abortion-is-on-the-Ballot-in-Ohio-Weekly-Canvass-Report-for-Pennsylvania-and-Ohio

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