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Ukraine will possibly attack everywhere all at once [1]
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Date: 2023-05-16
I know kung fu.
Bahkmut points the way: there’s not a lot of reason to believe that the Russian fortifications are any less of a paper tiger than their army.
I know Wagner probably extra sucks at fortifications, but on the other hand the Russian MoD has depleted combat troops and equipment—and the troops that remain are mis-matched, poorly trained, demoralized, and disproportionately conscripted.
So having played hours of Risk as a teenager, I wonder if the following will prove to be the battle plan:
Recon in force everywhere along broad fronts to find weak positions—weakness defined as under-staffed, mis-staffed, or poorly supported defensive positions.
Avoid concentrating troops near the front early until weak points are found in order to minimize targets from Russian aircraft, missiles and drones.
Concentrate and advance highly mobile units only after weak points identified and push through to strategic goal.
I’m sure of one of two things about the above. Either I just re-invented for myself aspects of current military doctrine—perhaps this is what is meant by “shaping the battle,” for example? Or I am another militarily-incompetent civilian armchair warrior.
Perhaps even a bit of both?
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