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Pandemic Observations -- May 3, Top 40+ Nations [1]

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Date: 2023-05-04

The Road Ahead?

Not much new to report this week on the still ongoing Covid-19 pandemic. India has almost certainly seen the peak of this latest wave (at least in terms of new cases), and the rest of Asia appears to be following a similar trajectory — even Vietnam seems to have moderated its earlier explosive growth. The blip upward in the 2-week global death toll is due largely to last week’s significant revision in the UK’s cumulative total, and nothing to get too worried about at this point. Likewise, the large bump up in US deaths appears to be the result of a large data dump from Florida covering the last 5-6 weeks.

Top 40+ Nations: Apr 20 - May 3 New Deaths 2-Week D/1M 2-Week Deaths 2-Week Change Change fr Max World Finland New.Zealand Sweden Denmark Croatia Estonia Austria Germany USA Australia Latvia Hong Kong France Belgium Portugal UK Italy Martinique Bulgaria Guadeloupe Ukraine Costa Rica Montenegro Israel Romania Peru Greece Barbados Cyprus Lithuania Azerbaijan Moldova Czechia Russia Brazil Ireland Iran Georgia Japan Slovakia Spain So Korea Serbia Tunisia Mexico Poland Indonesia Malaysia Colombia India 1.3 28.5 15.6 15.1 12.8 12.4 11.3 11.2 10.8 9.8 8.7 8.5 8.0 7.4 6.1 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.3 5.0 5.0 4.9 4.9 4.8 4.6 4.6 3.8 3.7 3.5 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.2 3.2 3.2 2.9 2.8 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.3 2.2 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.6 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.3 9,833 158 78 153 74 51 15 101 909 3,251 223 16 60 481 71 60 396 347 2 35 2 216 25 3 40 88 125 38 1 4 9 33 13 34 460 618 14 221 10 310 13 109 113 16 20 212 61 200 20 24 376 15% 34% 28% 101% -12% -15% 0% -23% -13% 68% 62% -16% 329% 30% 20% -8% -1% 148% 200% 30% -33% -8% 2500% -57% 0% 5% -36% -58% -83% 300% -47% 38% -7% -33% -11% -6% -50% -50% -67% 9% -67% -39% 18% -33% 33% 45% -42% 77% 11% 200% 25% -95% -70% -83% -89% -88% -95% -91% -94% -93% -93% -82% -97% -98% -96% -98% -98% -98% -97% -99% -98% -99% -98% -95% -98% -95% -99% -99% -97% -99% -95% -99% -94% -99% -99% -97% -99% -98% -97% -99% -95% -99% -99% -98% -98% -99% -99% -99% -99% -100% -100% -99% Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 45 46 47 48 57 58 59 63

D/1M = New Covid-19 deaths per 1 million population over prior 14 days

C/1M = New Covid-19 cases per 1 million population over prior 14 days

2-Week Change = Net Change from previous 14-day period

Change fr Max = Net change from week of peak deaths or new cases

Bold = States/Provs experiencing significant upward movement in cases and/or deaths

Note: Only nations with >250,000 population included

All data derived from worldometer

Top 40+ Nations: Apr 20 - May 3 New Cases 2-Week C/1M 2-Week Cases 2-Week Change Change fr Max World Brunei New.Zealand Singapore So Korea Australia Cyprus Japan France Austria Qatar Montenegro Italy Finland Maldives Guadeloupe Bahrain USA Serbia Ukraine Hong Kong Greece Romania Belgium Russia Malta Estonia Lithuania Panama Cabo Verde Fr Polynesia Brazil Barbados Costa Rica Israel Georgia Vietnam Malaysia Bulgaria Slovenia Croatia Spain Portugal Chile Sweden UK Germany Mexico Peru Poland Philippines India Indonesia Saudi Arabia Afghanistan Iran Thailand 187 5,277 4,678 4,454 3,642 2,355 1,280 1,201 1,199 1,131 1,108 908 847 753 726 723 704 672 665 626 626 583 581 571 544 469 462 460 455 421 389 380 347 339 333 314 305 303 295 278 260 240 227 223 220 210 210 148 118 99 86 75 69 68 62 48 42 1,454,860 1,740 23,398 26,072 186,829 60,101 1,546 151,686 78,278 10,176 3,097 570 51,217 4,173 232 289 1,196 222,531 5,804 27,440 4,694 6,066 11,146 6,622 79,381 207 613 1,251 1,967 48 110 80,739 100 1,729 2,881 1,251 29,708 9,780 2,050 579 1,068 11,222 2,319 4,255 2,223 14,266 17,598 19,058 3,907 3,725 9,379 102,686 18,876 2,374 2,406 4,047 2,899 -11% -8% -11% -31% 21% 11% 25% 30% -26% -32% -36% -17% 22% 44% 322% 44% -28% 8% -29% -51% 129% -86% 41% -34% -23% 13% -19% -40% 214% 500% -31% -8% -25% 154% -27% -67% 257% 1% 3% -43% 15% -26% -15% -62% 8% -6% -35% -8% -1% -61% 114% -17% 60% -34% -6% -67% 381% -97% -97% -92% -90% -97% -96% -98% -96% -98% -98% -94% -98% -98% -97% -99% -99% -99% -98% -97% -95% -99% -99% -97% -99% -97% -99% -99% -99% -99% -100% -100% -97% -99% -99% -100% -100% -99% -98% -98% -100% -99% -99% -100% -99% -100% -99% -99% -97% -99% -99% -98% -98% -98% -97% -91% -99% -99% Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 52 58 61 63 66 67 68 73 77 80

Following are the Power Rankings for the most important nations currently driving the global pandemic ranked in terms of total new infections and new deaths during the past two weeks:

Top 40 nations by New Deaths: Apr 20 - May 3 2-Week Deaths 2-Week Increase Global% World USA Germany Brazil France Russia UK India Italy Japan Australia Iran Ukraine Mexico Indonesia Finland Sweden Peru So Korea Spain Austria Romania New.Zealand Denmark Belgium Poland Hong Kong Portugal Croatia Israel Greece Bulgaria Czechia Azerbaijan Costa Rica Colombia Tunisia Malaysia Latvia Serbia Estonia 9,833 3,251 909 618 481 460 396 376 347 310 223 221 216 212 200 158 153 125 113 109 101 88 78 74 71 61 60 60 51 40 38 35 34 33 25 24 20 20 16 16 15 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.5% 0.1% 1.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.4% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.5% 100% 33.1% 9.2% 6.3% 4.9% 4.7% 4.0% 3.8% 3.5% 3.2% 2.3% 2.2% 2.2% 2.2% 2.0% 1.6% 1.6% 1.3% 1.1% 1.1% 1.0% 0.9% 0.8% 0.8% 0.7% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40

2-Week Increase = Net increase of current 14-day numbers over prior cumulative totals

Global% = Share of Global Totals

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[1] Url: https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2023/5/4/2167585/-Pandemic-Observations-May-3-Top-40-Nations

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