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Pandemic Observations -- November 30, Top 40+ Nations (China's Zero-Covid Wall Is Collapsing): [1]

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Date: 2022-12-01

Great Wall of China Ruins

A lot of seemingly contradictory stats to consider in this week’s report. The global death toll supposedly fell back sharply to near the 9,000 level, but this is mostly an artifact of suppressed reporting of new deaths in some US states (particularly Florida) — we certainly didn’t really see a nearly 60% drop off from last week’s numbers, but hopefully I’ll have a clearer picture of that in Saturday’s report.

Similarly, the substantial increase in the global caseload of new infections is actually due mostly to a ~400,000 upward revision in cumulative cases from the Czech Republic, though a number of nations are recording worrisome increases in new cases currently, such as Japan, Brazil, Peru, France, and Australia.

But by far the most disturbing trend now is what we’re seeing out of China. For the first time since the PRC managed to contain their initial outbreak in early 2020, China has made it back into the Top 20 rankings of most new infections, substantially surpassing its previous peak back in April that left Shanghai locked down for months on end. And these are just with the “official” symptomatic cases that I’ve been using via worldometers.

If we add in all the asymptomatic cases the PRC keeps track of in a separate list, the way most upper- and middle-income nations already do, as the above bing.com chart illustrates, China’s weekly total of potentially transmissible cases goes from 26,000 to over 300,000 — putting it at #4 on the list already and setting up a potential challenge for the top rank with Japan in the next couple of weeks. While there have been only a handful of officially reported deaths thus far in the current surge, it’s becoming painfully clear that the PRC’s Zero-Covid policy has virtually collapsed at this point, despite their most draconian efforts at containment, and the coming weeks and months are looking increasingly grim.

Top 40+ Nations: November 24-30 New Deaths 7-Day D/1M 7-Day Deaths Weekly Change 14.Day Change Change fr Max World Finland Hong Kong Greece New.Zealand Taiwan Chile Germany Italy Croatia Sweden Slovenia UK Canada Japan Estonia France So Korea Cyprus Ireland Austria Spain Denmark Portugal Guadeloupe Israel Lithuania Hungary Australia Serbia USA Reunion Czechia Peru Bulgaria Russia Belgium Slovakia Brazil Uruguay Switzerland Malaysia Philippines Romania Indonesia Thailand Poland So Africa Mexico India 1.2 33.0 15.1 12.6 11.6 11.5 10.0 9.9 9.6 9.3 9.2 8.7 8.5 8.3 7.9 6.8 6.7 6.7 6.6 5.9 5.8 5.6 5.5 5.4 5.0 4.6 4.4 4.4 4.3 4.0 3.9 3.6 3.6 3.4 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.0 1.8 1.7 1.3 1.2 1.1 1.1 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 9,246 183 113 131 58 274 191 829 580 38 93 18 580 313 1,002 9 439 342 8 29 52 260 32 55 2 40 12 42 110 35 1,291 2 38 111 19 380 30 14 528 7 16 56 137 23 306 74 27 33 30 19 -22% 99% 47% 49% 45% -21% 7% -24% 9% 12% -12% 200% -18% -11% 23% -25% -14% -7% 0% 32% 11% -8% 3% 83% 200% 111% 50% -31% -11% 35% -57% 200% 9% 11% -55% -7% 11% -39% 3% 600% 33% 4% 90% 229% 13% 7% -46% 38% -41% -71% 5% -36% 37% -22% 2% -21% -1% -1% 75% -18% 14% 26% -30% -9% 74% 0% 10% 28% 0% -2% -5% 95% -41% -38% 200% 59% 5% -38% 3% -13% -7% 200% -39% 11% -24% -12% -42% -55% 104% -27% -20% 17% -27% -38% 3% 74% -31% -5% 138% 15% -92% -30% -94% -83% -75% -77% -98% -87% -90% -93% -86% -95% -93% -75% -56% -89% -94% -86% -78% -93% -94% -96% -90% -97% -98% -91% -96% -98% -82% -92% -95% -88% -97% -98% -98% -96% -98% -98% -97% -98% -98% -98% -93% -99% -97% -96% -99% -99% -100% -100% Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 48 51 52 53 55 58 70 82

D/1M = New Covid-19 deaths per 1 million population over prior 7 days

C/1M = New Covid-19 cases per 1 million population over prior 7 days

Weekly Change = Net change from previous week's stats

14-Day Change = Net Change from previous 14-Day period

Change fr Max = Net change from week of peak deaths or new cases

Bold = Nations experiencing significant upward movement in cases and/or deaths

Note: Only nations with >250,000 population included

All data derived from worldometer

Top 40+ Nations: November 24-30 New Cases 7-Day C/1M 7-Day Cases Weekly Change 14.Day Change Change fr Max World Hong Kong So Korea Japan France New.Zealand Taiwan Greece Italy Slovenia Cyprus Austria Australia New.Caledonia Fr Guiana Switzerland Germany Mayotte Finland Chile Singapore Panama Peru Israel Guadeloupe Reunion Brazil Lithuania Qatar USA Belgium Fr Polynesia Mongolia Sweden Bahrain Malaysia Portugal Costa Rica Denmark Czechia Spain Hungary Serbia Canada UK Netherlands Guatemala Russia Indonesia Philippines Argentina Thailand Mexico Vietnam China 437 7,886 7,284 5,735 5,431 5,407 4,299 4,244 3,787 3,708 3,488 3,468 3,434 3,217 2,407 2,198 2,162 2,009 1,986 1,614 1,570 1,490 1,490 1,457 1,045 997 863 816 775 743 579 558 540 535 520 517 506 498 496 487 466 441 432 412 331 301 294 273 136 76 74 70 59 33 18 3,402,127 59,154 373,681 724,360 354,665 27,047 102,414 44,184 229,122 7,712 4,214 31,215 87,648 929 722 19,019 181,139 564 11,001 30,824 9,188 6,435 49,154 12,614 418 893 183,414 2,220 2,165 246,041 6,712 158 1,773 5,405 884 16,695 5,157 2,538 2,872 5,209 21,783 4,259 3,767 15,529 22,464 5,148 4,877 39,846 37,306 8,249 3,323 4,914 7,616 3,224 26,030 10% 9% 2% 13% 29% 13% -14% 43% 10% 28% 13% 10% 13% 111% 134% -10% -9% 186% 15% -16% -23% 107% 77% 39% 6% 55% 30% 37% 20% -28% 27% 15800% -34% 39% -28% -11% 24% -7% 39% 26% -2% 4% -10% -1% -4% -5% 26% 9% -18% 16% 51% 24% 22% 19% 58% 31% 47% 8% 37% 71% 21% -29% -34% 99% 32% 11% 12% 51% 396% 536% -6% -3% 701% -14% -22% -39% 332% 332% 48% 61% 64% 234% 7% -17% 28% 0% 151% 40% 19% -39% -24% -24% 2% 6% -15% 11% -20% -16% -22% -18% -23% 49% 4% 4% 2% 94% 50% 116% 1% 164% -86% -83% -87% -57% -86% -81% -82% -83% -82% -93% -88% -90% -87% -90% -94% -92% -89% -97% -85% -87% -93% -90% -86% -97% -98% -98% -85% -97% -92% -96% -98% -99% -100% -98% -98% -92% -99% -96% -99% -98% -98% -96% -97% -95% -98% -99% -86% -97% -90% -96% -100% -97% -97% -100% 0% Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 44 46 48 49 53 61 71 72 75 79 89 97

Following are the Power Rankings for the most important nations currently driving the global pandemic ranked in terms of total new infections and new deaths during the past week:

Top 40 Nations by New Deaths: November 24-30 7-Day Deaths 14-Day Increase %Global World USA Japan Germany Italy UK Brazil France Russia So Korea Canada Indonesia Taiwan Spain Chile Finland Philippines Greece Hong Kong Peru Australia Sweden Thailand New.Zealand Malaysia Portugal Austria Hungary Israel Croatia Czechia Serbia So Africa Denmark Belgium Mexico Ireland Poland Romania Bulgaria India 9,246 1,291 1,002 829 580 580 528 439 380 342 313 306 274 260 191 183 137 131 113 111 110 93 74 58 56 55 52 42 40 38 38 35 33 32 30 30 29 27 23 19 19 0.3% 0.4% 3.8% 1.2% 0.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.6% 0.2% 2.4% 1.4% 0.4% 4.5% 0.5% 0.6% 3.8% 0.3% 0.6% 1.8% 0.1% 1.5% 1.0% 0.4% 3.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 100% 14.0% 10.8% 9.0% 6.3% 6.3% 5.7% 4.7% 4.1% 3.7% 3.4% 3.3% 3.0% 2.8% 2.1% 2.0% 1.5% 1.4% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.0% 0.8% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40

14-Day Increase = Net increase of current 14-day numbers over prior cumulative totals

Global% = Share of Global Totals

[END]
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[1] Url: https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2022/12/1/2139539/-Pandemic-Observations-November-30-Top-40-Nations-China-s-Zero-Covid-Wall-Is-Collapsing

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