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Abbreviated Pundit Roundup: The votes pile up and so do the wins [1]
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Date: 2022-11-14
x The 2022 midterms in a gif. pic.twitter.com/r47wXZucQw — Chris FitzGerald (@OnTheFitz) November 13, 2022
Mood.
But the mood is not without the knives.
x Democrats lost the House because they didn't believe Boebert could lose! Republicans only barely won the House (most likely) because of Trump, he cost them a lot of seats! Sean Patrick Maloney was the worst DCCC chair of the 21st century!
This is fun — Chaz Nuttycombe (@ChazNuttycombe) November 14, 2022
Politico:
‘They completely f--ked up’: How the GOP lost its grip on the Senate majority Democrats held the chamber despite a series of obstacles. And they couldn’t have done it without Republicans blowing winnable races. Midterms are invariably stacked against the party in power, so Democrats had to run ahead of Biden’s low approval ratings and confront rising prices. That wasn’t always easy; as their candidates sought to connect with voters about the pain of inflation, top Democrats working on Senate campaigns recalled privately grimacing when the White House touted positive statistics about the economy. Yet in a bright spot for Democrats, their Senate candidates raised record-breaking sums. That allowed the DSCC to spend more money on field and voter programs than on TV ads for the first time in modern history.
More mood. You can laugh when you win:
x Inside the Democratic mistakes and miscalculations that led the party to a historically strong midterm showing. — New York Times Pitchbot (@DougJBalloon) November 13, 2022
Dan Balz/WaPo:
In election 2022, the party of Trump pays for being the party of Trump Trump has changed politics in many ways, and Republicans paid a price for it Tuesday. His presence has created an energized electorate. Since he was elected, huge voter turnouts have become the norm: a midterm record in 2018, a presidential-year record in 2020 and a near record again this year. Midterm elections usually mean complacency among voters whose party just won the White House. In the age of Trump, every election is consequential, and both sides come highly motivated.
x 🚨More simple math
High turnout
+
Voting 63% Democrat to 35% Republican
=#GenZ and young #millennials under 30 canceled out every voter over age 65 across US pic.twitter.com/HMmiNTfxsZ — John Della Volpe (@dellavolpe) November 12, 2022
WSJ:
Why Independent Voters Broke for Democrats in the Midterms GOP candidates closely aligned with Trump turned off some centrists and in-play Republicans Republicans succeeded in one of their top goals this year: They brought more of their party’s voters to the polls than did Democrats. But in the course of energizing their core voters, Republicans in many states lost voters in the political center—both independents and many Republicans who are uneasy with elements of the party’s focus under Mr. Trump.
Persuasion works.
x I think abortion was a useful “hook” for Dems to make a broader extremism argument about Rs to the electorate, something I expressed before the elex. But all of it clearly had more of an impact than I thought
https://t.co/W6AaYN8kvi — Kyle Kondik (@kkondik) November 12, 2022
I'm no hotshot analyst but I will say it is gratifying that things I cared deeply about, and thought the voters should, too... well, the voters did. And yeah, abortion is more than a “hook” but don’t jump on him, he’s right.
x Biden: I'm not surprised by the turnout. I'm incredibly pleased by the turnout. And I think it's a reflection of the quality of candidates…I feel good… pic.twitter.com/p7BeoGUBTi — Acyn (@Acyn) November 13, 2022
Whatever you think of him as an orator, history will recognize both the historic midterm win and the political instincts he brings to the table many take for granted. How many politicians stay quiet when they need to stay quiet? Hint: it’s not about them if they are not running.
And speaking of orators, Ron DeSantis is no showman. Here’s Brian Klass on Substack:
Will Republicans Defy Trump’s Authoritarian Cult of Personality? The pundits are going to tell you that Trump is now toast. Don't listen to them. These dynamics are further amplified because Trump—a veteran of WWE wrestling—understands that modern tribal politics are akin to professional wrestling. It’s about the entertainment, and for that, you need an entertainer. Ron DeSantis may indeed be the 2024 presidential nominee, but without the rockstar-style performances that Trump’s supporters love about him, DeSantis just comes off as a meaner, more boring version of him.
x An indictment of Republican candidates in a series of competitive, winnable races in which a lack of resources was not the culprit. =>
https://t.co/lgCB7pFevW — David M. Drucker (@DavidMDrucker) November 13, 2022
Jill Lawrence/NBC Think:
Ron DeSantis has a messiah complex. Will it do him in? The battle of outsize egos between the Florida governor and Donald Trump could ruin them both long before Election Day 2024. DeSantis made a solid bid to be America’s redeemer in chief in a video his wife posted Nov. 4 on Twitter. “And on the 8th day, God looked down on his planned paradise and said, ‘I need a protector.’ So God made a fighter,” the narrator says over an image of DeSantis among adoring fans. God is mentioned 10 times in less than two minutes in the clip, prompting Mike Allen of Axios to publish a parody in his publication’s trademarked “smart brevity” format: Breaking: God apparently endorsed Ron DeSantis (R) for reelection, according to the Florida governor’s new ad. · Why it matters: It would be the first time God officially endorsed a statewide candidate.
x 1) Trump isn’t leaving, nor are his people, and most in the GOP won’t abandon him
2) the attack on democracy is bigger and deeper than Trump
https://t.co/inEjYDNAPw — David Pepper (@DavidPepper) November 13, 2022
WaPo:
Democrats surged to flip state legislatures, defying past GOP gains The victories blunted Republican plans to push further restrictions on abortion, transgender rights, school curriculums and spending, and in some states expanded Democrats’ possibilities of passing their own priorities. Among the newly elected in districts that were key to the Democratic surge in Pennsylvania’s House was Tim Brennan, who prevailed by 5,000 votes against a Republican opponent who had worked for state legislators who opposed abortion rights and supported voting restrictions. Brennan, 45, who lives in Bucks County, a Philadelphia suburb, had run unsuccessfully in 2018 and lost in the primary by 55 votes. After the 2020 election, he served as an attorney for a local county where Donald Trump challenged the results. He credited his win Tuesday to the 10,000 doors he personally knocked, out of 40,000 by his campaign, and voters splitting their tickets because of an aversion to extremist Republican candidates, especially GOP gubernatorial nominee Doug Mastriano.
x it's a convenient cop-out for other Republican politicians to blame Trump for a "quality" problem with candidates nominated by Republican voters
those same Republican voters nominated Trump
those other Republican politicians protected him
the quality problem runs deep — John Harwood (@JohnJHarwood) November 12, 2022
Dan Shafer/Substack:
[END]
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