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November Surprise Watch 11/2 Remember, Remember the 8th of Roevember [1]
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Date: 2022-11-02
Most notably, violent crime went up to its peak during the Reagan-Bush years.
x REPs blaming DEMs 4 Crime BUT HOMICIDES jumped 30% in US 2020 under Trump, Highest in DECADES! Homicides R higher in Red states than Democratic! What is THEIR plan 2 make THEIR states safe & their plan 4 Gun SAFETY? They DONT have Policies! #WorldSeries2022 pic.twitter.com/5fniw0mNyh — CA Husky Lover (@KathrynCAgirl) November 2, 2022
x Keep in mind before you vote that 100% of Republicans voted against cheaper gas, insulin, prescription drugs — against funding for climate change, election safety, and baby formula — and against banning assault weapons. Don’t believe their empty words…. believe their votes. — Omar Rivero (@OmarRiverosays) November 1, 2022
Injustice
I had hoped to cover some recent stories about the injustices in the bail system, the War on Drugs, and racism in policing, courts, and prisons, but I had too much else to cover for today. We’ll get there. Feel free to add instances in the comments.
Justice
x Remember that case I wrote about last week? Where a Trump-nominated judge denied an injunction to an Arizona retirees organization that challenged the armed monitoring of drop boxes? 1/
https://t.co/AwWeRplFBt — Lisa Rubin (@lawofruby) November 2, 2022
x The battle to protect our democracy doesn’t end on Nov. 8. Trump must testify before the January 6th Committee under oath by Nov. 14th.
https://t.co/WSWf75LbJ3 — The Lincoln Project (@ProjectLincoln) November 2, 2022
x Lindsey Loses: Supreme Court says Graham must testify in Georgia grand jury probe of Doanld Trump's election crimes. Here are Lindsey's three options. #JusticeMatters
https://t.co/D4oBcUOXhc via @YouTube — Glenn Kirschner (@glennkirschner2) November 2, 2022
x You’ll be shocked to find out that Ultra MAGA BELLA Hot Babe wasn’t a real person despite her tweeting about “MULE TAKING PICS! PROOF OF CRIME REQUIRED TO GET PAID BY THE DNC.”
https://t.co/vNkw4v2Z6N — Molly Jong-Fast (@MollyJongFast) November 2, 2022
x HOLY CRAP: The popular MAGA Twitter account "Ultra MAGA BELLA Hot Babe" who had more that 26,000 followers and once claimed Obama was an illuminati spy lizard, was SUSPENDED after it was revealed she was a Chinese spy. — Jon Cooper (@joncoopertweets) November 1, 2022
Elections
Brazil
Bolsonaro promises transition to Lula government, but does not concede. He couldn’t organize a coup.
x There was some qualifying language Bolsonaro used in his presser not included in this report that still makes me skeptical, but it seems, like Trump, he simply doesn’t have support within the military & with senior govt officials to try anything too crazy. We will see. pic.twitter.com/XtkWtCEKuH — Ron Filipkowski 🇺🇦 (@RonFilipkowski) November 2, 2022
x WATCH: “Why do you think Bannon cares (about Bolsonaro not conceding)? It isn’t about Brazil. It’s about us. It’s about instilling a belief in their supporters that elections are bad. Elections are for SUCKERS.” 🇺🇸
Maddow on what Brazil means for anti-democracy MAGA fascism. pic.twitter.com/ArpAk4iWRd — The Tennessee Holler (@TheTNHoller) November 2, 2022
Israel
Netanyahu is back.
x Former Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu appears to be heading toward victory, with more two-thirds of ballots showing that voters gave him and his far-right allies a majority. Israel seems set for one of its most right-wing governments in its history.
https://t.co/HSDXP26Xte — The Associated Press (@AP) November 2, 2022
Denmark
x More good election news … Bolsonaro gone, social democrats in 🇩🇰 back
https://t.co/IZgRE7v0ho — ALASTAIR CAMPBELL (@campbellclaret) November 2, 2022
US
x Breaking: Dr. Oz was banned from the American Association for Thoracic Surgery (AATS) conference and journal for two years for academic fraud.
The biography of another Republican psychopath. — Duty To Warn 🔉 (@duty2warn) November 1, 2022
x Obama warns 'more people are going to get hurt' if political climate persists
https://t.co/Owfhlss5IN pic.twitter.com/LGk9bSicIw — Reuters (@Reuters) November 2, 2022
x President Joe Biden is heading to Florida to underline the contrast between the Democratic and Republican agendas, blasting the GOP over proposals to undo prescription drug price caps and change Social Security and Medicare.
https://t.co/8PYff4Tk6u — The Associated Press (@AP) November 2, 2022
Iran
This story makes no sense to me, but here it is. Apparently US DoD is taking it seriously.
x Iran Will Attack Saudi Arabia Soon, WSJ. The goal is to distract the world from the Iranian protests. According to the intelligence of Saudi Arabia, the attack will take place in the next 48 hours. TRUKHA⚡️Ukraine | Send news pic.twitter.com/RPHjGkqpqs — Malinda 🇺🇸🇺🇦🇵🇱🇨🇦🇮🇹🇦🇺🇬🇧🇯🇵🇮🇱🇩🇪 (@TreasChest) November 1, 2022
x I’m getting a lot of messages from Iran and Iranians asking for a coalition of leading opposition figures to unite in standing against the Islamic Republic. I fully support the formation of such a coalition.
https://t.co/O9ukE870bV — Nazanin Boniadi (@NazaninBoniadi) November 2, 2022
x “Fear has dissipated” in Iran, “and regimes like the Islamic Republic… survive based on fear,” says @milaniabbas. “It is due to a relentless battle by Iranian women not to allow this regime to dictate their lives.”
“People no longer believe that this regime is reformable.” pic.twitter.com/l6EVOK7BOS — Christiane Amanpour (@amanpour) November 1, 2022
x Iran is preparing to send 1,000 missiles and attack drones to aid Russia in its war in Ukraine, according to sources. @NicRobertsonCNN tells @brikeilarcnn what the Ukrainians are worried about. pic.twitter.com/N3W0OfiTDg — CNN (@CNN) November 1, 2022
x 🇮🇷🇸🇦🇺🇸Iran raises the Red Banner of Retaliation over the dome of Jamkaran Mosque in Qom city,which amounts to a declaration of war
What caused the raising of the Red Banner is yet to be said.The last time the Red Banner was raised was when Qasem Suleimani was assassinated,2020 pic.twitter.com/kxxR9vEbu2 — AZ 🛰🌏🌍🌎 (@AZgeopolitics) November 1, 2022
x A new lawsuit in California against social media companies (including Twitter, Meta, and Instagram) that might be of interest to @elonmusk: If regimes like Iran continue to prevent their citizens from accessing social media outlets, their officials should get deplatformed.
https://t.co/hyZdHeWRKc — Karim Sadjadpour (@ksadjadpour) November 1, 2022
Ukraine
x ⚡️Russia's Wagner group facing UK court action over Ukraine 'terrorism.'
British law firm McCue Jury and Partners said on Nov. 1 that they took the first step towards what they said was "groundbreaking" legal action against Russia's mercenary Wagner group. — The Kyiv Independent (@KyivIndependent) November 1, 2022
x Tetra Tech will assist the Ukrainian government in strengthening its capacity to locate and remove landmines, unexploded and abandoned ordnance, improvised explosive devices and other explosive hazards from civilian areas. — The Kyiv Independent (@KyivIndependent) November 2, 2022
x The Ukrainian jet pilots hunting cruise missiles
https://t.co/Qc1pcPuy6u — BBC News (World) (@BBCWorld) November 2, 2022
x Oleg Tinkov is the latest Russian billionaire to show his opposition to Russian president Vladimir Putin's war in Ukraine. Watch reporting from CNN's @mchancecnn
https://t.co/WwlGy3c4pK — CNN (@CNN) November 2, 2022
The Environment
COP27 is already a failure. There is no public discussion of what investments are needed, nor of their cost. Nations are in disarray, and there has been no consensus-building on meaningful goals.
TL;DR We need to cut greenhouse gas emissions by 5% to 7% a year, requiring an investment on the order of several trillion dollars a year.
Switching The World To Renewable Energy Will Cost $62 Trillion, But The Payback Would Take Just 6 Years
Mark Jacobson and his colleagues at Stanford University have published a new study in the journal Energy & Environmental Science that claims 145 of the world’s nations could switch to 100% renewable energy in a few years using renewable energy technologies available today. They recommend the world make the switchover by 2035, but in no event later than 2050. Their goal is to have 80% operating on renewable energy by 2030. The researchers say switching to renewable energy would avoid utility grid blackouts and save consumers trillions of dollars. One of the main reasons for that finding is that the combustion-based energy systems most countries rely require a lot of energy just to function. In switching to a clean, renewable energy system, Jacobson states that worldwide energy usage would go down by 56% immediately.
Energy Environ. Sci., 2022, 15, 3343
Low-cost solutions to global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity for 145 countries
If the second timeline (80% by 2030 and 100% by 2050) is met, and if 80% and 100% of 2020 non-energy emissions are also eliminated by 2030 and 2050, respectively, then about 340 billion additional tonnes of CO 2 will accumulate in the air by 2050. Accordingly, such a transition timeline will avoid 1.5 ℃ warming because it will result in less than the 500 billion tonne accumulated-CO 2 emission allowance. To reduce climate damage further and to reduce the enormous loss of life from air pollution and the dangers due to energy insecurity, a 2035 timeline for a complete transition is also proposed. Individual regional capital costs range from $2.8 billion for Iceland to $13.3 trillion for the China region. The cost to the U.S. is $6.7 trillion, and the cost for Europe is $5.9 trillion. The proposed annual outlay of capital follows the same trajectory as the proposed pace of transition shown in Fig. 1, namely 80% by 2030 and 100% by 2035 or 2050.
Simplistically, $6.7 trillion over the next eight years would be about $800 billion/yr, requiring a huge rampup in the next Congress and in US industry and private finance. I remind you that this is a call for very profitable investment, saving real money, real lives, and the real planet.
After election day, as COP27 continues, and the counting gradually winds down and we prepare for various runoffs, I should be able to go into much more detail on all of this, including needed investment by country, costs of remediation for damage done, a comparison with current investment levels, and some political analysis. Actually, not just me, but our whole corps of DK climate activists, likely cheered on by Meteor Blades, Staff Emeritus since his retirement, but still quite active.
So then we can talk about what pledges are needed from various countries on their own account and to assist poor countries, and how to educate their leaders and their populations on all of it. I know a few of the people in the business, and I know where to find the rest of them. I have also costed out the investment needed to end all of poverty and nearly all oppression worldwide, drawing on my experience as a high-tech market analyst.
Compare the above with this bushwah.
COP27 must deliver on existing promises, says Egypt's climate diplomat
Mohamed Nasr, Egypt’s chief climate negotiator, tells New Scientist that COP27 will focus on making sure existing promises are kept, rather than extracting new pledges
x The climate conference #COP27 kicks off at the end of this week.
Many journalists are in touch for data & facts for their reporting.
Here are a few key @OurWorldInData resources that will hopefully help you understand global emissions, energy and climate 👇 pic.twitter.com/uQJXStnnhi — Hannah Ritchie (@_HannahRitchie) November 2, 2022
Scientists warn that if the world is to have a chance of reaching net zero carbon emissions by 2050 and so prevent the breaching of the 1.5C limit, global emissions will have to be cut by 5% to 7% a year. At present, emissions are rising between 1% and 2% a year with little sign of that increase being halted.
Climate damages will dominate UN summit
COP27 is supposed to be the "implementation summit," where pledges on everything from reducing deforestation to boosting funding for adaptation, climate mitigation and cutting methane emissions are turned into actions. Developing countries, which at COP27 will be led by flood-ravaged Pakistan, have signaled that they will push hard for a financing "mechanism" for loss and damage.
This compensation is supposed to address impacts that were caused mainly by emissions from industrialized nations, and that are beyond poorer countries' capacity to adapt.
x 🌎 🚨 With the planet on track for nearly 3ºC of warming by 2100, #COP27 will be a critical test of world leaders' abilities to unite and prevent the worst impacts of climate change.
Here's what to know about the conference, set to begin next week.
https://t.co/8sTtxPIKPN pic.twitter.com/igz39klbaN — CBS News (@CBSNews) November 1, 2022
Climate warnings highlight the urgent need for action ahead of COP27 As Egypt prepares to host the next UN climate summit, a series of reports illustrate how much further countries must go to avoid catastrophic global warming. Atmospheric CO₂ , responsible for about 66 per cent of global warming since 1750, hit 415.5 parts per million in 2021, the WMO said. Meanwhile, methane registered the largest single-year increase since researchers started keeping records 40 years ago. An assessment by an international coalition of scientists of 35 “planetary vital signs”, such as ocean acidification, deforestation rates and Arctic sea ice loss, found that 16 are at record extremes and are “flashing red” on the climate dashboard. The results prompted the team to warn that humanity is “unequivocally facing a climate emergency”. The plans countries have drawn up would see carbon emissions fall by 3.6 per cent by 2030 compared with 2019 levels, according to an analysis by the UN’s climate change secretariat published on 26 October. That is well below the 43 per cent drop needed to meet the 1.5°C temperature target set out in the Paris Agreement. Even if efforts to phase out fossil fuels aren’t stepped up, demand for coal will start declining within a few years and oil demand will level off by 2035, according to the IEA’s latest World Energy Outlook analysis. Crucially, even gas demand is forecast to plateau from the end of this decade. A peak in fossil fuel use would mark a historic turning point for the global economy, finally uncoupling GDP and fossil fuel use for the first time since the industrial revolution. It also spells good news for the climate: global emissions from the energy sector are now forecast to peak by 2025 as a result of slowing demand, the IEA has said.
Visitors to Sharm el-Sheikh also face extensive searches and video surveillance in taxis
x “That desperate hope is why the world is looking to you and why you are here”
A year ago today, Sir David Attenborough addressed world leaders at the #COP26 opening ceremony.
With less than one week until #COP27, his powerful words still ring true 👇 pic.twitter.com/eS382W5xuf — COP26 (@COP26) November 1, 2022
x #COP27 The insouciant arrogance of telling Joe Biden and Emmanuel Macron that he is busy, as if they had no “pressing domestic issues”, ignores how much he needs them. Get these planet killing venal libertarian bastards out of office once and for all.
https://t.co/Em1iIZC6Hy — EuropeanPowell (@EuropeanPowell) November 2, 2022
[END]
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