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OH-Sen: New Baldwin Wallace University Poll Has Rep. Tim Ryan (D) Beating J.D. Vance (R) 50-46 [1]

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Date: 2022-10-27

Here’s the latest news today out of Ohio courtesy of Baldwin Wallace University’s latest poll:

x Ohio Senate:



Ryan (D) 50% (+4)

Vance (R) 46%



Baldwin Wallace University, 1,068 LV, 10/20-23https://t.co/KHRrKZkl2q — Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) October 27, 2022

Baldwin Wallace University's third and final midterm Ohio Pulse Poll of the state's likely voters has the race for U.S. Senate remaining close, while the incumbent Governor holds a commanding lead over his challenger.

In the latest statewide survey conducted by BW's Community Research Institute (CRI), Democratic U.S. Senate candidate Tim Ryan held a 4-point lead over Republican nominee J.D. Vance, which mirrors the margin of error.

Republican Governor Mike DeWine, meanwhile, enjoyed a 17-point lead over Democratic challenger Nan Whaley.

"It wasn't long ago that we thought ticket splitters were extinct. Now they may decide some of the most important races this election cycle," said Dr. Lauren Copeland, political science professor and associate director of BW CRI. "In Ohio, DeWine earned bipartisan praise for his handling of the pandemic — a stark contrast to Vance, who ran far to the right in the primary. It is likely we will see many DeWine-Ryan ticket splitters this November."

THE ROLE OF INDEPENDENTS AND WOMEN

Both DeWine and Ryan are outperforming their competitors among independents and women. Among independents, DeWine has a 33-point lead over Whaley. Ryan has a smaller lead among independents (about 7 points), but he is also doing better than Vance with his base.

"In the gubernatorial race, a supermajority of men and a majority of women prefer DeWine," said Dr. Tom Sutton, political science professor and director of the BW CRI. "The gender gap is much more pronounced in the Senate race where women favor Ryan by 17 points."

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[1] Url: https://www.dailykos.com/story/2022/10/27/2131642/-OH-Sen-New-Baldwin-Wallace-University-Poll-Has-Rep-Tim-Ryan-D-Beating-J-D-Vance-R-50-46

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