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OH-Sen: New Poll Has Rep. Tim Ryan (D) Beating J.D. Vance (R) 43-41 [1]

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Date: 2022-10-19

Rep. Tim Ryan (D. OH)

Here’s the latest news today out of Ohio:

Ohio Rep. Tim Ryan, the state’s Democratic nominee for Senate, has a slim 2-point lead over Republican J.D. Vance, new polling shows. Ohio Northern University’s new poll found Ryan ahead with 43 percent to Vance’s 41 percent as the two vie to replace retiring Republican Sen. Rob Portman. However, the results were within the poll’s 3.8-point margin of error. Both candidates are pulling much of their support from their respective parties, with 79 percent of Democrats saying they support Ryan and 65 percent of Republicans backing Vance. A larger share of Republicans say they’d cross party lines to vote for Ryan (18 percent) than Democrats who’d do the same for Vance (9 percent).

From the poll:

x Who's favored to win the Ryan/Vance race? Will there be a Biden/Trump rematch? What do Ohioans think of the Electoral College? Just-released @ONU_ICAPP Northern Poll results illuminate political positions of 600+ likely Buckeye State voters. Details: https://t.co/63mftDvImU pic.twitter.com/k1drISoOmm — Ohio Northern University News (@ONU_News) October 19, 2022 Tim Ryan holds a slight lead over JD Vance (43%-41%) in the race to replace Republican Rob Portman in the US Senate. Governor Mike DeWine appears to be cruising to a second term as respondents prefer him 2-1 over Nan Whaley. The state’s shift rightward is apparent as Republicans are preferred over Democrats for State Supreme Court (49% to 35%) and in House races in the state (54% to 36%). Quote: “Although a longshot, it would appear that Tim Ryan has a legitimate chance to flip a Senate seat that would have been unthinkable six months ago. In a time where few voters split their tickets, it is likely that Ohio will witness a significant number of DeWine-Ryan voters in November.” Dr. Robert Alexander, Ohio Northern University

Also:

Fifty percent of Ohio respondents believe the states should have the right to determine the issue of abortion and a slim majority think it should be mostly legal. Democrats and Republicans are responding to the issue very differently with nearly two-thirds of Democrats being “very motivated” to vote because of the issue compared to just 44% of Republicans. Quote: “In a state that has moved to the right politically, the issue of abortion will likely bring more Democrats and Independents to the polls than might typically be expected in a Midterm election. This will be a key if Tim Ryan is to have any chance at all in upsetting JD Vance.” Robert Alexander, Ohio Northern University

Click here on how you can vote early.

Health and Democracy are on the ballot this year and we need to get ready to flip Ohio Blue. Click below to donate and get involved with Ryan and his fellow Ohio Democrats campaigns:

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[1] Url: https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2022/10/19/2130036/-OH-Sen-New-Poll-Has-Rep-Tim-Ryan-D-Beating-J-D-Vance-43-41

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