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2022 United States Senate election in Arizona [1]
[]
Date: 2022-10
The 2022 United States Senate election in Arizona will be held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Arizona.
This race is expected to be competitive and could determine party control of the U.S. Senate. Incumbent Democrat Mark Kelly was elected in a 2020 special election with 51.2% of the vote and is running for reelection to a full term. The seat had been held by Republican John McCain, who was reelected to the seat in 2016. McCain died on August 25, 2018, and Governor Doug Ducey appointed former U.S. Senator Jon Kyl to fill the seat. Kyl resigned at the end of that year and was replaced by former U.S. Representative Martha McSally, who then lost to Kelly in 2020.
Primaries in Arizona took place on August 2. Kelly won renomination without opposition, while venture capitalist Blake Masters won the Republican nomination against a wide field of candidates. Although Arizona typically leans Republican, most analysts consider Kelly the favorite to win reelection and he leads Masters by mid-to-high single digits in aggregate polling. Kelly also has a significant fundraising advantage, although in recent weeks more Republican aligned groups have begun spending to help Masters.[1]
Democratic primary [ edit ]
Nominee [ edit ]
Endorsements [ edit ]
Results [ edit ]
Democratic primary results[16][17]
Party Candidate Votes % Total votes 589,400 100.0%
Republican primary [ edit ]
Nominee [ edit ]
Eliminated in primary [ edit ]
Did not file [ edit ]
Craig Brittain [23]
Robert Paveza, software engineer[24]
Declined [ edit ]
Endorsements [ edit ]
Justin Olson Organizations Stand for Health Freedom[56]
Polling [ edit ]
Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation Dates
administered Dates
updated Mark
Brnovich Jim
Lamon Blake
Masters Michael
McGuire Justin
Olson Undecided
[a] Margin Real Clear Politics July 27 – August 1, 2022 August 2, 2022 14.5% 22.0% 37.0% 8.5% 3.3% 17.7% Masters +15.0
Graphical summary
Results [ edit ]
Masters 30–40%
40–50% Lamon 30-40% Republican primary results by county
Republican primary results[16][17]
Party Candidate Votes % Total votes 813,068 100.0%
Libertarian primary [ edit ]
Nominee [ edit ]
Marc Victor, attorney and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2012[57]
Results [ edit ]
Libertarian primary results[16][58][17] Party Candidate Votes % Total votes 3,065 100.0%
General election [ edit ]
Predictions [ edit ]
Debates [ edit ]
2022 United States Senate general election in Arizona debates No. Date Host Moderator Link Democratic Republican Libertarian P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn Mark Kelly Blake Masters Marc Victor 1 October 6, 2022 Arizona PBS Ted Simons Youtube P P P
Endorsements [ edit ]
Polling [ edit ]
Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation Dates
administered Dates
updated Mark
Kelly (D) Blake
Masters (R) Undecided
[f] Margin RealClearPolitics September 14 – October 4, 2022 October 10, 2022 49.0% 44.9% 6.1% Kelly +4.1 FiveThirtyEight September 7, 2021 – October 11, 2022 October 11, 2022 48.6% 42.2% 9.2% Kelly +6.5 Average 48.8% 43.6% 7.6% Kelly +5.2
Graphical summary
Results [ edit ]
2022 United States Senate election in Arizona Party Candidate Votes % Total votes N/A
See also [ edit ]
Notes [ edit ]
^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined. a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear a b Paveza with <1% ^ Response without candidates' job titles, besides 'Major General' for McGuire ^ Response with candidates' job titles ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined. ^ "Neither" with 5%; "Other" with 2% ^ "Neither" with 3%; "Other" with 1% ^ "Other" with 3%; "Wouldn't vote" with 3% ^ "Someone else" with 3%
Partisan clients
a b c d e f g This poll was sponsored by Saving Arizona, which supports Blake Masters ^ This poll was sponsored by Kari Lake's campaign for governor a b This poll was sponsored by Lamon's campaign ^ This poll was sponsored by Advancing Arizona Forward, which supports Mark Brnovich ^ This poll was sponsored by Club for Growth Action ^ This poll was sponsored by Andy Biggs's campaign committee a b This poll was sponsored by Center Street PAC, which opposes Masters ^ This poll was sponsored by America Next a b c This poll was sponsored by the Environmental Voter Project a b c This poll was sponsored by Future Majority and America’s Future Majority Fund
References [ edit ]
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[1] Url:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_United_States_Senate_election_in_Arizona#Polling_2
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