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I doubt this war lasts too much longer - not heavy combat. Some number of months I think. [1]
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Date: 2022-09-26
It is really clear Ukraine is really being successful keeping a tight lid on operational movements. I sure had real doubts they could in this cell phone camera society — but they did so far. Their people are being really careful. Thank god.
Look — I am pretty sure they will move soon to close out those Russians on the wrong side of that river toward Kherson. We sure would I think. It has sure been a long time to me — but I know we would — so sure. In fact we have done stuff like that.
I hope you guys really get this — just how you know how stupid this Russian “draft” really is. You don’t ever — and I mean ever — fill out a force that is already real shaky with people that are even more afraid. There is only one way that turns out. What our generals are really saying you know when they speak of lack of discipline — cause they know how that one goes. Even worse than that. They will run at all costs.
If you were them — so would you. Your whole reality really changes the first time the shooting ain’t a play game — no matter how fucking trained you think you are. It gets real — real fast. I honestly cannot even imagine just how bad that goes if you were never even trained. Man — you can set up an ambush — you can react to an ambush and all that, different tactics — if you know what it fucking means. Even if you know, trained to know, fear will overcome you at least the first few times. But those poor bastards don’t even have that. When they run (not an if)— it can and will collapse whole units thinking they had some support when in fact — they don’t. Actually — it is even worse if your logistics are bad. Worse. Much worse. Really — they will consume supplies that the regulars can’t be supplied with even now since they can’t get them to a line of battle now. Even worse than that.
Just IMHO.
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