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Super Typhoon Noru Is About to Hit the Philippines [1]

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Date: 2022-09-24

Mrs. Fleek Dogg's family farm is roughly at the top-middle edge of the letter "n" in "Manila. Right now I'm praying that our stepchildren, grandchildren, and dogs who are there all make it through while I'm strongly cursing out all climate deniers!

The Atlantic is not the only place that is blowing up with tropical disturbances after a quiet start to the season. The Philippines also managed to dodge typhoons for most of the West Pacific season, but now luck is running out over there. Typhoon Noru (locally called “Karding” in the Philippines), is is looking like a very dangerous storm.

My stepson has battened down the hatches around the outdoor crates where he keeps his Chow Chow and my native farm mutts. I’ve been urging my in laws to bring all the animals inside because, while preparations have been made for the usual Category 1 storm, we have no idea how bad a storm can get now thanks to climate change!

According to the latest report from the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA), Noru’s sustained winds are 195 km/h with gusts of 240 km/h. This makes it the equivalent of a Category 3 hurricane after having rapidly intensified from a Category 1 storm within 24 hours. It is still 175 km out to sea, so further intensification is likely as Noru heads due west at 20 km/h. If that path holds, it may not get much stronger due to make an initial landfall on Polillo Island, but it’s pretty likely that it will be a Cat 4 or 5 when it makes landfall on Luzon.

Projected path as of 5am local time

The next few hours will finalize whatever fate may hold, but right now it looks like the eye of the storm will cross near the midpoint of the 100 km as-the-crow-flies line between Manila and my wife’s family farm near Cabanatuan City. Both of those locations are currently under what PAGASA calls a “Signal 3” warning, which indicates that there will widespread power outages, severe damage to agriculture, and moderate damage to buildings and infrastructure.

Three of my five stepchildren, all five grandchildren, and my farm dogs are all in the path of this storm. What really infuriates me about Typhoon Noru is the fact that it’s rapid intensification gives it all the hallmarks of a climate disaster. I’ll be updating this diary with more details, but for now I’ll just pray as the storm takes a direct aim at densely populated areas near Manila and small farms in the Filipino agricultural heartland of Central Luzon.

To follow Noru a.k.a. Karding, you can go to the PAGASA website. The next update will be made at 2AM EST (2PM Philippines Time), with updates coming every 3 hours after that.

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[1] Url: https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2022/9/24/2125112/-Super-Typhoon-Noru-Is-About-to-Hit-the-Philippines

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