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Ukraine Invasion Day 212: limited ground attacks and counteroffensive operations [1]

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Date: 2022-09-22

The “partial mobilization” has set off a panic from those who do not want to be conscripted into the Russian armed forces. Russians are being plucked from villages for military service.

Russia and Ukraine conducted their largest prisoner exchange of the conflict, with both Saudi Arabia's Crown Prince Mohammad bin Salman and Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan serving as mediators.

If Putin hoped that his invasion of Ukraine would conceal the way himself and his cronies have plundered Russia's resources, it's backfiring quite spectacularly and revealing some glaring shortcomings. More in my recent article ⤵️ https://t.co/D0Pst2Nxth pic.twitter.com/x4Wl02CMp0

Daily remainder, that Ukraine fights against infernal evil. She protects entire planet, all of us. Straight out of #LoTR scenario https://t.co/SZG8zveibp

x How Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine Violates International Lawhttps://t.co/I84ZF7KdR7 — Zogbanu (@zogbanu) September 23, 2022

Eastern Ukraine: (Vovchansk-Kupyansk-Izyum-Lyman Line)

Ukrainian forces likely continued limited counteroffensive operations along the Kharkiv-Luhansk Oblast border on September 22. The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Ukrainian troops repelled a Russian attack on Kupyansk (northeastern Kharkiv Oblast, near the Kharkiv-Luhansk Oblast border).[21] The General Staff report is consistent with Russian milblogger claims that Ukrainian troops succeeded in breaking Russian defenses along a line that runs between Dvorichna (15km northeast of Kupyansk) to bypass Kupyansk from the north and cross the Oskil River to threaten Russian positions just east of this area.[22] The Russian milblogger also indicated that Ukrainian forces have taken ground east of Dvorichna and are fighting in Tavlizhanka, which is reportedly still contested territory.[23] While ISW cannot independently confirm these Russian claims, they are consistent with previous reporting on continued Ukrainian efforts to penetrate the current Russian defensive lines that run along the Oskil River and push eastward.

Ukrainian forces likely continued attacks toward Lyman on September 22. Several Russian sources reported fighting to the northwest of Lyman and claimed that Ukrainian troops penetrated Russian defenses in Ridkodub and Karpivka, both 20km north of Lyman.[24] Russian sources also stated that Ukrainian forces broke through at Korovii Yar (22km northwest of Lyman) and are continuing attacks in Drobysheve (just west of Lyman).[25] The Ukrainian General Staff seemingly confirmed that Ukrainian troops have made additional advances north of Lyman and stated that Russian troops shelled Yatskivka (25km northwest of Lyman) and Korovii Yar, indicating that Russian forces are targeting newly captured Ukrainian positions in this area.[26]

understandingwar.org/...

Russian Subordinate Main Effort—Donetsk Oblast (Russian objective: Capture the entirety of Donetsk Oblast, the claimed territory of Russia’s proxies in Donbas)

Russian forces conducted limited ground attacks along the frontlines in Donetsk Oblast on September 22. The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Ukrainian forces repelled attacks south of Bakhmut in Zaitseve (8km southeast of Bakhmut) and Odradivka (10km south of Bakhmut along the T0513 highway).[34] Russian sources additionally indicated that Russian troops are fighting in both Zaitseve and Odradivka, making continued attempts to press northward on Bakhmut.[35] The Donetsk People’s Republic (DNR) Territorial Defense Force claimed that DNR troops took control of Zhovanka, 20km south of Bakhmut on the northern outskirts of Horlivka.[36] Russian milbloggers also claimed that Ukrainian troops conducted a controlled withdrawal from the eastern outskirts of Bakhmut and posted imagery reportedly of a bridge over the Bakhmutka River in eastern Bakhmut that Ukrainian forces blew up as they withdrew.[37] The Ukrainian General Staff reported a limited Russian ground attack in western Donetsk Oblast and stated that Russian troops conducted an assault on Novomykhailivka, about 25km southwest of Donetsk City.[38] Russian forces continued routine strikes along the line of contact around Bakhmut, the Avdiivka-Donetsk City area, western Donetsk Oblast, and eastern Zaporizhia Oblast.[39]

understandingwar.org/...

Supporting Effort—Southern Axis (Russian objective: Maintain frontline positions and secure rear areas against Ukrainian strikes)

Russian forces did not conduct any confirmed ground attacks west of Hulyaipole on September 22 and continued routine strikes throughout western Zaporizhia Oblast.[40] Ukraine’s State Security Service (SBU) stated that SBU special forces conducted a likely series of raids in an unspecified location of Zaporizhia Oblast and destroyed Russian equipment, ammunition stores, and positions over the last several days, suggesting that Ukrainian troops continue to threaten Russian positions and assets in Zaporizhia Oblast.[41] Russian troops continued routine strikes throughout Dnipropetrovsk and Mykolaiv Oblasts, and reportedly utilized an Iranian Shahed-136 drone to attack civilian infrastructure in Kryvyi Rih.[42] Russian-appointed officials in Crimea claimed that Russian air defense systems shot down Ukrainian drones over Dzhankoi, Crimea on September 22.[43]

understandingwar.org/…

x "On day 211 of a five-day operation, none of Russia’s initial objectives have been achieved.”



Armed Forces Minister @JSHeappey updates the House of Commons on the situation in Ukraine: pic.twitter.com/RbwLdxukAA — Ministry of Defence 🇬🇧 (@DefenceHQ) September 22, 2022

x I am glad that brave political prisoner Aleh Hruzdzilovich, @RFERL journalist, was released yesterday after being illegally sentenced & spending nine months in jail. But I am also saddened when I see these pictures - it shows what the regime does to our people. It must end! pic.twitter.com/HjJzPasRUa — Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya (@Tsihanouskaya) September 22, 2022

The Kremlin likely attempted to downplay a prisoner swap with Ukraine that is deeply unpopular among Russian nationalists and milbloggers by undertaking the swap the same day Putin announced partial mobilization. The Kremlin exchanged 215 Ukrainian prisoners of war (POWs), including captured foreign nationals and Azov Battalion leaders, for at least 55 Russian POWs and political prisoners, including Putin’s personal friend, Ukrainian billionaire Viktor Medvechuk, on September 21.[14] The Russian Ministry of Defense claimed on September 22 that Russian and DNR and LNR POWs were in “mortal danger” in Ukrainian custody.[15] Far-right Russian milbloggers criticized the exchange and asked if the Kremlin had given up on the ”de-Nazification” of Ukraine, one of the stated goals of the Russian invasion.[16] Kremlin propagandists had heavily publicized the capture and planned prosecution of Azov personnel, accusing them of being Ukrainian Nazis. Other milbloggers criticized the Kremlin for enabling what they called Ukrainian information operations and ”allowing Kyiv to manipulate the mood in Russia.”[17] Chechen leader Ramzan Kadyrov described the exchange as ”incomprehensible,” implied that Chechen forces tortured Azov prisoners in captivity, and implied that Russian forces who capture ”Nazis” should kill them rather than take them as POWs if they will be traded back to Ukraine.[18] Torturing or killing POWs is a war crime and violates the Geneva Conventions.

understandingwar.org/...

CLICK HERE TO SEE INTERACTIVE MAP, UPDATED DAILY: ARCG.IS/09O0OS LOOKING FOR ANOTHER INTERACTIVE MAP? SEE ORIGINAL DEPLOYMENT MAP .

x An attack-drone crew who make their own armed craft shared images of enemy positions from the front lines. Their MacGyver moment was when they figured out how to drop Soviet-era antitank grenades from the drones, using an attachment made by a 3-D printer. https://t.co/bS6FTTScHc pic.twitter.com/ZwONABxHss — The Wall Street Journal (@WSJ) September 22, 2022

x Zelenskyi about modern tanks: "For us tanks today mean the salvation of our people. We will win this war even without your tanks but I want you to understand that we are fighting for our joint values & I would want this to be our joint victory" #Leopard2 #GiveUsLeos — Olena Halushka (@OlenaHalushka) September 22, 2022

x 🤡Patriarch Kirill urged not to be afraid of death amid mobilization



"Go bravely to fulfill your military duty.And remember that if you die for your country, you will be with God in his kingdom, glory and eternal life"



Maybe Kirill will refuse an armored Mercedes and security? pic.twitter.com/Bo6WaYcUKp — NEXTA (@nexta_tv) September 22, 2022

x Let's kick off with this viral video from #Dagestan, located in North Caucasus and colonised by russia. Indigenous populations being sent to their death thanks to #RussianColonialism, again. https://t.co/U9phdKyqtl — 🇺🇦 Валерія Voshchevska (@Val_Voshchevska) September 22, 2022

x We continue to rely on russia for the provision of weapons while we await those that will be provided as part of the Lend-Lease program. pic.twitter.com/wjZR6tfxBu — Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) September 22, 2022

x Iranian Shahed-136 suicide drone operated by Russian forces flying over Ukrainian troops positions, date unknown. These drones have reportedly hit targets in Dnipropetrovsk, Kryvyi Rih and Mykolaiv today pic.twitter.com/qwKdNaALlm — ELINT News (@ELINTNews) September 22, 2022

x List Of Aircraft Losses During The 2022 Russian Invasion Of #Ukraine 🇷🇺🇺🇦



Russian losses updated with:



- 1 Ka-52 'Alligator' attack helicopter (destroyed)



Full list: https://t.co/5JxYI4fmCm — Oryx (@oryxspioenkop) September 22, 2022

x Medvedev still hasn’t explained what exactly he plans to do when our nuclear submarines retaliate. https://t.co/ejCYK8ZUcY — John Aravosis 🇺🇸🇬🇷🏳️‍🌈 (@aravosis) September 22, 2022

The Biden administration generally has decided to keep warnings about the consequences of a nuclear strike deliberately vague, so the Kremlin worries about how Washington might respond, the officials said, speaking on the condition of anonymity to describe sensitive deliberations.

The attempt by the White House to cultivate what’s known in the nuclear deterrence world as “strategic ambiguity” comes as Russia continues to escalate its rhetoric about possible nuclear weapons use amid a domestic mobilization aimed at stanching Russian military losses in eastern Ukraine. www.washingtonpost.com/...

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[1] Url: https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2022/9/22/2124539/-Ukraine-Invasion-Day-212-limited-ground-attacks-and-counteroffensive-operations

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