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Tropical Storm Fiona and Typhoons Nanmadol and Merbok - Update 2 : Puerto Rico loses power [1]

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Date: 2022-09-18

Hurricane Fiona, now packing 85+ mph winds, has knocked out power to all of Puerto Rico. The graphic below shows the grim reality of conditions in PR — 100% power outage. Couple that with 10-18 inches of total rain that will fall in most areas of the island and you can start imagining the misery that Puerto Ricans must be going through, all over again.

This is the graphic of current conditions and the future track and strength of Fiona. Winds will pick up to over 125 mph as it heads north in the next 5 days, over very warm waters. It is forecasted to swing just west of Bermuda as a Cat 3 hurricane, so Bermuda will be on alert.

Wind speed forecast over the next 5 days from www.nhc.noaa.gov/...:

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 18/2100Z 18.2N 67.3W 75 KT 85 MPH

12H 19/0600Z 18.7N 68.2W 80 KT 90 MPH

24H 19/1800Z 20.0N 69.2W 85 KT 100 MPH

36H 20/0600Z 21.4N 70.1W 90 KT 105 MPH

48H 20/1800Z 22.8N 70.8W 100 KT 115 MPH

60H 21/0600Z 24.1N 70.9W 105 KT 120 MPH

72H 21/1800Z 25.7N 70.7W 110 KT 125 MPH

96H 22/1800Z 30.0N 68.5W 105 KT 120 MPH

120H 23/1800Z 37.5N 61.5W 95 KT 110 MPH

Rainfall will be in the 10-18 inch range across much of the southern half of the island, some areas will get more than 25 inches of rain.

Rain amounts so far — with lot more to come :(

x The MRMS precipitation analysis, combining radar estimates and rain gauge data, shows over 5 inches of rain already fell across much of Puerto Rico, locally over 10 inches, with plenty more on the way.



Hoping everyone in Puerto Rico stays safe tonight. pic.twitter.com/vLDzHRzkP3 — Tomer Burg (@burgwx) September 18, 2022

The rain bands will unfortunately linger for a long time, adding to rainfall amounts.

x Current flooding potential for #PuertoRico in Hurricane #Fiona highlighted by this HRRR run. Rainband stays parked over island over next 18-24h.



This is why @NWSWPC & @NHC_Atlantic are highlighting rainfall totals up to 25" max over island. This is catastrophic rainfall. #PRwx https://t.co/blgdEMwhf6 pic.twitter.com/zOPvbBmzly — Philippe Papin (@pppapin) September 18, 2022

River flooding will add to the misery and destruction —

x These are all the rivers in Puerto Rico that is in major flood stage. These rivers are continuing to rapidly rise as the eastern side of #HurricaneFiona continues to pound the island. Some of these rivers are already reaching their records. #PRwx #Fiona pic.twitter.com/wftZJymjZA — StormHQ  (@StormHQwx) September 18, 2022

The transformation of Fiona from Tropical Storm to Hurricane. That burst of convection before landfall means an increase in rainfall amounts.

x Incredible imagery of Hurricane Fiona and the lightning within.



A storm that is absolutely slamming Puerto Rico with winds and torrential rains.



A difficult evening ahead. pic.twitter.com/3zcn32YCXa — Dakota Smith (@weatherdak) September 18, 2022

Scenes from Puerto Rico

Unfortunately for the people of Utuado, that bridge was no match for the troubled waters.

x Reportan colapso de puente en Utuado. #huracánFiona pic.twitter.com/1VUL38OZe4 — Valeria Collazo (@ValeriaCollazoC) September 18, 2022

The Three Storms

In addition, we have nature’s fury in full swing in Japan and in Alaska. Check out this diary from yesterday for details. I will add some updates as we go.

Here is a brief summary of the 3 storms —

STORM WIND SPEEDS CURRENT PRESSURE PATH LANDFALL DAYS Tropical Storm Fiona ~85 Will strengthen to 125 mph 986 mb Guadeloupe, U.S. Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic, ... Bermuda, ... Saturday, Sunday, ... Super Typhoon Nanmadol ~90 mph ~110 mph at landfall 155 mph yesterday 935 mb at landfall 910 mb yesterday Along the spine of Japan Sunday, Monday, ... Typhoon Merbok (remnant) ~80 mph 937 mb yesterday Northern edge of Alaska Saturday and Sunday Normal pressure at sea level = 1013 millibar (mb).

Super Typhoon Nanmadol

Super typhoon Nanmadol made landfall earlier today.

At least five stations on Kyushu Island recorded over a half-meter (19.69 inches) of rain in just 24 hours on Sunday. The highest amount was 694.5 mm (27.34”) at Mikado; the 48-hour rainfall at that station was 830 mm (32.68”). yaleclimateconnections.org/…

Nanmadol will rake through the main Japanese islands over the next 48 hours.

x Super Typhoon #Nanmadol is predicted to strike Japan at 125mph sustained winds (Category-3). The track is northwest along the entire length of Japan's mainland. This is looking like a devastating blow for Japan. Thoughts and prayers sent to #Japan. pic.twitter.com/odZQIXNCOk — Mike Ventrice (@MJVentrice) September 16, 2022

Remnant of Typhoon Merbok

Coastal water levels were up to 13 feet higher than normal, but seem to be be falling now.

x Ocean water levels in eastern Norton Sound leveled out for a while early Sunday morning but have now started to fall again but are still rising in the Chukchi Sea north of Kotzebue. #akwx @Climatologist49 pic.twitter.com/znKTWwr1B2 — Rick Thoman (@AlaskaWx) September 18, 2022

Hundreds of miles of Alaska coastline have been affected.

x As Western Alaska storm weakens, damage assessments begin across hundreds of miles of coastline https://t.co/GhLdCdD8zD — Anchorage Daily News (@adndotcom) September 18, 2022

NWS’s colorful description of the prognosis for slow-moving Merbok.

x The storm is the uncle that comes over for a few days, makes a mess, & won't leave. It will sleep on the couch along the northwest coast a few more days, but the worst is over & impacts will continue to fade.



The brightening on this imagery is the auroa over it last night. 😎 pic.twitter.com/d84LRhL5nX — NWS Alaska Region (@NWSAlaska) September 18, 2022

Epilogue

The only saving grace is that we have a President and a Government in place, that has competency and humanity, that the TFG and his party are utterly devoid of.

I will post additional info as I discover it. Please post your insights, tips and useful links in the comments section below.

Stay safe wherever you are. Let’s help out with donations, etc. as many of these regions will need help to recover.

And let’s convince a few more folks to get out and vote for Democrats; that’s the only chance we have to save our precious earth.

Additional links and resources

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[1] Url: https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2022/9/18/2123688/-Hurricane-Fiona-knocks-out-power-in-all-of-Puerto-Rico

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