(C) Daily Kos
This story was originally published by Daily Kos and is unaltered.
. . . . . . . . . .



A single statistically significant variable predicted Dec 2015 Trump Republicans — Authoritarianism! [1]

['This Content Is Not Subject To Review Daily Kos Staff Prior To Publication.', 'Backgroundurl Avatar_Large', 'Nickname', 'Joined', 'Created_At', 'Story Count', 'N_Stories', 'Comment Count', 'N_Comments', 'Popular Tags']

Date: 2022-09-04

In Dec 2015 education, income, gender, age, ideology and religiosity had no significant bearing on a Republican voter’s preferred candidate

Here’s a real gem of statistical work from January 2016. Matthew MacWilliams saw the Authoritarian Trumpists coming more clearly than most.

Thanks to Lincoln Green for the link posted in a comment.

www.politico.com/…

“If I asked you what most defines Donald Trump supporters, what would you say? They’re white? They’re poor? They’re uneducated?

You’d be wrong.

In fact, I’ve found a single statistically significant variable predicts whether a voter supports Trump and it’s not race, income or education levels: It’s authoritarianism.

That’s right, Trump’s electoral strength—and his staying power—have been buoyed, above all, by Americans with authoritarian inclinations.”

“My finding is the result of a national poll I conducted in the last five days of December [2015] under the auspices of the University of Massachusetts, Amherst, sampling 1,800 registered voters across the country and the political spectrum. Running a standard statistical analysis, I found that education, income, gender, age, ideology and religiosity had no significant bearing on a Republican voter’s preferred candidate. Only two of the variables I looked at were statistically significant: authoritarianism, followed by fear of terrorism, though the former was far more significant than the latter.” — Matthew MacWilliams, founder of MacWilliams Sanders, a political communications firm, and a Ph.D. candidate in political science at the University of Massachusetts, Amherst

[END]
---
[1] Url: https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2022/9/4/2120737/-A-single-statistically-significant-variable-predicted-Dec-2015-Trump-Republicans-Authoritarianism

Published and (C) by Daily Kos
Content appears here under this condition or license: Site content may be used for any purpose without permission unless otherwise specified.

via Magical.Fish Gopher News Feeds:
gopher://magical.fish/1/feeds/news/dailykos/

You are viewing proxied material from magical.fish. The copyright of proxied material belongs to its original authors. Any comments or complaints in relation to proxied material should be directed to the original authors of the content concerned. Please see the disclaimer for more details.