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Ukraine Invasion Day 191: Fellas at work because the war is a hybrid one [1]

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Date: 2022-09-01

Exclusive footage from #NAFO 's operation VatnikBonking. Be warned that these images can be traumatizing for #vatniks , normal human beings will have absolutely no problems with them. pic.twitter.com/bP9G7bXFUD

Ukrainian operational security OPSEC is relatively quiet even as the battles continue and the disinformation war has escalated during the counteroffensive. As has been emphasized, the amount and type of war information will be either sparse or filtered, despite the disproportionate disinformation produced over the coming months.

At such a pace (+0.08% a month), Russia would complete seizing the rest of Ukraine’s territory (80.52%) in the year 2105 (in ~84 years). Oh, you can have a lot of fun with numbers!

Ukraine consolidates control over liberated territories on Kherson front The info on this video does not harm Ukrainian's efforts as it does not reveal their position or gives any secret info Footage by @MilitaryLabb pic.twitter.com/Ih84bXIReJ

Over the past day, Ukraine’s air forces have completed more than 70 air missions in different directions. Ukrainian fighters, bombers and attack aircraft launched missile and air strikes on the ground targets of Russian occupation troops, having hit enemy ammunition depots, platoon and company strong points, armored fighting vehicles, air-defense missile system positions, multiple launch rocket systems and personnel.

“On August 31, 2022, in the Eastern direction, the air-defense missile units of the Air Force destroyed an enemy helicopter (presumably, Ka-52) of Russian occupiers. In addition, two operational tactical level UAVs were shot down,” the report states.

The relevant statement was made by the Air Force Command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine on Facebook , an Ukrinform correspondent reports.

Over the past day, the Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine has destroyed one Russian helicopter, two unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs), platoon and company strong points and armored fighting vehicles.

x The head of the Odesa administration said two missiles were launched at the Odesa province, one of them (a Yakhont cruise missile) was intercepted, the other landing in an open area #Ukraine — Michael A. Horowitz (@michaelh992) September 1, 2022

“A substantial, sustained degradation of Russia’s radars with HARMs would be a major set-back to Russia’s already troubled situational awareness.”

Britain, the US, Ukraine and their allies are fighting an information war against Russia so briefings need to be treated with caution, although claims by the Kremlin are often far less believable.

Ukraine’s operational command South said its forces had destroyed a pontoon bridge near the town of Daryivky in the Kherson region, which had been used by the Russian troops to bring in equipment and ammunition.

www.standard.co.uk/...

Click here to see ISW interactive map, updated daily: arcg.is/09O0OS

x The timing of the start of the counteroffensive is consistent with the observed degradation of #Russian capabilities in western #Kherson Oblast balanced against the need to start liberating occupied #Ukrainian lands and people as soon as possible. /2 — ISW (@TheStudyofWar) September 1, 2022

x Military forces that must conduct offensive operations without the numerical advantages normally required for success in such operations often rely on misdirections and feints to draw the defender away from the sectors of the line on which breakthrough efforts will focus. /4 — ISW (@TheStudyofWar) September 1, 2022

x ISW has been appropriately cautious and circumspect in announcing the culmination or defeat of major Russian offensive operations. ISW will apply the same caution and circumspection to assessing the progress of the Ukrainian counteroffensive and exhorts others to do the same. /6 — ISW (@TheStudyofWar) September 1, 2022

An expert team from the United Nations nuclear agency plan to stay at the Russian-held Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant after gaining long-awaited access to the site on Thursday. “We are not going anywhere. The IAEA is now there, it is at the plant and it is not moving – it’s going to stay there,” the head of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), Rafael Grossi, told reporters after returning to Ukrainian-held territory. He said a group of IAEA experts had stayed behind at the plant in south-eastern Ukraine and would provide an impartial, neutral and technically sound assessment of the situation.

x Residents of #Energodar also gave a map of Ukrainian strikes on the territory of the nuclear power plant and the settlement to @rafaelmgrossi, the head of the @iaeaorg - he promissed that their call would be heard.#Zaporozhye #Russia

ex #Ukraine pic.twitter.com/mgPvAcpaqu — Римтутитуки (@PreQrac) September 1, 2022

This map from Russian defense commentator Y. Podolyaka allegedly shows Ukraine special ops raid (60 attackers in 7 boats) against Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant. 1 Sept.

The physical integrity of the Zaporizhzhia plant had been violated on several occasions, Rafael Grossi said. “It is obvious that the plant and physical integrity of the plant has been violated several times,” he told reporters. “I worried, I worry and I will continue to be worried about the plant until we have a situation which is more stable, which is more predictable.”

x 🇺🇦⚛️#Ukraine's nuclear power plants - where they are and under whose control (Map 👇)



➡️⚠️Zaporizhshya, under #Russia's control, is the largest in #Europe pic.twitter.com/AkG3uYfvqU — Prof. Michael Tanchum (@michaeltanchum) September 1, 2022

Russia’s foreign minister warned Moldova that any actions seen as endangering the security of Russian troops in the breakaway region of Transnistria would be considered an attack on Russia. Sergei Lavrov said: “Everyone should understand that any action that would threaten the security of our troops [in Transnistria] would be considered under international law as an attack on Russia.”

Russia and China launched large-scale military exercises involving several allied nations on Thursday, in a show of growing defence cooperation between Moscow and Beijing and a demonstration of Moscow’s military might. The Russian defence ministry said the Vostok 2022 (East 2022) exercise would be held until Wednesday in Russia’s far east and the Sea of Japan and involve more than 50,000 troops and 5,000 weapons units, including 140 aircraft and 60 warships.

United States federal agents searched properties linked to a billionaire Russian oligarch in Manhattan, the Hamptons and an exclusive Miami island. FBI agents and Homeland Security Investigations personnel searched the properties, linked to Viktor Vekselberg, who is a close ally of the Russian president, Vladimir Putin, and whose $120m yacht was seized in April, NBC News reported.

Germany’s domestic intelligence agency is investigating allegations that two senior civil servants could have been spying for Russia, according to a local media report. Die Zeit, which first revealed the case, said the officials being investigated had close involvement with energy supply issues and held key positions.

A senior Russian oil executive has died after falling from the window of a Moscow hospital, months after his company criticised the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Ravil Maganov, the chair of Lukoil, Russia’s largest private oil company, “fell from a window at Central clinical hospital”, the Interfax news agency reported on Thursday, citing a source. “He died from injuries sustained.” Maganov is the second top Lukoil executive to die in mysterious circumstances in recent months.

Children returned to Ukrainian schools trashed by occupying Russian forces on Thursday. Only schools that are fit for use, are in areas that do not face a regular threat of shelling and that have enough students opt for in-person teaching will reopen. School administrations have been preparing for the new academic year by outfitting basements as shelters and training teachers on what to do in case of an attack. All children who attend are told to carry an emergency bag with a change of clothes, any medicine they may need, a note from their parents and, for the younger children, a favourite toy.

Russian forces have been forcibly transferring Ukrainian civilians to Russia or areas of Ukraine under their control, according to Human Rights Watch. Forced transfers were “a serious violation of the laws of war that constitute war crimes and potential crimes against humanity”, it said

www.theguardian.com/…

x A map of the approximate situation on the ground in Ukraine as of 00:00 UTC 02/09/22.



There have been no notable changes to control since the last update. pic.twitter.com/sR5rc2ip8H — Ukraine War Map (@War_Mapper) September 2, 2022

x Video of a Ukrainian UAV from the 128th Mountain Assault Brigade dropping a VOG-17 grenade on a Russian position.https://t.co/JZSyucCfms pic.twitter.com/zTovgbIq55 — Rob Lee (@RALee85) September 1, 2022

The history goes back some way. Writing in Slate earlier this year, Charles Shaw, an assistant professor of Soviet history at Central European University in Vienna, argued that Ukraine was repurposing an old Soviet tactic against Russia. Kyiv was “consciously deploying laughter to define its position on the correct side of a just war, which is a playbook the Soviets used to great effect versus Nazi Germany,” Shaw wrote.

It may all seem frivolous. It’s anything but.

NAFO, for example, have served as fundraisers for the Ukraine military, even raising money so Ukraine would paint their memes on a tank, artfully dubbed “Super Bonker 9000.” Indirectly, the largely English-language memes have kept Western attention on Ukraine’s war — attention that is vital given the importance of Western arms to Ukrainian forces.

The group has also undercut both Russia’s somber justifications for the war, as well as accounts from Russian state allies that had attempted to show the conflict going in a better light than it actually was. It’s noteworthy that many of NAFO’s supporters come from the OSINT community.

Eliot Higgins, the founder the best-known OSINT website Bellingcat, tweeted this week that he would be talking about NAFO in a conference “as an example of online communities organically responding to disinformation from governments and counterfactual communities,” adding that it was “good for morale.”

But there are risks to the tactic, too. The surreal nature of the memes shouldn’t mask the bloody reality on the ground nor become dehumanizing, as Soviet propaganda against Germany did during World War II, according to Shaw. It’s notable that the Ukraine Defense Ministry has moved to embrace NAFO the same week that it banned reporters from traveling to parts of the country, sparking speculation that a counterattack is imminent.

Is a counterattack actually happening? Ukraine’s response so far has been to not answer, but to do what it knows best: Troll the Russians, once again.

www.stripes.com/...

x Russia has lost 67 military pilots in Ukraine



A single sniper pilot has 15-17 years of training at a cost of $12-14 million. Irreparable losses for the Russian war effort. — Samuel Ramani (@SamRamani2) September 2, 2022

x To think the Z is indeed dead!

A shift to conform amongst the Russo bloggers driven by a flailing Bunker Putin seeking a narrative change.

Could be driven by significant equipment losses on the Southern axis about to be media-fied?#UkraineRussiaWar #UkraineWar #Ukraine https://t.co/tqdq4njfsh — Peter Ciesa (@PCiesa) September 1, 2022

x The Kama Lisa pic.twitter.com/b21adrK0Nu — Walter Stevenson 🪶 (@WaltStevenson11) September 1, 2022

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[1] Url: https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2022/9/1/2120107/-Ukraine-Invasion-Day-191-Fellas-at-work-because-the-war-is-a-hybrid-one

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