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US Senate Race: Kelly Takes a Double-Digit Lead Over Masters [1]
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Date: 2022-09
US Senate Race: Kelly Takes a Double-Digit Lead Over Masters
Secretary of State Race: 1 in 4 Likely Voters are Undecided
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PHOENIX (September 21st, 2022)- Similar to how the Arizona weather doesn’t seem to cool off, neither does this election season. With just about three weeks until early voting for the midterm elections begins, candidates are staying hot on their heels in hopes to make it to the finish line. OH Predictive Insights ’ (OHPI) latest Arizona Public Opinion Pulse (AZPOP) assessed Arizona likely voters’ sentiment toward the U.S. Senate and Secretary of State races. According to the survey, Democrat incumbent Mark Kelly is favored to win the Senatorial election over Republican Blake Masters by a 12-point margin. In the race for Secretary of State, only 5 points separate the leader, Republican Mark Finchem, from Democratic challenger Adrian Fontes.
This AZPOP was conducted September 6th – September 9th, 2022 and surveyed 654 Arizona likely voters, giving the survey a margin of error of +/- 3.83%.
U.S. Senate Race
The recent survey revealed that likely voters prefer Mark Kelly (47%) to win the U.S. Senate election over Blake Masters (35%) and Libertarian Marc Victor (6%). Twelve percent of voters are still undecided. When it comes to the favorability of candidates, likely voters give Kelly a 51% favorable rating, and a 43% unfavorable rating. As for Masters, 40% gave him a favorable rating, and 49% gave him an unfavorable rating.
Party Affiliation
Taking a deeper look at party affiliations, 86% of Democrats indicated they would vote for Kelly, and an equal share (4%) plan to vote for Masters and Victor – the remaining 6% of Democrats are unsure. As for Republicans, only about two-thirds (65%) said they would vote for their own party’s candidate, while 20% would vote for Kelly, 3% for Victor, and 12% who remain undecided. Among Independents, support is more mixed with 43% saying they would vote for Kelly, 28% for Masters, and 10% for Victor who is outperformed by unsure Independents (19%).
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[1] Url:
https://blog.ohpredictive.com/press-releases/us-senate-race-kelly-takes-a-double-digit-lead-over-masters
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