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Ukraine Invasion Day 184: power problems ahead [1]

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Date: 2022-08-25

The Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant was briefly cut off from Ukraine’s electrical grid, leading to outages. The winter is being counted on by both sides in terms of energy needs.

“The concern about Moscow’s referendum planning underscores the steep challenges Ukraine faces as it seeks to translate losses it has recently inflicted against Russian forces into successfully regaining territory.” Russia has now lost territory the size of Denmark in Ukraine since March.

A new map from the U.K.'s defense ministry showed where Ukrainian advances were likely taking place in the war, indicating where Russia could lose ground.

Mariam Naiem, Ukrainian researcher:

Although some Western thinkers, especially those not familiar with Russian colonialism, argue otherwise, this war really is about Russian colonial reconquest. The unity of the ‘Little Russian’ (Ukrainian) and ‘Great Russian’ peoples have been central to the Russian chauvinist ideology for centuries. This ideology accepts limited political and economic independence of Ukraine as long as Ukraine exists within the ‘Russian world’. “It fundamentally cannot accept cultural independence: Ukraine embracing our own language and culture. To the chauvinists in power in Russia, Ukraine’s rejection of the ‘Russian world’ is like the rejection of civilisation and turn to ‘barbarism’ and ‘savagery’, an insult to their belief of their culture’s superiority among Russian colonies. “However, the full-scale invasion radically changed Ukrainian society like nothing else could. The longer the fight goes on, the deeper our decolonisation process goes. This is unavoidable: the engine has started and can only accelerate now. The severing of cultural ties with Russia started with Maidan in 2014 and will bloom fully into a restored Ukrainian identity. The Russian war aim of bringing Ukraine back to the ‘Russian world’ cannot happen any more.” www.aljazeera.com/...

The Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant (ZNPP) disconnected from the power grid for the first time in its operational history on August 25. Ukrainian nuclear operating enterprise Energoatom reported that Russian shelling caused the disconnection by starting fires at ash pits near the Zaporizhia Thermal Power Plant (ZTPP), approximately 5km from the ZNPP.[4] Energoatom stated that the ZTPP is currently supplying the ZNPP with power and that work is ongoing to reconnect one of the ZNPP power units back to the Ukrainian power grid.[5] Russian sources accused Ukrainian forces of firing at the ZNPP, but Russia has not provided clear evidence of Ukrainian troops striking the plant.[6] As ISW has previously reported, Ukraine’s Main Intelligence Directorate (GUR) stated that Russian troops deliberately conducted mortar strikes against the ash pits at the ZTPP.[7] The GUR also has not provided clear evidence to support its claims. The Russians’ failure to provide unequivocal evidence of the extensive shelling they accuse Ukraine of conducting is more noteworthy, however, because Russia controls the ground and could provide more conclusive evidence far more easily than Ukraine could. The GUR also reported on August 20 that Russian officials had indefinitely extended the order for Ukrainian employees of the ZNPP to stay home, and there have been no reports of any rescission of that order, which means that a portion of the ZNPP’s workforce is apparently still absent on Russian orders despite the ongoing emergency.[8] Russian forces have also heavily militarized the ZNPP since its capture, despite the fact that the facility is far from the front line and at no risk of imminent Ukrainian ground attack. This pattern of activity continues to make it far more likely that Russian forces have been responsible for kinetic attacks on and around the ZNPP than that Ukrainian forces have been. www.understandingwar.org/... Key Takeaways Russian forces conducted limited ground attacks northwest and northeast of Slovyansk, northeast and south of Bakhmut, and northwest of Donetsk City.

Russian forces conducted a limited ground attack in northwestern Kharkiv Oblast.

Russian forces conducted limited ground attacks in northwestern Kherson Oblast.

Ukrainian forces continued to target Russian military assets and ground lines of communication (GLOCs) in Kherson Oblast.

Russian federal subjects (regions) are continuing recruitment efforts for volunteer battalions, which are continuing to deploy to training grounds in Russia and to Ukraine.

Russian occupation administrators are continuing to take measures to mitigate challenges to their authority and facilitate the economic and educational integration of occupied territories into the Russian system. www.understandingwar.org/…

x .@cxemu obtained new satellite imagery of Ukraine's Zaporizhzhiya nuclear plant (from 24 August). The smoke is from a burning, possibly radioactive ash pit, whose fire is threatening some of the power lines. https://t.co/EzLnTTvU61 pic.twitter.com/UizMhmMfJM — Mike Eckel (@Mike_Eckel) August 25, 2022

x There are still an awful lot of questions about how those fires started, how well they've been contained and so on. I did a thread on them yesterday.https://t.co/mZmvAPgLpU — Geoff Brumfiel (@gbrumfiel) August 25, 2022

x UPDATE: In his speech tonight, President Zelenskiy says that the emergency diesel generators were tripped. That would also indicate a "scram" shutdown of the reactors (I don't think there's any scenario where the plant keeps producing power on diesel backup). (H/T @JulianHayda) pic.twitter.com/5B2MFP7rE1 — Geoff Brumfiel (@gbrumfiel) August 25, 2022

x Hmm.. so the Russians have started to get wise to the fact that they post a video, and within half an hour it's geolocated and a strike request has gone out to Ukrainian command.



The rest is history. — KT "Special Intelligence Operation" (@KremlinTrolls) August 25, 2022

x Ukraine to investors: We're open for business https://t.co/MOz0YFet1K — Stooge Report (brain cells matter) (@stooge_report) August 26, 2022

x How the Ukraine War Is Transforming Germany by @josephsternberg https://t.co/Si7h9oBVJG via @WSJ — George Rice (@GeorgeR03066788) August 26, 2022

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[1] Url: https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2022/8/25/2118643/-Ukraine-Invasion-Day-184-power-problems-ahead

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