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I think it is likely RU gets enveloped in the south shortly. [1]

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Date: 2022-08-17

I think it is very clear UKR is looking to envelope RU forces in the south. My understanding at this point is that many or most RU supply lines are compromised. They will not be able to reinforce there. And Ukraine can pick the time and place of any thrust. I think they have them there.

I will certainly defer to General Hertling though. But I think we believe the same thing in this. Interesting he knew it was indeed a Polish general key to the Falasie gap movement in 1944. He is a good student of history no doubt. Very good.

If they do pull this off — they will have cut off and taken out of the fight a goodly chunk of their southern force and seriously weaken any remaining forces there. I doubt they will wait very long to do this — maybe weeks at most. Probably more like days if they are in position.

x ...while using terrain/rivers to their advantage. It also appears Putin refuses to allow his generals to withdraw (like Hitler before him w/ Marshall von Kluge)



Back then, the Germans were trapped west of the Seine. This time, it will be the RU west of the Dnipro.



2/2 — Mark Hertling (@MarkHertling) August 15, 2022

I think a Russian loss in the south will be their Gettysburg moment. The moment the war is lost, in future retrospect. To have lost control of the truly significant geography in the entire war out of sheer stupidity.

I would definitely be listening to General Hertling here. This will probably happen pretty soon — weeks or days, like I said. He says he will be talking of this soon. Listen to him.

Just IMHO

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[1] Url: https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2022/8/17/2117221/-I-think-it-is-likely-RU-gets-enveloped-in-the-south-shortly

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