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Something is Happening in Ohio. People are Talking About Splitting their Vote to Support Tim Ryan [1]
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Date: 2022-07-27
Can you have an earthquake in Ohio? Because there are signs that there may be a political earthquake in Ohio in November. This isn’t just something being discussed here. The GOP candidate is already talking about his campaign (primary) debts and reversing his position on corporate PAC money. Ohio media is talking about how this race may “provide a ray of hope for Democrats,” and how Vance is struggling. Democrats are not just lining up behind Tim Ryan but defending him aggressively. And Vance seems content on making things worse. And we are seeing the effects of this on the ground. You want to talk about Good News? In Ohio!?!
(Column C is Volunteers (smh))
307 volunteers came out to knock on doors with Hope Springs from Field PAC last Saturday in Lucas, Wood, Erie, Portage and Summit counties, as well as the Cincinnati suburbs, for our eighth canvass in Ohio. And here’s the thing: our volunteers told organizers they came out because they think this Senate seat is “in play.” Even though we are knocking to mobilize for the Senate, we are canvassing in Ohio’s northwest Erie/Michigan border (Ohio’s 9th (Marcy Kaptur, inc)) and the grey swing districts, OH-01 (R, Steve Chabot, inc; D: Greg Landsman) which has a partisan lean of +3D and the Open seat, OH-13 (D: Emilia Sykes) outside of Cleveland. Planting the flag for Democrats, so to speak.
We asked voters who opened their doors if they were registered to vote at their current address and if they have the necessary identification to cast a vote. We remind voters that they have to be registered at their current address to conform with HAVA *and* having their current address in the Poll Book allows them more options for identification purposes.
Our major focus is the Issues Survey. Using the Issues Survey as the means for directing conversation at the door makes it easier for volunteers to engage voters. Normally, around 65% of the voters we talk to at their doors answer some or all of these questions. On Saturday, we had 1,091 voters respond. Let me repeat that, for emphasis. 1,091 voters answered questions on our Issues Survey on Saturday. In Ohio. Because voters there think Ryan could be their next senator. BOOM.
We ask voters about what issue they think is the most urgent facing America right now. Concerns about the Economy was the top Issue mentioned by voters we talked to on Saturday. People are very concerned about Jobs and a possible Recession and they do tell us they like Ryan because he’s talking about that. Health Care Costs or Insurance Premiums was second, mostly over concern that premiums will jump significantly next year. Schools was the third most mentioned issue. We also heard a lot additional comments about Reproductive Rights and Gun Violence in the “Anything to add” or message to Congress query.
Collecting data about the Issues that voters actually think and talk about, though, is extraordinarily useful for Democratic campaigns, and the data we collect will be available to all Democrats who use VAN after Labor Day. This may be even more important than ever before.
Support (measured as job approval) for President Biden rose to 52% from the voters we talked to on Saturday. Disapproval fell to 13%. Approval for Tim Ryan was 78% this week. Approval for Governor DeWine dropped to 23%. But this is a graphical illustration of how Democrats in Ohio are gaining confidence. And the fact that we are knocking on doors only reinforces those gains.
Hope Springs from Field PAC has been knocking on doors in a grassroots-led effort to prepare the Electoral Battleground in what has been called the First Round of a traditional Five Round Canvass. We are taking those efforts to the doors of the communities most effected (the intended targets or victims) of these new voter suppression laws.
Obviously, we rely on grassroots support, so if you support field/grassroots organizing, voter registration (and follow-up) and our efforts to protect our voters, we would certainly appreciate your support:
https://secure.actblue.com/donate/2022senateswing
Hope Springs from Field PAC understands that repeated face to face interactions are critical. And we are among those who believe that Democrats didn’t do as well in the 2020 Congressional races as expected because we didn’t knock on doors — and we didn’t register new voters (while Republicans dud). We are returning to the old school basics: repeated contacts, repeated efforts to remind them of protocols, meeting them were they are. Mentoring those who need it (like first time and newly registered voters). Reminding, reminding, reminding, and then chasing down those voters whose ballots need to be cured.
We ask people who open their doors about local concerns, and specifically whether they need services delivered to their neighborhood. This week, we collected 108 CSRs in Ohio. In general, we send these to Democratic elected officials responsible for the requested functions, but if the appropriate office is held by a Republican, we still send it along. For Democrats, though, we encourage them to reach out immediately to the voter who filled out the Constituent Service Request forms and let them know they are working on the issue. This credit-taking is enormously valuable to the Democratic office-holder. Comments from Observation Forms are entered into VAN, as well.
We registered 17 New Voters last Saturday and Re-registered (or corrected Voter Addresses) 66 voters last Saturday. I think this might have doubled the total number of people we had registered at the doors in Ohio. But there is something afoot in the state, and we have been able to capitalize on the growing excitement here. Timing is everything.
If you are able to support our efforts to protect Democratic voters, expand the electorate, and believe in grassroots efforts to increase voter participation and election protection, please help:
https://secure.actblue.com/donate/2022senateswing
Thank you for your support. This work depends on you!
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