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Will abortion tip Ohio’s political balance? Primary turnout says maybe [1]
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Date: 2022-07-17
Asked what issues are most important to them, voters are naming guns, abortion and preservation of democracy, he said.
..“There is some early polling evidence that suggests that Democrats are more motivated at the moment,” Hannah said. “Fifty percent of Democrats, compared to just 20% of Republicans, responded that the Dobbs decision will make them more likely to vote in the midterm election.”
“Republicans want to see voters mobilized by the economy, gas prices, and inflation. And that might have been the sole focus were it not for these major Supreme Court decisions,” Hannah said.
The issue could impact two elections in Ohio: the Aug. 2 partisan primary for state House and Senate seats and the Nov. 8 general election for those seats and statewide offices including governor.
The issue has been part of the Ohio governor’s race from the start. Incumbent Republican Gov. Mike DeWine has usually avoided commenting directly on abortion-related proposals but has signed bills drastically restricting abortion access and signaled tacit support for more.
Until at least mid-April, DeWine’s campaign website touted him as “the most pro-life governor in Ohio history,” highlighting his signature of the “Heartbeat Bill” and the “Born Alive Infant Protection Act.” By mid-July, however, the site no longer mentioned abortion at all.
“We did a website revamp so the language is new,” Tricia McLaughlin, director of communications for DeWine’s campaign, said via email. “Of course, the governor is pro-life and was proud to sign the Heartbeat Bill into law – Ohioans know that. The governor is proud of his pro-life record and has never shied away from that.”
Democratic gubernatorial candidate Nan Whaley, former mayor of Dayton, has said she would work to keep abortion accessible to Ohioans and would veto any bill that restricts abortion access. Since the Dobbs decision, Whaley has said she would “fight to enshrine the protections previously afforded in Roe into the Ohio Constitution.”
..”It was evident from May primary results that Republicans were already enthusiastic about voting this year, while Democrats were not, said Christopher Devine, assistant professor of political science at the University of Dayton. But the U.S. Supreme Court’s ruling seems to have changed that dynamic.”...
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