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Ukraine Invasion Day 138: Russia's operational pause still executes offensive actions [1]

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Date: 2022-07-10

A long thread rom Michael Bond:

x We received more detail on previously announced UK drones being delivered to Ukrainehttps://t.co/KfeYiiOyw6 — Michael Bond (@HelloMrBond) July 11, 2022

It may be helpful for context to read the consolidations I put together in the last month

Combat Strength

Of an estimated 120 Battalion Tactical Groups (BTGs) committed by Russia to the invasion, most recently it was believed there were 105 BTGs in Ukraine.

“Skibitsky noted that 105 battalion tactical groups (BTGs) are taking part in the war in Ukraine and that Russian reserve capabilities could increase this number to anywhere between 150 and 160 BTGs but did not specify a timeframe for this mobilization.” Institute for the Study of War

Here is the recent history of Russian BTG counts in Ukraine x https://twitter.com/hellomrbond/status/1529312406257688576?s=21&t=XjCPery7omVFIPmdm4J3-Q

There are regularly articles written that spell out the challenges facing those fighting for Ukraine both at the strategic and tactical levels. Here is a sampling Unroll available on Thread Reader x https://twitter.com/louiseelisabet/status/1545847508647174144?s=21&t=YoC5BB8xuksch7mdQ5U2GA Interviewing a foreign fighter about battles in Severodonetsk U.S. vet fighting with Ukrainian forces: 'It's a 1916-type artillery war’

Chris Miller on setbacks Unroll available on Thread Reader x https://twitter.com/christopherjm/status/1544031169196556290?s=21&t=H4_97RhywZcqPx7BoOKS5w Rob Lee on new Ukrainian challenges now that they are attacking on some fronts x https://twitter.com/ralee85/status/1544048459564580866?s=21&t=H4_97RhywZcqPx7BoOKS5w

However, there are more positive assessments. US defense officials note that Ukraine is in better defensive positions x https://twitter.com/jackdetsch/status/1545462724125147137?s=21&t=1zFv5J12JzKTiF__n1FGGQ Retired general Mick Ryan writes about understanding Russian goals in an effort to develop plans to counter them Unroll available on Thread Reader x https://twitter.com/warinthefuture/status/1546039360973185024?s=21&t=YoC5BB8xuksch7mdQ5U2GA

Kamil Galeev writes about how, in his opinion, the unequal distribution of economic consequences of the war within Russia will doom it in a long war Unroll available on Thread Reader x https://twitter.com/kamilkazani/status/1545468134315896833?s=21&t=1zFv5J12JzKTiF__n1FGGQ

Russian Equipment and logistics

Due to the number of developments, I have grouped these updates on attack on ammo depots, precision guided missile inventories, partisan resistance, military industrial capacity and light equipment supply.

Attacks on Ammo Depots

There have been so many attacks on Russian ammunition depots that to keep them straight it is easier to list daily strike locations. Today’s list: x https://twitter.com/warmonitor3/status/1546221454487949314?s=21&t=bFcHBI9wtifBEeGye0tfCg Therefore, maps like this one quickly fall out of date x https://twitter.com/ralee85/status/1545073829403365376?s=21&t=ag30USKibokxPol0ugPE1g

Phillips O’Brien wrote about how these attacks seemed to be very systematic and they may be tied to other efforts to disrupt rail resupply ties Unroll available on Thread Reader x https://twitter.com/phillipspobrien/status/1545297055567978498?s=21&t=1zFv5J12JzKTiF__n1FGGQ

Professor O’Brien also noted the apparent reduction in volumes of artillery fire from Russia and the increasingly deep strikes being conducted by the Ukrainians as reflected in satellite mapping of evidence of fires Unroll available on Thread Reader x https://twitter.com/phillipspobrien/status/1546020369462591488?s=21&t=oJt5rlty_9uik2tDaiuVsw

The impact of these strikes has the potential to be significant, as estimates of the volume of Russian artillery fire ranges from tens of thousands of rounds per day, up to this estimate from Ukrainian advisor Arestovych of 45k artillery shells per day Unroll available on Thread Reader x https://twitter.com/mdmitri91/status/1544085003373629441?s=21&t=8Yhq7vPPsAkRvbJBYnILEQ



x https://twitter.com/mootality/status/1545689986116341760?s=21&t=aS7LGjLWUkPvRu_pDATOjg The effect of these attacks may be magnified because of the poor materials handling and safety practices in Russian ammo depots, as noted in this apparent excerpt from a US army handbook

As Trent Telenko notes in this detailed thread, these developments considerably change the back of the envelope math previously applied to Russian logistics and makes their situation much more difficult Unroll available on Thread Reader x https://twitter.com/trenttelenko/status/1544472420484091905?s=21&t=JTKa1k1hyEUYA6FrYzXgbg

While discussing logistics, I also note this serious blow via destruction of a large number of Russian supply vehicles, which are becoming more and more important Unroll available on Thread Reader x https://twitter.com/uaweapons/status/1511672397946138630?s=21&t=SW8n5QTCuJwxZXhooDhl4w

Through translations of critical blog posts by several Russian military observers, we see that concern over these attacks on ammo depots is shared



Roman Saponkov x https://twitter.com/mdmitri91/status/1546262403276591106?s=21&t=bFcHBI9wtifBEeGye0tfCg Dmitriyev x https://twitter.com/mdmitri91/status/1546256088324005890?s=20&t=jhFE8UKts3a2xFPHv9eGOw Igor Girkin x https://twitter.com/mdmitri91/status/1544761167691890692?s=21&t=Rvjt8IsCzXkF13GnWbgK7A



x https://twitter.com/ralee85/status/1546240253568114688?s=21&t=bFcHBI9wtifBEeGye0tfCg In addition to strikes on ammo depots, it is noted that HIMARS and other long range systems have been used to strike Russian command and control centres



On June 28, President Zelensky stated that Russia had fired 2811 missiles. Previously, OSINT investigators of Bellingcat stated they believe Russia had fired 70% of its precision guided missiles

t.me/V_Zelenskiy_of…

x https://twitter.com/kyivindependent/status/1541910587734646785?s=21&t=jv0oQorR7vFwEsqJk-ZeeQ Precision Guided Missile InventoriesOn June 28, President Zelensky stated that Russia had fired 2811 missiles. Previously, OSINT investigators of Bellingcat stated they believe Russia had fired 70% of its precision guided missiles Zelenskiy / Official

This week, there were videos captured of several missile launches, of a variety of missile types and from both land based and ship based missiles, apparently failing.

Missile failure on a launch from a ship x https://twitter.com/covertshores/status/1545159127940435968?s=21&t=ag30USKibokxPol0ugPE1g

Could this indicate poor storage or reliance on older munitions? x https://twitter.com/intelcrab/status/1545497435232927750?s=21&t=7amYZphfp8vGxc7MYS3F1A

There were also several videos produced of Russian led forces using and transporting Tochka-u missile systems that Russia has claimed to retire.

Video of Tochka use by Russian PMCs x https://twitter.com/guiniezoo_intel/status/1545474253319016452?s=21&t=1zFv5J12JzKTiF__n1FGGQ 6 more Tochkas in transit x https://twitter.com/vcdgf555/status/1546130688281235456?s=21&t=YoC5BB8xuksch7mdQ5U2GA

There were also reports of apparent failures of S-400 air defense systems to intercept presumed HIMARS strikes and even a report that an S-400 was directly destroyed in such a strike x https://twitter.com/noclador/status/1546096908581707778?s=21&t=YoC5BB8xuksch7mdQ5U2GA

There were also claims that S-300 air defense missiles have been used in surface to surface strikes x https://twitter.com/liveuamap/status/1545717692912615424?s=21&t=SW8n5QTCuJwxZXhooDhl4w While it has been noted that this mode of use has been previously tested, there is doubt about its usefulness against ground targets x https://twitter.com/Aviation_Intel/status/1545568065168887808?s=20&t=OCTjEWbydJwhZRBoL9nPeQ

Partisan Resistance

Further to previous reports of increasing partisan resistance, there were several attacks noted this week:

This attack resulted in light damage to the train, none to the tracks

pravda.com.ua/news/2022/07/9…



Sabotage of rail line video x https://twitter.com/ralee85/status/1545818136498274304?s=21&t=SW8n5QTCuJwxZXhooDhl4w



x https://twitter.com/bamr69/status/1545043031719415810?s=21&t=FFWpM6Qou-uBui8sabiYcw However, there was a separate (unconfirmed) claim of an ammo train destroyed in an attack In another attack, partisans reportedly blew up a railway bridge near occupied Lyubimivka x https://twitter.com/thestudyofwar/status/1544116577863286784?s=21&t=nKBOx67qVTsE3vvCewyJkQ

While it is not known if it is destined for railroad repair in Ukraine, several train loads of Prefab rail lines were spotted being moved along the Russian side of the Ukrainian border x https://twitter.com/twmcltd/status/1546296608480018433?s=21&t=bFcHBI9wtifBEeGye0tfCg

As a result, Russian is publishing videos of counter insurgency efforts x https://twitter.com/khersonkim/status/1545459656088248321?s=21&t=SW8n5QTCuJwxZXhooDhl4w x https://twitter.com/ralee85/status/1545542134161367041?s=21&t=SW8n5QTCuJwxZXhooDhl4w



Russian heavy military industry has not been stopped entirely by the impact of sanctions, as Uralvagonzavod announced delivery of a batch of BREM-1M to the Russian military

x https://twitter.com/ralee85/status/1545173682577891329?s=21&t=ag30USKibokxPol0ugPE1g Military Industrial Capacity and Light Equipment SupplyRussian heavy military industry has not been stopped entirely by the impact of sanctions, as Uralvagonzavod announced delivery of a batch of BREM-1M to the Russian military

Russian industry is still producing fighter aircraft, in this case for export sale x https://twitter.com/ralee85/status/1545207450546077702?s=21&t=ag30USKibokxPol0ugPE1g

In personal equipment we see:

Russia using old soviet helmets x https://twitter.com/intelcrab/status/1545847265947951104?s=21&t=aS7LGjLWUkPvRu_pDATOjg Russian soldiers marveling at the superiority of Ukrainian equipment x https://twitter.com/mdmitri91/status/1546183084013387778?s=21&t=YoC5BB8xuksch7mdQ5U2GA

Advance limited by numbers of UAVs to laze targets for PGMs Unroll available on Thread Reader x https://twitter.com/ralee85/status/1545135289932386304?s=21&t=ag30USKibokxPol0ugPE1g More examples of civilian GPS being used in combat aircraft

x https://twitter.com/yanevskyy/status/1545081597116010500?s=21&t=SW8n5QTCuJwxZXhooDhl4w More examples of civilian GPS being used in combat aircraft

We continue to see Russia relying on crowdsourced gear Unroll available on Thread Reader x https://twitter.com/ralee85/status/1545150391515582464?s=21&t=ag30USKibokxPol0ugPE1g x https://twitter.com/abarbashin/status/1543951074108866560?s=21&t=9gPuWo-_KwDfLc-qs28Gmw Chinese scopes on Russian machine guns may be among the privately funded equipment x https://twitter.com/ralee85/status/1545192439279144960?s=21&t=ag30USKibokxPol0ugPE1g



x https://twitter.com/sambendett/status/1544769550721376258?s=21&t=Rvjt8IsCzXkF13GnWbgK7A Interestingly, several Russian regions/provinces are now being told to assist in directly funding military purchases from regional budgets

It is also reported that individual Russians are also donating to Ukrainian crowdfunding efforts and suffering the consequences from authorities, including fines and arrests

Captured Equipment

In recent weeks I have been incorporating figures for captured equipment into my larger thread on available forces. This week I am increasing my estimate of captures being suitable for reuse from 1/3 of observed captures to 1/2.

This increase is partly based on reports that Ukraine now has several companies made up of captured tanks Unroll available on Thread Reader x https://twitter.com/childsacrifice1/status/1546124640455692289?s=21&t=YoC5BB8xuksch7mdQ5U2GA





Kubinka x https://twitter.com/militarylandnet/status/1545789351476580352?s=21&t=SW8n5QTCuJwxZXhooDhl4w Russian displayed captured equipment in two locations this week:Kubinka Lysychansk – however, as this thread makes clear, most of these are previous captures now being displayed and not new captures in Lysychansk Unroll available on Thread Reader x https://twitter.com/uaweapons/status/1545899301628526595?s=21&t=WGyeJ7ha_3deOgJqce6Aqg

Why are things abandoned and capable of being captured? Well, Ukraine will destroy equipment that they must abandon x https://twitter.com/uaweapons/status/1546230564642033666?s=21&t=bFcHBI9wtifBEeGye0tfCg

However, some vehicles are abandoned in places where they are believed that they can be recovered. Sometimes the other side will make it a point to get there first, as in this example of capture of an abandoned tank in disputed territory x https://twitter.com/uaweapons/status/1545118738424406017?s=21&t=ag30USKibokxPol0ugPE1g



Recapture

x https://twitter.com/uaweapons/status/1543970870439432194?s=21&t=9gPuWo-_KwDfLc-qs28Gmw We see several examples of recaptured equipmentRecapture Recapture

x https://twitter.com/uaweapons/status/1545011069495672833?s=21&t=LFdJ_FT2zjqud3eN_s_CRg Recapture and a clarification about the way recaptures are counted by Oryx’s team

x https://twitter.com/rebel44cz/status/1545091527818584065?s=21&t=LFdJ_FT2zjqud3eN_s_CRg and a clarification about the way recaptures are counted by Oryx’s team



One capture towing another

x https://twitter.com/ukrwarreport/status/1543947308970164228?s=21&t=9gPuWo-_KwDfLc-qs28Gmw Captured tanksOne capture towing another T-80s x https://twitter.com/osinttechnical/status/1544114907226034181?s=21&t=nKBOx67qVTsE3vvCewyJkQ



T-80 x https://twitter.com/arslon_xudosi/status/1545812263927484416?s=21&t=SW8n5QTCuJwxZXhooDhl4w T-80 T-72 x https://twitter.com/uaweapons/status/1544356465279901697?s=21&t=lIFEEXtp03s8QOUuc1dC6A T-72

x https://twitter.com/uaweapons/status/1545125402074562563?s=21&t=ag30USKibokxPol0ugPE1g T-72 T-72 x https://twitter.com/200_zoka/status/1545409881154506752?s=21&t=1zFv5J12JzKTiF__n1FGGQ



Humvee

x https://twitter.com/osinttechnical/status/1544914638135066624?s=21&t=ysJue12NN4OhC03HNq9rtg Here are some rarer capturesHumvee Ukrainian tank x https://twitter.com/tankdiary/status/1545701296598032384?s=21&t=-RNMbxhY64SVg4WMcwfJbw Ukrainian tank x https://twitter.com/uaweapons/status/1545021775846817792?s=21&t=LFdJ_FT2zjqud3eN_s_CRg x https://twitter.com/uaweapons/status/1545124224095977473?s=21&t=ag30USKibokxPol0ugPE1g x https://twitter.com/osinttechnical/status/1543835199800311808?s=21&t=GLkAnHffVZy41om11I-cUA Tunguska x https://twitter.com/osinttechnical/status/1545139368108728322?s=21&t=ag30USKibokxPol0ugPE1g

Here is the list of the value of the drawdowns of US military aid as of a week ago x https://twitter.com/jackdetsch/status/1542953161232711681?s=21&t=TzhzFkJFfonLnIYTj1XItg



x https://twitter.com/jseldin/status/1537791976451489798?s=21&t=0DUI2rvlqDpK9-FUnwgPGQ This was the full US list of equipment committed as military aid, as of three weeks ago



Along with the $450 million drawdown announced two weeks ago

x https://twitter.com/jackdetsch/status/1540072547257131010?s=21&t=TY616u3SKf8ZHVZIFCdI9w Along with the $450 million drawdown announced two weeks ago $800 million announced last week x https://twitter.com/SecDef/status/1542952702933712896?s=20&t=MXlnZnMO0MwaYADDgx7GwQ



x https://twitter.com/secdef/status/1545739661091508229?s=21&t=SW8n5QTCuJwxZXhooDhl4w And this week’s announcement of a further $400 million in military aid



x https://twitter.com/brookingsfp/status/1545785598610477067?s=21&t=bFcHBI9wtifBEeGye0tfCg A new survey finds that US public support for Ukraine remains high



x https://twitter.com/uawarinfo/status/1546148426366291968?s=21&t=YoC5BB8xuksch7mdQ5U2GA It is reported that US President Biden will attempt to free up soviet weapons for Ukraine from the Middle East in his upcoming trip



A report was produced this week on remaining sources of soviet and Russian arms for Ukraine

x https://twitter.com/ivanastradner/status/1544716170380681216?s=21&t=Rvjt8IsCzXkF13GnWbgK7A A report was produced this week on remaining sources of soviet and Russian arms for Ukraine

Interestingly, in a recent video a Ukrainian defense official argued against seeking former Soviet equipment in Africa and Asia Unroll available on Thread Reader x https://twitter.com/childsacrifice1/status/1546130417266434049?s=20&t=zm9tjmO6ibiUU2LdJI5hNA



x https://twitter.com/kyivindependent/status/1544196169777176577?s=21&t=nKBOx67qVTsE3vvCewyJkQ There was military support announced from Scotland and Wales and more UK artillery is on the way x https://twitter.com/kyivindependent/status/1544363372598149120?s=21&t=Ijzsi2G2KbiUs40wQh_yMQ



x https://twitter.com/goodies4ukraine/status/1544101422328958978?s=21&t=H4_97RhywZcqPx7BoOKS5w As you would expect, there is a steady stream of deliveries flying into Rzeszow, Poland

Ukrainian advisor Arestovych notes that weapons factories in some NATO countries are now working 3 or 4 shifts to increase production Unroll available on Thread Reader x https://twitter.com/mdmitri91/status/1544085007727267842?s=21&t=8Yhq7vPPsAkRvbJBYnILEQ

Artillery and MLRS

Danilov stated that Ukraine had 9 HIMARS (however, only 4 were known to be in country with 4 more on the way at the time. His comments may have included some m270). Four more were included in this week’s US commitment, for a total of 12 Russia’s Tactical Shift in Ukraine Raises Prospect of Protracted War

While Ukrainian advisor Arestovych previously said he believed the west side of the Dniepr near Kherson could be recaptured with just 5 HIMARS, here is what the coverage of the eastern front line would look like with 13 units Unroll available on Thread Reader x https://twitter.com/defmon3/status/1545911968401432578?s=21&t=bFcHBI9wtifBEeGye0tfCg

Despite Russian claims, the US says no HIMARS destroyed Unroll available on Thread Reader x https://twitter.com/jseldin/status/1545460591640432640?s=21&t=YoC5BB8xuksch7mdQ5U2GA While HIMARS are being used to very good effect (as per the discussion of attacks on ammo depots above) Russian adaptations to HIMARS in process Unroll available on Thread Reader x https://twitter.com/ralee85/status/1545200191942393856?s=21&t=ag30USKibokxPol0ugPE1g



x https://twitter.com/oryxspioenkop/status/1545514392355217410?s=21&t=1zFv5J12JzKTiF__n1FGGQ While there were not as many artillery pieces committed this week as in recent weeks, six more PzH 2000 units were announced for a total of 12



Greece will be sending 30 APCs, as a ring exchange with Germany was agreed x https://twitter.com/lilygrutcher/status/1545463630426259458?s=21&t=1zFv5J12JzKTiF__n1FGGQ VehiclesGreece will be sending 30 APCs, as a ring exchange with Germany was agreed Spartans from the UK arrived in Ukraine x https://twitter.com/oryxspioenkop/status/1545786448925888512?s=21&t=SW8n5QTCuJwxZXhooDhl4w a promotional video for Mastiffs from the UK was produced upon their arrival x https://twitter.com/defenceu/status/1546223985771384833?s=21&t=bFcHBI9wtifBEeGye0tfCg



x https://twitter.com/uaweapons/status/1544711188948422656?s=21&t=jvqq8aPKck2OUG8LAwF4xQ We had one of the first sightings of Danish m113



Italian iveco ‘lince’

x https://twitter.com/cironappi6/status/1545049782883721218?s=21&t=LFdJ_FT2zjqud3eN_s_CRg Italian iveco ‘lince’



there have also been private Ukrainian purchases of Italian vehicles

x https://twitter.com/uaweapons/status/1543959429175017473?s=21&t=9gPuWo-_KwDfLc-qs28Gmw there have also been private Ukrainian purchases of Italian vehicles



a Czech BMP 1

x https://twitter.com/uaweapons/status/1544393722967760904?s=21&t=lIFEEXtp03s8QOUuc1dC6A Unfortunately we appeared to see the first losses of some western equipment, including:a Czech BMP 1 and a vehicle mounted Brimstone missile launcher that was claimed to be destroyed

x https://twitter.com/uaweapons/status/1546234834363858944?s=21&t=bFcHBI9wtifBEeGye0tfCg and a vehicle mounted Brimstone missile launcher that was claimed to be destroyed



A US defense official said Ukraine is firing 3000 artillery rounds a day. The official said despite the high usage rate, Ukrainian forces still have “substantial stores” of 155mm rounds and are far from running out with more rounds on the way

x https://twitter.com/ralee85/status/1545794251677745153?s=21&t=SW8n5QTCuJwxZXhooDhl4w AmmunitionA US defense official said Ukraine is firing 3000 artillery rounds a day. The official said despite the high usage rate, Ukrainian forces still have “substantial stores” of 155mm rounds and are far from running out with more rounds on the way



x https://twitter.com/aviation_intel/status/1545896968752226304?s=21&t=WGyeJ7ha_3deOgJqce6Aqg We’ve supplied it, other countries have supplied that,” the official said. “... We know what their use rate is, we know what their store rate is, and we're monitoring that as we continue to supply them capabilities

I don’t know how to reconcile these US claims with reports from the ground that ammunition can be in seriously short supply, for example as included here Unroll available on Thread Reader x https://twitter.com/louiseelisabet/status/1545847508647174144?s=21&t=YoC5BB8xuksch7mdQ5U2GA



x https://twitter.com/jackdetsch/status/1545465742929403905?s=21&t=YoC5BB8xuksch7mdQ5U2GA While the US announced it would be providing precision ammunition in its new round of military aid, it was not clear if Excalibur rounds It was noted that it was probably not ATACMS ammo for HIMARS

x https://twitter.com/ralee85/status/1545794997890473987?s=21&t=SW8n5QTCuJwxZXhooDhl4w It was noted that it was probably not ATACMS ammo for HIMARS

However, a Ukrainian defense official reported an informal remark that Ukraine had passed the test on HIMARS precision leading to speculation that eventual provision of the long range ATACMS ammunition was more likely x https://twitter.com/shashj/status/1546199508077498369?s=21&t=YoC5BB8xuksch7mdQ5U2GA

Germany also secured a supply of Gepard ammo from a Norwegian manufacturer, clearing the way for Germany to consider delivering these eventually x https://twitter.com/jimmysecuk/status/1545767518098395136?s=21&t=SW8n5QTCuJwxZXhooDhl4w



Ukraine received improved land mines, including from France

x https://twitter.com/osinttechnical/status/1545147321985507328?s=21&t=ag30USKibokxPol0ugPE1g Small armsUkraine received improved land mines, including from France Unroll available on Thread Reader x https://twitter.com/uaweapons/status/1545032046698979329?s=21&t=FFWpM6Qou-uBui8sabiYcw

There was a brief mystery as some claimed mortar rounds were sent by Taiwan x https://twitter.com/mil_in_ua/status/1545842094446616576?s=21&t=YoC5BB8xuksch7mdQ5U2GA Taiwan officials said they did not provide them x https://twitter.com/mondefense/status/1546082075140587526?s=21&t=YoC5BB8xuksch7mdQ5U2GA and they were ultimately traced as Japanese manufactured bombs supplied by the US Unroll available on Thread Reader x https://twitter.com/uaweapons/status/1546201893881483265?s=21&t=YoC5BB8xuksch7mdQ5U2GA



x https://twitter.com/korsunskysergiy/status/1544207628561424384?s=21&t=Ijzsi2G2KbiUs40wQh_yMQ However, Japanese helmets were seen being put to good use



x https://twitter.com/osinttechnical/status/1545862878439301120?s=21&t=WGyeJ7ha_3deOgJqce6Aqg and we got insight into the sorts of equipment provided to Ukrainian soldiers training in the UK

Drones, Planes and Missiles

The Lithuanian purchased Bayraktar TB-2 was briefly put on public display and then transferred to Ukraine x https://twitter.com/oryxspioenkop/status/1543937274542424065?s=21&t=9gPuWo-_KwDfLc-qs28Gmw Lithuanian Bayraktar in Ukraine

x https://twitter.com/andrii_sybiha/status/1545471999274848256?s=21&t=1zFv5J12JzKTiF__n1FGGQ Lithuanian Bayraktar in Ukraine

We received more detail on previously announced UK drones being delivered to Ukraine x https://twitter.com/uas_vision/status/1543867275341619202?s=21&t=9gPuWo-_KwDfLc-qs28Gmw



x https://twitter.com/fedorovmykhailo/status/1544314949496872960?s=21&t=Ijzsi2G2KbiUs40wQh_yMQ Ukraine made great initial progress on its ‘dronation’ program along with various other crowdsourcing programs for Ukrainian drones

x https://twitter.com/fedorovmykhailo/status/1545048811432579074?s=21&t=LFdJ_FT2zjqud3eN_s_CRg along with various other crowdsourcing programs for Ukrainian drones Unroll available on Thread Reader x https://twitter.com/ralee85/status/1545183395931914240?s=21&t=ag30USKibokxPol0ugPE1g

Various home made drone innovations were shown, including a launcher x https://twitter.com/arslon_xudosi/status/1545006911338287104?s=21&t=LFdJ_FT2zjqud3eN_s_CRg DIY loitering munition construction x https://twitter.com/arslon_xudosi/status/1545404109913718785?s=21&t=1zFv5J12JzKTiF__n1FGGQ Shells to drop grenades x https://twitter.com/uaweapons/status/1526572263998464002?s=21&t=Rvjt8IsCzXkF13GnWbgK7A and an even simpler drone loading mechanisms x https://twitter.com/abraxasspa/status/1545692710287327232?s=21&t=SW8n5QTCuJwxZXhooDhl4w



x https://twitter.com/osinttechnical/status/1545548968066793480?s=21&t=1zFv5J12JzKTiF__n1FGGQ A video was released showing the perspective of attacking Switchblade drones



x https://twitter.com/ralee85/status/1526921890861916161?s=21&t=ag30USKibokxPol0ugPE1g For those interested in anti-drone gun technology, Rob Lee has begun a thread tracking their use



x https://twitter.com/euromaidanpress/status/1545890222000439304?s=21&t=aS7LGjLWUkPvRu_pDATOjg Ukrainian Defense Minister Reznikov spoke about how the Israeli Iron Dome system was not appropriate to Ukraine’s needs

Ukrainian advisor Arestovych hinted that Ukraine had ‘something new’ to recently improve its ability to intercept missiles. It is not believed that the recently announced NASAMs air defense systems from the US are in Ukraine yet x https://twitter.com/jayinkyiv/status/1544688787887980545?s=21&t=Rvjt8IsCzXkF13GnWbgK7A

Russia has focused efforts on attacking Ukrainian logistics capacity in the past several weeks, but these efforts have repeatedly failed to stop the flow of military aid. Tragically, infrastructure damage in occupied territory is much more common x https://twitter.com/glasnostgone/status/1546214198434271232?s=21&t=bFcHBI9wtifBEeGye0tfCg

It is the Russians who seem to be afraid of attacks on infrastructure, employing a reflective barge near the bridge over the Kerch strait to dazzle missile guidance systems x https://twitter.com/intelcrab/status/1544721483360002048?s=21&t=Rvjt8IsCzXkF13GnWbgK7A and practicing drills to obscure the bridge in smoke x https://twitter.com/mhmck/status/1542867241817047041?s=20&t=nsGJmMPOQqXSeOizZboHFQ



The UK has considerably increased its rate of training programs with over 1000 training in the UK now

x https://twitter.com/centerukraine/status/1545092606916444162?s=21&t=ag30USKibokxPol0ugPE1g Training of Ukrainian personnelThe UK has considerably increased its rate of training programs with over 1000 training in the UK now This is an interesting article with additional detail on this training Unroll available on Thread Reader x https://twitter.com/haynesdeborah/status/1545649717723504643?s=21&t=SW8n5QTCuJwxZXhooDhl4w



x https://twitter.com/jackdetsch/status/1545464126436265986?s=21&t=1zFv5J12JzKTiF__n1FGGQ HIMARS training progress

In a video interview, a Ukrainian defense official noted:

Retraining crews on western tanks is possible, but it would take valuable time Unroll available on Thread Reader x https://twitter.com/childsacrifice1/status/1546130415647424516?s=21&t=YoC5BB8xuksch7mdQ5U2GA The value of training via combat Unroll available on Thread Reader x https://twitter.com/childsacrifice1/status/1546124668897316867?s=21&t=YoC5BB8xuksch7mdQ5U2GA



There was an interesting video about a shop repairing a captured and damaged cannon – the replies to this post had much debate about the repair process effectiveness

x https://twitter.com/uaweapons/status/1545870588043993088?s=21&t=WGyeJ7ha_3deOgJqce6Aqg RepairThere was an interesting video about a shop repairing a captured and damaged cannon – the replies to this post had much debate about the repair process effectiveness

A Ukrainian defense official gave several insights:

Tank repairs are conducted well behind the front lines, as personnel and repair equipment are too valuable to risk Unroll available on Thread Reader x https://twitter.com/childsacrifice1/status/1546124644444524545?s=21&t=YoC5BB8xuksch7mdQ5U2GA Ukrainian tanks repaired out of country at 20-30/month Unroll available on Thread Reader x https://twitter.com/childsacrifice1/status/1546124676228947969?s=21&t=YoC5BB8xuksch7mdQ5U2GA

This same official claims that there are only 3 tank repair plants left in Russia Unroll available on Thread Reader x https://twitter.com/childsacrifice1/status/1546124663050444801?s=21&t=YoC5BB8xuksch7mdQ5U2GA We got insight into Russian repair facilities at two sites: BMPT ongoing maintenance x https://twitter.com/ralee85/status/1544903591613198336?s=21&t=ysJue12NN4OhC03HNq9rtg BMPT ongoing maintenance Russian repair warehouse x https://twitter.com/ralee85/status/1544100984334565376?s=21&t=H4_97RhywZcqPx7BoOKS5w



x https://twitter.com/airbus_freak/status/1545125523608797184?s=21&t=ag30USKibokxPol0ugPE1g While not exactly repair, a rare Ukrainian medical evacuation flight to Leipzig was spotted. Hopefully this will become more common, as I am sure the need is great

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