Author Name: Carribean Channel, Cuba TV.
This story was originally published on canalcaribe.ict.cu. [1]
Covid-19 cases increase but not fatality – Canal Caribe
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Date: 2022-01
At the meeting of experts and scientists who are immersed in science and technological innovation activities to confront the new coronavirus, held the day before, led by Cuban President Miguel Díaz-Canel, as well as by Prime Minister Manuel Marrero Cruz , and by the Deputy Prime Minister, Inés María Chapman Waugh, an increase in confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Cuba was predicted.
This Tuesday, from the Palace of the Revolution, Dr.C. Raúl Guinovart Díaz, dean of the Faculty of Mathematics and Computing at the University of Havana, who opened – from the usual analysis of the mathematical forecasting models – affirmed that what is forecast in Cuba, for the next few weeks, is that it continue growing the number of confirmed cases, daily, to COVID-19.
An increase in the incidence of the disease is expected, although not in fatality. The numbers, as the professor emphasized, speak of an epidemiological situation that tends to become more complex.
The Cuban population, however, has a “greater strength” with it from the vaccination campaign, but this advantage must be accompanied, Guinovart pointed out, with compliance with sanitary measures, so that the disease does not reach alarming figures. of propagation. “We are at the beginning of a new wave of infections,” warned the mathematician, who reiterated that in the long term the numbers of active cases would grow if the corresponding measures are not followed.
There is an undoubted advantage in that, as the expert reflected, more than 90% of the population is immunized and progress is being made in the booster dose, “so it must happen that this new wave of cases is not so high and can be controlled in the first months of the year ».
All the edges of the analysis, from the figures or from other conquests of our science, lead to a key word: responsibility. Because as President Díaz-Canel Bermúdez expressed on Tuesday, “the vaccine saves but cannot do the unspeakable”; In other words, it is necessary to help her with an attitude that does not neglect the measures implemented in these hard times of contagion.
“I think that because of the situation we are in and the manifestation that the disease is having – meditated the dignitary regarding the mathematical forecasting models – we do not necessarily have to act the same as we did before: now we must give importance to income domiciliary, but (it has to be) an adequate, precise, deep, efficient domiciliary income ». He said it because that path, so that it inspires confidence and does not lead people to seek any kind of response in hospitals, must work, from reality, as it has been designed.
(C) Cuba TV, Cuban state owned media.
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