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Climate change and high exposure increased costs and disruption to lives and livelihoods from flooding associated with exceptionally heavy rainfall in Central Europe – World Weather Attribution [1]
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Date: 2024-09
While the rain was extremely heavy in many locations, the extent of the event, stretching across many countries, was exceptional. Almost two million people were directly affected by the flooding caused by the extreme rainfall (blue News, 2024). The most severe impacts in urban areas were in the Polish-Czech border region and Austria (The Guardian, 2024). At the time of writing at least 24 people lost their lives (The Guardian, 2024; BNN, 2024; CBS, 2024) with several persons still missing several days after the event in Czechia (DW, 2024). All countries were affected by power cuts, leading to schools and factories closing as well as hospitals.
To assess to what extent human-induced climate change altered the likelihood and intensity of the heavy precipitation leading to the severe flooding, researchers from Czechia, Poland, Austria, the Netherlands, Sweden, France and the UK undertook an attribution study on the event.
To capture the impacts associated with the very large-scale event, we focus the main analysis on a large region (10.7°E, 24°E, 46°N, 52.3°N), encompassing Czechia, Slovakia, Austria, parts of Poland, Germany, Romania and Hungary. For the temporal extent we focus on the four most impacted days, which occurred from 12th to 15th of September, and use the maximum 4-day annual rainfall (RX4-day) as the index to analyse. We note that the results are not sensitive to the exact number of days assessed.
Main findings
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[1] Url:
https://www.worldweatherattribution.org/climate-change-and-high-exposure-increased-costs-and-disruption-to-lives-and-livelihoods-from-flooding-associated-with-exceptionally-heavy-rainfall-in-central-europe/
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