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Justin Trudeau hammered by devastating polls just before Parliament set to reconvene [1]
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Date: 2023-10
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Justin Trudeau hammered by devastating polls just before Parliament set to reconvene The prime minister hasn't been this unpopular since early 2020, as Canadians grow frustrated with unaffordable housing and the rising cost of living Photo by Sean Kilpatrick/The Canadian Press
Article content With only a week to go before Parliament reconvenes, a pair of devastating polls are showing Prime Minister Justin Trudeau with near-unprecedented rates of disapproval. We apologize, but this video has failed to load.
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tap here to see other videos from our team. Try refreshing your browser, or Play Video Younger people, who were key to Trudeau’s 2015 election victory, have now broken for the Conservatives at rates that haven’t been seen since the 1980s. A new Abacus Data survey found that Millennials were nearly twice as likely to vote Conservative as Liberal. And the Tories even led among the younger Generation Z; Canadians aged 18 to 27 favoured the Conservatives at a rate of 32 per cent against 24 per cent for the Liberals.
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Article content And according to new numbers from the Angus Reid Institute, Trudeau now has an approval rating of just 33 per cent, against a disapproval rating of 63 per cent. He’s been this unpopular only once before; during a brief period in February 2020 when he was blamed for a series of anti-pipeline rail and border blockades. Right before the blockades were lifted, a survey found him with a disapproval rating of 64 per cent. The reason for the shift is pretty simple: Canadians are getting pummelled by unaffordable housing and rising cost of living, and they trust the Conservatives to solve it more than the Liberal incumbents. The Abacus Data poll found that “rising cost of living” was by far the number one issue for Canadians under 40. Environment and climate change, a top Millennial issue when the Liberals took office, is now rapidly receding into the background. Just 23 per cent of Millennials named “climate change” as one of their top three political issues — the lowest result among any age demographic. It’s been roughly a year since Pierre Poilievre first took the helm of the Conservative Party of Canada. While he was relatively disliked by non-Conservatives when he first assumed the job, the interim 12 months have seen him progressively climb rankings as Canadians’ top choice for prime minister.
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Article content An Angus Reid Institute survey published Thursday had 32 per cent of respondents naming Poilievre as their favourite pick for prime minister, against 17 per cent who said they still prefer Trudeau. That same Angus Reid survey also found “cost of living” climbing to undisputed first place among priority issues for Canadian voters, with environment and climate change dropping to a distant fourth place behind “health care” and “housing affordability.” When Parliament broke for summer recess on June 21, the Liberals were trailing the Conservatives in the polls, but projections still had Trudeau positioned to win another minority government in any future election. That math has also changed. The summer has yielded breakthroughs in Conservative support in both Ontario and Atlantic Canada such that the most likely outcome in any future election would be a Conservative majority. According to the latest projections from the website 338Canada, given current polls, the Tories would take a majority of 179 seats against just 103 seats for the Liberals and 21 for the NDP. Related Stories John Ivison: Pierre Poilievre needs the most boring Conservative convention ever Pierre Poilievre is picking the right fights: Full Comment podcast Our website is the place for the latest breaking news, exclusive scoops, longreads and provocative commentary. Please bookmark nationalpost.com and sign up for our politics newsletter, First Reading, here.
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